Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2006
Red Flag Warning 70, NWS Melbourne, FL
NWS Melbourne, FL issued this red flag warning at Jun 8, 2006, 1:23 PM EDT for 5 counties in Florida. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 8, 2006, 1:23 PM EDT (17:23 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 8, 2006, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Melbourne, FL
Counties Lake County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Volusia County, FL
The radar
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 81 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1560 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -19 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 20 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KMLB 081723 RFWMLB RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 123 PM EDT THU JUN 8 2006 FLZ041-044>046-053-144-090000- /O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0070.060608T1723Z-060609T0000Z/ INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA- SOUTHERN LAKE- 123 PM EDT THU JUN 8 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LAKE...ORANGE...OSCEOLA... SEMINOLE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES. AS EXPECTED RH VALUES HAVE FALLEN AT OR BELOW 35% EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. CONFIDENCE HAS INCREASED THAT MANY AREAS WILL SEE 4 OR MORE HOURS OF SUCH CRITICAL RH VALUES...SO A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST WITH PASSAGE OF THE SEA BREEZE AT WHICH POINT RH VALUES WILL CLIMB BACK ABOVE 40%. PLEASE ADVISE ANY FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS... LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OR A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW... OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. $$ KELLY
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jun 8, 10:45 AM EDT, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 8, 10:45 AM EDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 1045 AM EDT THU JUN 8 2006 .UPDATE... AXIS OF UPPER SHORTWAVE ROTATING THRU THE BROAD EASTERN CONUS TROUGH IS FORECAST TO CROSS FA LATER TODAY. MORNING CAPE SOUNDING SHOWS SOME SLIGHT MID LEVEL MOISTENING AND COOLING HAS TAKEN PLACE IN THE LAST 12 HOURS ASSOCD WITH THIS FEATURE. BUT PWATS REMAIN LOW... AROUND 1.17 WITH LOTS OF DRY AIR JUST ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER. SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW (ASSOCD WITH RIDGE AXIS SLIPPING SOUTHWARD) MAY BEGIN TO ERODE SOME OF THIS DRY AIR. HAVE LOWERED RAIN CHANCES EVEN FURTHER ALG THE COAST (LESS THAN 10%) AND ATLC COASTAL WATERS DUE TO EARLY SEA BREEZE PASSAGE. ISOLD STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTN AS SEA BREEZE INTERACTS WITH LAKE OKEECHOBEE BREEZE IN WESTERN MARTIN COUNTY (SLIGHTLY HIGHER MOISTURE THERE). A COLLISION OF THE EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES WILL OCCUR VERY LATE IN THE AFTN OR EARLY THIS EVENING STRETCHING ROUGHLY FROM LAKE/WESTERN ORANGE COUNTIES SOUTHWARD ACROSS POLK COUNTY. WILL KEEP THE ISOLD 20% POPS FOR OUR SOUTHERN INTERIOR (NEAR THE KISSIMMEE RIVER) LATE TODAY BUT MAY NEED TO SHIFT THAT TO EARLY THIS EVENING. AT THE VERY LEAST THERE WILL BE SOME HIGH BASED CU DEVELOP WITH THE COLLISION AND LOCAL 09Z WRF MODEL SHOWS VERY ISOLD SHOWERS DEVELOPING AFTER 7 PM WEST OF ORLANDO. ATMOS LOOKS TOO DRY ACROSS LAKE/ORANGE COUNTIES TO ADD MENTIONABLE RAIN CHANCES DESPITE SEA BREEZE COLLISION SO WILL KEEP THEM AT 10%. CURRENT FORECAST CALLING FOR LOWER 90S INTERIOR AND UPPER 80S COAST LOOKS GOOD. COULD SEE A FEW MID 90S INTERIOR AND MID 80S AT THE BEACHES. && .MARINE...GOOD BOATING CONDITIONS WITH EASTERLY SEA BREEZE 10-12 KNOTS ALREADY DEVELOPED NEAR SHORE...AND THIS WILL EXPAND FURTHER OFFSHORE REACHING BUOY 009 BY MID AFTN. SEAS 2 FEET. && .AVIATION...VFR. && .FIRE WEATHER...AFTER A FEW DAYS WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS THE INTERIOR NORTH...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY TODAY AS A TROUGH ALOFT APPROACHES. HOWEVER...MODELS HAVE TENDED TO MOISTEN DRY AIR MASSES UP TOO QUICKLY RECENTLY AND MORNING SOUNDINGS FROM THE CAPE AND JAX SHOW SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR WHICH SHOULD MIX DOWN TO THE SFC. WINDS ARE LIGHT SOUTH OVER THE INTERIOR BUT RH VALUES MAY BE ABLE TO DROP BELOW 35% FOR 4 HOURS. WILL MONITOR DEWPOINT TRENDS FOR POSSIBLE RED FLAG FOR NORTH INTERIOR EARLY THIS AFTN. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 88 69 93 69 / 10 10 10 10 MCO 92 70 94 73 / 10 10 10 10 MLB 87 72 91 71 / 10 10 10 10 VRB 87 72 90 69 / 10 10 10 10 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE AT THIS TIME. && KELLY
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 8, 4:44 AM EDT, 8 hours 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 444 AM EDT THU JUN 8 2006 AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 082045- COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD- OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA- SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD- 444 AM EDT THU JUN 8 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TODAY AS A TROUGH ALOFT APPROACHES THE REGION. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A FEW LATE DAY LIGHTNING STORMS OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS NEAR THE KISSIMMEE RIVER AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. ANY STORM THAT FORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARD. ...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT... RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAY FALL TO AROUND 35 PERCENT OVER NORTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS...RESULTING IN A LOW FIRE WEATHER DANGER. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STORMS IS EXPECTED TO RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY. LASCODY
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2006Every red flag warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.