Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2006
Red Flag Warning 66, NWS Melbourne, FL
NWS Melbourne, FL issued this red flag warning at May 22, 2006, 2:07 AM EDT for 5 counties in Florida. It took effect at May 22, 2006, 1:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 22, 2006, 2:07 AM EDT (06:07 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 22, 2006, 1:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- May 22, 2006, 7:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Melbourne, FL
Counties Lake County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Volusia County, FL
The radar
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 00:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2185 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 13 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 10 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 146 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KMLB 220607 RFWMLB RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 207 AM EDT MON MAY 22 2006 FLZ041-044>046-053-144-222300- /O.UPG.KMLB.FW.A.0056.060522T1700Z-060522T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0066.060522T1700Z-060522T2300Z/ INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA- SOUTHERN LAKE- 207 AM EDT MON MAY 22 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. ALTHOUGH GRADUAL MOISTENING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR IN THE UPPER LEVELS...DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN THE LOW LEVELS WITH LITTLE CHANCE FOR RAIN OR LIGHTNING TODAY. THE LOWEST RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN OVER INTERIOR COUNTIES BUT MAY NOT GET AS LOW AS THE PREVIOUS DAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS... LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OR A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW... OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. $$ TES
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 21, 10:00 PM EDT, 4 hours 7 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 21, 10:00 PM EDT, 4 hours 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 10 PM EDT SUN MAY 21 2006 .DISCUSSION... ALTHOUGH MOISTENING IS OCCURRING IN THE UPPER LEVELS WITH HIGIH CLOUDS STREAMING OVERHEAD...LOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN DRIER THROUGH MONDAY. HAVE UPDATED FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS BOTH TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THESE CLOUDS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO HOLD DOWN MAX TEMPS A COUPLE DEGREES WHICH SHOULD ALSO KEEP RH VALUES FROM DROPPING AS LOW AS THEY HAVE THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS (AND FOR AS LONG). HENCE THE LOWER CONFIDENCE IN SEEING RED FLAG CONDS MONDAY. BUT WITH LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXIS STILL OVERHEAD...EXPECT WINDS TO GO VERY LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY CALM. AMOUNT OF HIGH CLOUDS MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PREVENT MUCH FOG BUT EXPECT TEMPS TO FALL AT OR NEAR THEIR DEWPOINTS. COULD SEE LOCALLY REDUCED VSBYS TO <1 MILE ESP IN AREAS OF LINGERING SMOKE FROM SMOLDERING FIRES. WILL CONTINUE THE LOW (<20%) POPS OVER SOUTHERN 1/4 OF FA WHERE SEA/LAKE BREEZE INTERACTIONS COULD SPARK AN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA. && .MARINE...SEAS 2FT OR LESS THRU MONDAY. LIGHT WINDS BENEATH THE SFC RIDGE AXIS...DOMINATED BY LOCAL SEA AND LAND BREEZE CIRCS. && .AVIATION...VFR WITH CIGS ABV 12K FT. AREAS OF SHALLOW MVFR MIST AND LCL IFR FOG/STRATUS FROM ABOUT 08Z THRU ABOUT 12Z/13Z. && .FIRE WEATHER...WILL LET THE MIDNIGHT SHIFT MAKE FINAL DECISION ON WHETHER TO UPGRADE OR CANCEL FWW FOR MONDAY GIVEN THE GRADUAL UPWARD TREND IN SFC TDS AND MORE CLOUDS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 64 88 66 87 / 0 10 10 20 MCO 65 90 68 88 / 0 10 10 20 MLB 69 87 67 85 / 0 10 10 30 VRB 67 86 68 85 / 0 10 10 30 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY 1PM TO 7PM FOR LAKE/SEMINOLE/INTERIOR VOLUSIA/ORANGE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES. && KELLY
Hazardous weather outlook, May 21, 4:26 AM EDT, 21 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 426 AM EDT SUN MAY 21 2006 AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 212300- COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD- OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA- SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD- 426 AM EDT SUN MAY 21 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... ...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT... THE COMBINATION OF DEW POINTS IN THE LOW 60S AND HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S WILL RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT ACROSS THE INTERIOR COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER THE INTERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. SEDLOCK
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2006Every red flag warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.