Alert archive / Wisconsin / Tornado Warnings in 2006

Tornado Warning 19, NWS Milwaukee, WI

July 1, 2006Columbia County, Sauk County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this tornado warning at Jul 1, 2006, 7:48 PM CDT for Columbia County, Sauk County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 36 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 1, 2006, 7:48 PM CDT (00:48 UTC)
Expired: Jul 1, 2006, 8:24 PM CDT
In force: 36 min
Issued by: NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Columbia County, WI, Sauk County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 1, 8:07 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	Lake Delton, WI	REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 1, 6:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2192 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1445 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.5
Supercell composite: 4.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS53 KMKX 020047
TORMKX
WIC021-111-020145-
/O.NEW.KMKX.TO.W.0019.060702T0048Z-060702T0145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
748 PM CDT SAT JUL 1 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  COLUMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN
  SAUK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN

* UNTIL 845 PM CDT

* AT 745 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR WISCONSIN
  DELLS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
  PORTAGE AROUND 815 PM CDT...
  POYNETTE AND PARDEEVILLE AROUND 825 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
SUNDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4364 8985 4357 8996 4335 8935 4354 8920
      4362 8954

$$

GEHRING

3 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 020057
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
755 PM CDT SAT JUL 1 2006

WIC021-111-020145-
/O.CON.KMKX.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-060702T0145Z/
COLUMBIA WI-SAUK WI-
755 PM CDT SAT JUL 1 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR SAUK AND
COLUMBIA COUNTIES...

AT 755 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE ROTATION.  THIS ROTATION WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE DELTON...OR
ABOUT NEAR WISCONSIN DELLS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  PORTAGE BY 830 PM CDT
  POYNETTE...6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WYOCENA AND 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  PARDEEVILLE BY 845 PM CDT

IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE TORNADO...LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED GOLF 
BALL SIZE HAIL 1 MILE NORTH OF THE WISCONSIN DELLS AT 747 PM. 
DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 4364 8983 4358 8992 4333 8940 4352 8924
      4364 8955

$$

BORGHOFF/REM

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 020110
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
810 PM CDT SAT JUL 1 2006

WIC021-111-020145-
/O.CON.KMKX.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-060702T0145Z/
COLUMBIA WI-SAUK WI-
810 PM CDT SAT JUL 1 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR SAUK AND
COLUMBIA COUNTIES...

AT 805 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE DELTON...OR
ABOUT 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WISCONSIN DELLS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  PORTAGE BY 830 PM CDT
  WYOCENA BY 845 PM CDT

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF 
BALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 4364 8983 4358 8992 4335 8953 4350 8926
      4363 8961

$$

BORGHOFF/MBK

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 020124
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
822 PM CDT SAT JUL 1 2006

WIC021-111-020132-
/O.CAN.KMKX.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-060702T0145Z/
COLUMBIA WI-SAUK WI-
822 PM CDT SAT JUL 1 2006

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SAUK AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS 
WEAKENED...THEREFORE THE TORNADO WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  THE 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS FOR SAUK AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES WILL 
CONTINUE UNTIL 845 PM.

LAT...LON 4364 8983 4358 8992 4335 8953 4350 8926
      4363 8961

$$

BORGHOFF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jul 1, 3:00 PM CDT, 4 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 3:00 PM CDT, 4 hours 48 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
300 PM CDT SAT JUL 1 2006

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST EMPHASIS ON FIRST PERIOD THREAT OF CONVECTION
WITH RETURNING CONVECTION SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.  BREAKS IN MID
LAYER CLOUDS ALLOWED BREEZY WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE...CARRYING DRIER AIR TO THE SURFACE...KEEPING SFC DEWPTS
SOMEWHAT IN CHECK. 18Z SOUNDING FROM KDVN HAS INCREDIBLE DRYING
BELOW 700KPA WITH A CIN OF OVER 400 J.  MODIFIED SOUNDING TO LATE
AFTN/EVE DEWPTS REVEALS CIN DROPPING TO 200 J.  BUFKIT RUC SOUNDING
FOR KMSN THIS EVENING SHOWS ELEVATED CIN DROPPING TO LESS THAN 50
JOULES AS ENHANCED FORCING SHIFTS THRU AROUND 03Z.  THINKING THAT
GFS OVERDOING QPF ACRS SRN WI OVERNIGHT...AS UPSTREAM DEWPTS LESS
THAN 10C.  TAIL END OF LOW LEVEL JET LINGERING OVER SERN WI THRU 06Z
WITH WEAKENING THETA-E RIDGE.  HENCE ENUF FORCING ASSOCD WITH
MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE VORTEX NOW IN SWRN MN AND LOWERING OF CAP TO GO
WITH SCT OR LOW END LKLY WORDING IN MY SOUTH. WL WAIT TO MAKE
DECISION AT LAST MINUTE.  WITH FREEZING LEVELS REMAINING QUITE HIGH
THINK MAIN SVR THREAT IF ANY WL BE STRONG WINDS. DOWNDRAFT CAPE
EXCEEDING 1000 J EXPCD THIS EVENING WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES.

BOTH GFS AND NAM-WRF IN AGREEMENT ON WEAKENING SFC BOUNDARY
LINGERING ACRS SRN WI/NRN IL AREA ON SUN. FORCING WEAK AND EXPC
DEWPTS MAINLY IN THE MID 60S STILL WL RESULT IN CAPE EXCEEDING 1000
J/KG IN MY SOUTHERN AREAS.  HENCE WORTH KEEPING SML POPS GOING
MAINLY SUN AFTN CLOSER TO THE LINGERING WEAK BOUNDARY.  LOW LEVEL
JET BEGINS TO INCREASE SUN NGT INTO EARLY MONDAY WITH SECONDARY
SHORT WAVE ASSOCD WITH RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION MON EVE...HENCE NEED TO
CONT CHC POPS SUN INTO MON.  LATEST GFS SHOWING SLIGHTLY MORE
INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON TUE BUT WL HOLD OFF ON
INTRODUCING POPS AT THIS POINT AND WAIT FOR MORE CONSISTENCY.

FOR EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINNING TUE NGT...STATUS QUO IN EFFECT AS MOST
EXTENDED GUIDANCE HAS LONG WAVE TROFING ACRS GTLAKES FILLING AND
SUCCUMBING TO LARGE SCALE RIDGING BY MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK ACRS NRN
CONUS.  GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AT BOTH 500 AND 700KPA IN GOOD
AGREEMENT FOR FIRST FEW DAYS OF EXTENDED PERIOD WITH MORE
VARIABILITY BUT GENERAL AGREEMENT ON PATTERN CHANGE TAKING PLACE
DURING THE WEEK.  HENCE LARGE SCALE RIDGING SETS UP ON TUE AND
LINGERS THRU THE END OF THE WEEK.  SOME CONCERN FOR INSTABILITY
SHOWERS TUE AND WED BUT GFS SOUNDINGS SHOW AIR MASS TO BE QUITE DRY
WITH NO CAPE.  RIDGING SUPPRESSES BAROCLINIC ZONE SOUTHWARD SO DRY
FOR EXTENDED PD AT THIS TIME...WITH PLENTY OF LOWER SKY GRID
NUMBERS.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

MBK

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 1, 1:09 PM CDT, 6 hours 39 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
109 PM CDT SAT JUL 1 2006

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-020900-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
109 PM CDT SAT JUL 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER ALL OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT OVER ALL OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

LMZ643>646-665-020900-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE-
NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE TO WIND POINT-
WIND POINT TO WINTHROP HARBOR ILLINOIS-
WISCONSIN ADJACENT OPEN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN TO MID LAKE-
109 PM CDT SAT JUL 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT INTO EARLY EVENING. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT OVER ALL OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. LARGE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT. LARGE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

GEHRING

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 1, 7:22 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
722 PM CDT SAT JUL 01 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             N BERLIN                43.97N 88.95W
07/01/2006  E0.25 INCH       GREEN LAKE         WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SCHAAR

Local storm report, Jul 1, 7:36 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
736 PM CDT SAT JUL 01 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     BERLIN                  43.97N 88.95W
07/01/2006                   GREEN LAKE         WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED ON THE NORTH SIDE OF BERLIN

&&

SCHAAR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 1, 7:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Marquette	78 min
Jul 1, 7:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Fond du Lac, Green Lake	74 min
Jul 1, 7:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Sauk	80 min
Jul 1, 7:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Columbia	71 min
Jul 1, 8:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MKX	Fond du Lac	50 min
Jul 1, 8:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dane, Iowa	72 min
Jul 1, 8:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Marquette	46 min
Jul 1, 8:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Sheboygan	50 min
Jul 1, 8:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Columbia	48 min
Jul 1, 8:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Green Lake	52 min
Jul 1, 8:57 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MKX	Columbia, Green Lake, Marquette	33 min
Jul 1, 9:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Fond du Lac	44 min
Jul 1, 9:13 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MKX	Fond du Lac	3 hr
Jul 1, 9:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Sheboygan	45 min
Jul 1, 9:33 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		87 min
Jul 1, 9:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Green Lake	27 min
Jul 1, 9:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Fond du Lac	25 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Wisconsin, 2006 Every tornado warning in 2006 Tornadoes in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.