Severe Thunderstorm Warning 60, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 211044
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
543 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2006

WIC127-211115-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0060.000000T0000Z-060621T1115Z/
WALWORTH WI-
543 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM CDT
FOR WALWORTH COUNTY...

AT 541 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
DELAVAN LAKE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  COMO BY 550 AM CDT
  SPRING PRAIRIE...SPRINGFIELD...LAKE GENEVA AND 6 MILES NORTH OF
  PELL LAKE BY 555 AM CDT
  9 MILES NORTH OF GENOA CITY BY 600 AM CDT

AT 530 AM DIME SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED IN CLINTON IN ROCK COUNTY AND 
A TREE WAS KNOCKED DOWN NORTHWEST OF BELOIT. THE STORM IS 
MAINTAINING IT/S STRENGTH AS IT MOVES THROUGH WALWORTH COUNTY. 

LAT...LON 4269 8876 4250 8877 4250 8833 4283 8838

$$

DAVIS

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 211104
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
604 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2006

WIC127-211115-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0060.000000T0000Z-060621T1115Z/
WALWORTH WI-
604 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM CDT
FOR WALWORTH COUNTY...

AT 602 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DARIEN...OR ABOUT NEAR DELAVAN LAKE...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  6 MILES NORTH OF FONTANA...7 MILES SOUTH OF MILLARD AND 7 MILES
  NORTH OF WALWORTH BY 610 AM CDT
  ELKHORN...COMO...WILLIAMS BAY AND 6 MILES NORTH OF
  FONTANA-ON-GENEVA LAKE BY 615 AM CDT

MORE SEVERE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST OUT OF ROCK COUNTY INTO WALWORTH 
COUNTY. PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED 
FLOODING. 

LAT...LON 4269 8876 4250 8877 4250 8833 4283 8838

$$
DAVIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
301 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2006

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS IS ON SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL TODAY
AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH MOST ELEMENTS AND STRENGTH OF
DYNAMICS TODAY AND EARLY EVENING. TWO RELATIVELY STRONG SHORT
WAVES EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS CWA BEGINNING LATE MORNING. WARF
AND GFS BOTH INDICATE 1000-1500 CAPES THIS AFTERNOON LINGERING
INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH A THETA-E RIDGE...QCONVERGENCE
AND LARGE AMOUNTS OF QPV. HOWEVER...THERE IS LITTLE DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR AND 0-3KM EHI IS 1 OR LESS. IN ADDITION...DAYTIME HEATING
AND CAPES MAY BE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED DUE TO RAIN AND CLOUD
COVER. AT THIS TIME...RADAR AND SATELLITE LOOPS INDICATE CONVECTION
DEVELOPING AHEAD OF MAIN MCS IN EASTERN IOWA...TRACKING EAST AND
WILL BE ENTERING CWA BY MORNING. SPC HAS ALL OF CWA IN SLIGHT RISK
FOR DAY 1...AND A MODERATE RISK FOR AN AREA TO THE RIGHT OF A
MKE-JVL LINE. THIS APPEARS REASONABLE IF WE CAN GET ENOUGH HEATING
THIS AFTERNOON...SINCE BEST DYNAMICS WILL BE TRACKING ACROSS
SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF CWA.

CONDITIONS WILL STABILIZE RAPIDLY LATER THIS EVENING...BUT WILL
CONTINUE SMALL RAIN CHANCES THURSDAY DUE TO CWA BEING IN THE
RIGHT REAR QUAD OF A STRONG UPPER JET...AND ANOTHER SHORT WAVE
EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...THE WARF INDICATES A LINGERING SURFACE
BOUNDARY.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
320 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2006

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-220939-
COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON-
KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RACINE-ROCK-SAUK-
SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA-
320 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FAR
SOUTHEAST CORNER OF WISCONSIN TODAY...THIS INCLUDES MILWAUKEE...
WALWORTH...RACINE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN. DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH AND GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL ARE POSSIBLE. ANY LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH
QUICKLY IN INTENSITY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AND AGAIN SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

LMZ643>646-665-220939-
NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE TO WIND POINT-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE-
SHEBOYGAN WI TO PORT WASHINGTON-
WIND POINT TO WINTHROP HARBOR ILLINOIS-
320 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MILWAUKEE SOUTH
TO WINTHROP HARBOR.  THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
NORTH OF MILWAUKEE.  DANGEROUS WINDS OVER 55 KNOTS AND GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL ARE POSSIBLE. ANY LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY
IN INTENSITY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AND AGAIN SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY EVENING.

DAVIS