Wind Advisory 8, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

000 
WWUS72 KMHX 271514
NPWMHX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1114 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY SATURDAY FOR
THE OUTER BANKS...

NCZ103-104-272130-
/O.CON.KMHX.WI.Y.0008.061028T0400Z-061028T1600Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK...
NAGS HEAD...SOUTHERN SHORES
1114 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY
FOR THE OUTER BANKS PORTIONS OF DARE AND HYDE COUNTIES...WHICH IS
IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM SATURDAY. THE ADVISORY
MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE AREAS ADJACENT TO THE COAST. AN
UPDATED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 430 THIS AFTERNOON.

STRONG LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS
WILL LEAD TO INCREASING SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT WITH
SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ON SATURDAY. WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED ON THE OUTER BANKS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

000 
WWUS72 KMHX 272030
NPWMHX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
430 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

NCZ103-104-281000-
/O.UPG.KMHX.WI.Y.0008.061028T0400Z-061028T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.HW.W.0004.061028T0400Z-061028T1600Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK...
NAGS HEAD...SOUTHERN SHORES
430 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED
A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
12 PM EDT SATURDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT INTO
THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL PULL A WARM
FRONT NORTH THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT...AND A COLD FRONT THROUGH
FROM THE WEST SATURDAY MORNING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN
OVERNIGHT AS A RESULT. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH OVERNIGHT
AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

NCZ047-081-095-281000-
/O.NEW.KMHX.WI.Y.0009.061028T0400Z-061028T1600Z/
MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE-CARTERET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT...
EMERALD ISLE...NEWPORT
430 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
12 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT INTO
THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL PULL A WARM
FRONT NORTH THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT...AND A COLD FRONT THROUGH
FROM THE WEST SATURDAY MORNING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN
OVERNIGHT AS A RESULT. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH
OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
347 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
GRADUALLY INCREASING FROM THE WEST EARLY THIS MORNING. STRONG LOW
PRES TO MOVE UP THRU THE TENNESSEE/OHIO VALLEY REGION TODAY AND
TONIGHT. GOOD LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT INCREASES OVER ERN NC DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES PEAKING AT
NEARLY 2 INCHES BY LATE TONIGHT. FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW GOOD LOW-LEVEL
HELICITY...BUT AIRMASS WILL BE RELATIVELY STABLE SO THREAT OF
TSTMS SHOULD BE FAIRLY LIMITED. STRONG LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL
LEAD TO PSBL ISSUANCE OF WIND ADVISORIES FOR LATER THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY
NEAR COASTAL SECTIONS. SOME DIFFERENCE IN TIMING...BUT CONSENSUS
IS FOR FAIRLY RAPID CLEARING BEHIND COLDFRONT DURING THE FIRST
HALF OF SATURDAY. OBVIOUSLY POPS WILL BE CATEGORICAL OVER LAND
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON WITH LIKELY ON THE OUTER BANKS WITH
CATEGORICAL POPS ALL AREAS BY TONIGHT. HAVE TONED DOWN HPC QPF A
BIT BUT STILL LOOKS LIKE MOST AREAS COULD SEE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL BY LATE TONIGHT. LITTLE VARIATION IN TEMPS FROM TODAY TO
TONIGHT DUE TO INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND PRECIP...BUT SATURDAY
SHOULD ACTUALLY BE PLEASE...ALBEIT BREEZY...WITH MAXES AROUND 70.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
LINGERS THRU MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK. TEMPS...ESPECIALLY
MAXES...WILL BE NEAR TO A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL THRU THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED MUCH OF THE DAY OVER THE
TERMINALS WITH LOWERING AND THICKENING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS WITH LIGHT RAIN DEVELOPING. WIDESPREAD MVFR/OCCASIONAL IFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS ALONG
WITH MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE TSTMS. VARIABLE
TO CALM WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY BY LATE
MORNING THEN SOUTHERLY BY TONIGHT. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE BY
EVENING TO AROUND 15 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL VEER
SOUTHWESTERLY TOWARDS DAYBREAK SATURDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TERMINALS DURING THE MORNING HOURS.
IMPROVING CONDITIONS TO VFR DURING THE DAY SAT FOLLOWING FROPA.

&&

.MARINE...DETERIORATING MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATE TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. SFC LOW PRES WILL DEEPEN OVER TENN TODAY AND TRACK
NORTHEAST INTO THE DELMARVA AREA BY SAT MORNING. GRADIENT WILL
TIGHTEN ACROSS THE WATERS BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
INCREASING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING HOURS. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A VERY STRONG LLJ AROUND
60-70 KT DEVELOPING OVER THE WATERS BY TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE GALES
ALL WATERS BEGINNING 04Z SAT WITH THE SOUNDS AND WATERS SOUTH OF
LOOKOUT DROPPING BELOW GALE CRITERIA BY 12Z SAT AND REMAINING WATERS
BY 16Z. WINDS WILL VEER SOUTHWEST BY SAT MORNING AND EVENTUALLY
WESTERLY BY AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.
CONTINUED TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ALONG WITH INCREASING CAA BEHIND FRONT
WILL RESULT IN SCA CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH SUN
MORNING. IMPROVING CONDITIONS SUN NIGHT INTO MON AS GRADIENT RELAXES
WITH SFC HIGH PRES BUILDING INTO THE AREA.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.

MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR
     AMZ130-135-158.

 GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
AMZ150-152-154-156.

&&

SHORT TERM...COLLINS
LONG TERM...COLLINS
AVIATION...WINGENROTH
MARINE...WINGENROTH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
429 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-
103-104-280830-
ALBEMARLE SOUND-PAMLICO SOUND-
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-MARTIN-PITT-
WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-
DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
429 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
REGION BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE
ENDING EARLY SATURDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. GUSTY WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE ON THE
OUTER BANKS.

GALE FORCE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER ALL COASTAL WATERS BY LATER
TONIGHT INTO MIDDAY SATURDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.

11