Wind Advisory 2, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

000 
WWUS72 KMHX 180849
NPWMHX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
349 AM EST WED JAN 18 2006

...STRONG WINDS WILL AFFECT EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST SPEEDS NEAR THE COAST...

.DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES
THIS MORNING...INTO SOUTHEAST CANADA THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL
SWING A POWERFUL COLD FRONT ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS
MORNING. THIS HAS RESULTED IN STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH OCCURRING ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW DAMAGING
GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ALONG THE COAST AND OVER
AREAS ADJACENT TO THE PAMLICO SOUND. 

NCZ047-081-095-103-104-181700-
/O.CON.KMHX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-060118T2100Z/
MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE-CARTERET-OUTER BANKS DARE-
OUTER BANKS HYDE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT...
EMERALD ISLE...NEWPORT...KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK...
NAGS HEAD...SOUTHERN SHORES
349 AM EST WED JAN 18 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES
INTO SOUTHEAST CANADA TODAY. THE LOW WILL SWING A POWERFUL COLD
FRONT ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING. THIS WEATHER
SYSTEM WAS ALREADY PRODUCING SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 50 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING. AS WIND FIELDS CONTINUE TO
INCREASE THIS MORNING...A FEW DAMAGING GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST AND OVER AREAS ADJACENT TO THE PAMLICO
SOUND. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR IN GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH
HEAVY SHOWERS OCCURRING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT
SHOULD BE MOVING OFF THE COAST AFTER 8 AM...RESULTING IN WINDS
SHIFTING FROM SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST TO WEST.

THE WINDS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE AREA.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE...DOWNED TREES AND
POWER OUTAGES.

TAKE ACTION THIS EVENING TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.
MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS
LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

NCZ029-044>046-079-080-090>094-098-181700-
/O.CON.KMHX.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060118T2100Z/
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-GREENE-BEAUFORT-DUPLIN-LENOIR-
JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-ONSLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE...
GREENVILLE...PLYMOUTH...COLUMBIA...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...
WASHINGTON...RIVER ROAD...WALLACE...WARSAW...ROSE HILL...
KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...MAGNOLIA...KINSTON...MAYSVILLE...
POLLOCKSVILLE...NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...ORIENTAL...ALLIANCE...
BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...MINNESOTT BEACH...VANDEMERE...STONEWALL...
JACKSONVILLE
349 AM EST WED JAN 18 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WERE
OCCURRING OVER INLAND SECTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA EARLY
THIS MORNING. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID
MORNING. A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS...WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH...WERE MOVING SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE
REGION...AND WILL BE EAST OF THE ADVISORY AREA AROUND 7 AM. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. THE STRONG WINDS MAY ALSO
KNOCK DOWN TREES OR LARGE TREE LIMBS...RESULTING IN POWER
OUTAGES.

THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 30 MPH DURING THE
AFTERNOON. 

$$

000 
WWUS72 KMHX 181202
NPWMHX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
702 AM EST WED JAN 18 2006

...STRONG WINDS WILL AFFECT EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST SPEEDS NEAR THE COAST...

.DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES
THIS MORNING...INTO SOUTHEAST CANADA THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH COULD OCCUR 
ACROSS THE AREA. 

NCZ047-081-095-103-104-182015-
/O.CAN.KMHX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-060118T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KMHX.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060118T2100Z/
MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE-CARTERET-OUTER BANKS DARE-
OUTER BANKS HYDE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT...
EMERALD ISLE...NEWPORT...KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK...
NAGS HEAD...SOUTHERN SHORES
702 AM EST WED JAN 18 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS
DOWNGRADED THE HIGH WIND WARNING TO A WIND ADVISORY FOR
CARTERET...HYDE...AND DARE COUNTIES. 

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. THE STRONG WINDS MAY ALSO
KNOCK DOWN TREES OR LARGE TREE LIMBS...RESULTING IN POWER
OUTAGES.



$$

NCZ029-044>046-079-080-090>094-098-182015-
/O.CON.KMHX.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060118T2100Z/
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-GREENE-BEAUFORT-DUPLIN-LENOIR-
JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-ONSLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE...
GREENVILLE...PLYMOUTH...COLUMBIA...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...
WASHINGTON...RIVER ROAD...WALLACE...WARSAW...ROSE HILL...
KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...MAGNOLIA...KINSTON...MAYSVILLE...
POLLOCKSVILLE...NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...ORIENTAL...ALLIANCE...
BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...MINNESOTT BEACH...VANDEMERE...STONEWALL...
JACKSONVILLE
702 AM EST WED JAN 18 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. THE STRONG WINDS MAY ALSO
KNOCK DOWN TREES OR LARGE TREE LIMBS...RESULTING IN POWER
OUTAGES.




$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
239 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2006

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...TEMPS THIS
AFTERNOON WARMED NICELY INTO THE UPPER 60S AS STRONG WAA ON S FLOW
INCREASED THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WINDS UPSTREAM ARE BEGINNING TO
BECOME BREEZY...A SIGN OF WHAT IS HEADING OUR WAY. THE AREA OF LOW
OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THE LOW LVL JET
THIS EVENING AS IT MOVES EASTWARD. SFC WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE INTO THE 20TO 30 KT RANGE INLAND...AND 35KT TO 45KT RANGE
ALONG THE COAST. HOWEVER WINDS JUST OFF THE SFC ARE EXPECTED TO
CLIMB INTO THE 60S AND 70+KT RANGE...AND WITH THE ATMOSPHERE NOT
DECOUPLING OVERNIGHT...EXPECT TO SEE A FAIR AMOUNT OF WINDS MIXING
DOWN. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MAINLY OVER THE
EAST DURING THE VERY EARLY MORNING HOURS WED THROUGH LATE MORNING.
ANOTHER FLY-IN-THE-OINTMENT TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION. RIGHT NOW THE SIGNALS ARE WEAK WITH VERY
LITTLE INSTABILITY AND CAPE...AND DEW POINTS STILL IN THE LOWER
50S. LIS ARE ALSO MARGINAL...WITH MAYBE A -1 OVERNIGHT. THINK THE
THREAT IS WEAK FOR MUCH ACTIVITY...SO WILL KEEP ONLY SCT THUNDER.
HOWEVER...ANY STORM THAT WERE TO FORM WOULD NOT HAVE TO BE VERY
STRONG FOR SOME OF THE SVR FORCE WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SFC.
THE HIGHEST THREAT PERIOD OF SVR WX WILL BE AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH
EARLY MORNING AS FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
WILL REMAIN UP THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...BUT GRADUALLY COMING DOWN
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WITH FAIRLY DRY AIR OVER THE AREA...DO NOT
EXPECT MUCH MORE THAN A HALF INCH OF RAIN BY THE TIME THE SYSTEM
PUSHES OUT. SKIES WILL BREAK BY LATE MORNING AND CLEAR...HOWEVER
CAA WILL KEEP TEMPS STEADY OR FALLING DURING THE DAY WITH THE HIGH
EXPECT AROUND MORNING.

HEADLINES FOR TONIGHT AND WED INCLUDE:
 HIGH WIND WARNING UPGRADED FORM THE WIND WATCH FOR CARTERET
(MAINLY BEACHES AND DOWNEAST) AND THE OUTER BANKS. WIND GUST
POTENTIAL IN THIS AREA IS HIGH WITH OVER 50KT POSSIBLE IN THE S
FLOW.
 WIND ADVISORY ADDED FOR ALL OTHER COUNTIES IN THE CWA. FREQUENT
WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE BIGGER CONCERN...HOWEVER SUSTAINED WINDS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S POSSIBLE.
 COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR OBX DARE FOR SOUNDSIDE
FLOODING MAINLY FOR THE ROANOKE ISLAND AND RODANTHE-SOUTHERN
SHORES AREAS WITH UPWARDS OF 4FT WATER RISES. A SLIGHT CHANGE IN
THE WIND SPEEDS OR DURATION COULD SHIFT THE WATER RISES FROM 3FT
TO 5FT. 4FT SHOULD PRODUCE SOME MODERATE FLOODING CONDITIONS
POSSIBLY ALONG PORTIONS OF HWY 12 NEAR SOUTHERN SHORES S. A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ADDED TO OBX HYDE SINCE WINDS ALONG
THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BE FLIRTING WITH STORM FORCE. WINDS THIS
STRONG IN ONSHORE FLOW COULD PRODUCE SOME MINOR TO POSSIBLY
MODERATE OCEAN OVERWASH ALONG OCRACOKE. DO NOT EXPECT SOUNDSIDE
FLOODING TO BE UP TO WARNING CRITERIA FOR MAINLAND HYDE/DARE
COUNTIES...BUT MINOR WATER RISES OF 1-3FT ARE POSSIBLE SO WILL
ISSUE A COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT FOR THESE AREAS.
 HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR CARTERET AND ONSLOW AS STRONG GALES AND
SEAS AS HIGH AS 10-14FT COULD PRODUCE SOME 8FT BREAKERS ON THE
BEACHES. WITH HIGH TIDE AROUND 930 AM...THIS COULD PRODUCE MINOR
BEACH EROSION.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...IMPROVING WX WEDS NIGHT
INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE REGION. ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT WILL KEEP TEMPS ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. NEXT
SYSTEM AFFECTS THE REGION SAT NIGHT INTO SUN WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
RAINFALL ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY SW WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...HIGH BASED STRATOCUMULUS COUPLED WITH INCREASING MID
AND HIGH CLOUDS PREVALENT OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. ANTICIPATE
CLOUD BASES TO LOWER BY LATER TONIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN. THE
BIG STORY WILL BE WIND WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS QUITE POSSIBLE AT ALL
OF THE TAF SITES.

&&

.MARINE...CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS CURRENTLY
FAIR...HOWEVER THINGS WILL CHANGE SIG OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AN
APPROACHING UPPER LVL TROF WITH A SFC LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES
WILL INCREASE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A STRONG LOW LVL
JET WILL GENERATE SPEEDS OF 60-75KT OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
(HIGHEST NEAR CAPE HATTERAS) JUST OFF THE SFC. THE SFC WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE AROUND GALE FORCE GIVEN THE PRES GRAD...BUT ANY
MIXING OF THE WINDS WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND FREQUENT GUSTS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WITH THE WARMER WATERS NEAR DIAMOND BUOY...FELT
MARGINAL STORM FORCE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO
EARLY WED. THE STORM FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY ONLY LAST FOR AN HOUR
OR TWO WITH STRONG GALES THE REST OF THE TIME...BUT IT SHOULD BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE UPWARDS OF 22FT SEAS NEAR DIAMOND. WINDS
WILL TURN FROM THE S TO THE SW AND THEN W ON WED...WITH SPEEDS
GRADUALLY SUBSIDING THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.

BY WEDS NIGHT...FRONT SWEEPS WELL OFFSHORE BUT GUSTY WINDS WILL
PERSIST UNTIL LARGE HIGH PRES STARTS BUILDING NORTH ALONG THE
GA/SC COAST THURS MORNING. ANTICIPATE RELATIVELY BENIGN MARINE
CONDITIONS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING FROM THURSDAY UNTIL AT
LEAST LATE SATURDAY WHEN S/SW GRADIENT AGAIN INCREASES AHEAD OF
NEXT STRONG COLD FRONT. SCA CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY SAT INTO SAT
NIGHT.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR NCZ047-081-095-103-104 UNTIL 4 PM
     WEDNESDAY.
  ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR NCZ095-098 UNTIL 4 PM WEDNESDAY.
  ...WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ029-044>046-079-080-090>094-098 UNTIL 4
     PM WEDNESDAY.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR AMZ130-135-150-152-158 UNTIL 4 PM WEDNESDAY.
  ...STORM WARNING FOR AMZ154-156 UNTIL 4 PM WEDNESDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...JAMISON
LONG TERM...COLLINS
AVIATION...COLLINS
MARINE...JAMISON/COLLINS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
148 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2006

AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-
103-104-181000-
ALBEMARLE SOUND-PAMLICO SOUND-
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-MARTIN-PITT-
WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-
DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
148 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

 HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS
OF CARTERET...MAINLAND HYDE...MAINLAND DARE AS WELL AS OUTER BANKS
DARE AND HYDE COUNTIES TONIGHT. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGH WIND
WARNING AREA. WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE OVER REMAINING PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OUTER BANKS DARE COUNTY
TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH MODERATE SOUND SIDE FLOODING
POSSIBLE. SOME MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER
MAINLAND SECTIONS OF HYDE AND DARE COUNTY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR COASTAL CARTERET AND ONSLOW COUNTIES.

SOME ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVIATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.

11