Severe Thunderstorm Warning 201, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1052 AM EDT FRI AUG 4 2006

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TODAY/...ONE LAST DAY OF EXTREME HEAT AND
HUMIDITY ACROSS EASTERN NC TODAY AS THE AIRMASS HAS CHANGED VERY
LITTLE THIS WEEK. H85 TEMPS REMAINS AROUND 20C ON THE 12Z KMHX
SOUNDING WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE...LI OF -7 AND CAPE
AROUND 5700 J/KG WITH THE FORECAST MAX TEMP. PRESENTLY SKIES ARE
CLEAR WHICH HAS ALLOWED FOR A RAPID WARM-UP AGAIN THIS MORNING
WITH HEAT INDICES AROUND 100F ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION AS OF
10AM. HOWEVER...AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM...A LEE TROUGH
ACROSS CENTRAL NC AND THE AFTERNOON SEABREEZE WILL PROVIDE FOCUS
FOR CONVECTION BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON. PRESENT LOW END
CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD AND NO UPDATES TO THE ZONES
ARE PLANNED THIS MORNING BUT WILL MAKE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE
GRIDS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE
DAY...WITH SCT AFTERNOON TSRA POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY...WHICH COULD LOWER VSBYS TO IFR BRIEFLY.

&&

.MARINE...PLEASANT BOATING CONDITIONS CURRENTLY ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS...WITH WINDS UNDER 15KT AND SEAS AROUND 3FT. THE WINDS WILL
PICK UP A BIT DOWN ALONG THE S COASTS AS THE SEA BREEZE COMBINED
WITH SW FLOW COULD PRODUCE SOME 15 TO 20 KT WINDS AND SOME CHOPPY 3
FT WAVES. LOW THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED. NO CHANGES OR UPDATES
PLANED.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FOR NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-
     103-104 UNTIL 6 PM FRIDAY.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...KENNEDY
AVIATION...JAMISON
MARINE...JAMISON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
357 AM EDT FRI AUG 4 2006

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-050800-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
357 AM EDT FRI AUG 4 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM THIS EVENING FOR HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 110 TO 115 DEGREES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY PRODUCE SOME FLOODING
OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
152 PM EDT FRI AUG 4 2006

NCZ080-041815-
BEAUFORT-
152 PM EDT FRI AUG 4 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BEAUFORT COUNTY UNTIL 215 PM
EDT...

AT 152 PM EDT...THERE WERE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL BEAUFORT
COUNTY...OR ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTH OF RIVER ROAD...MOVING EAST AT 10
MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR  RURAL SOUTHERN BEAUFORT
COUNTY AT 210 PM EDT. OTHER LOCATIONS TO BE AFFECTED BY THE STORMS
INCLUDE AURORA AND BLOUNTS CREEK.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN ON AREA
ROADWAYS TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THE WEATHER SITUATION ACROSS THE AREA.

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