Severe Thunderstorm Warning 164, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
416 PM EDT FRI JUN 30 2006

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...WK BNDRY OVR AREA THIS AFTN
WL DSSPT DURING THE EVE HRS. HWVR CBRZ HAS ALRDY STRTD TO FRM. ALSO
A SML SHWR HAS FRMD ON THE FRNT IN MAINLAND DARE CT. NOT AN AWFUL
LOT OF MSTR AVBL BUT STL THINK ACTVTY WL FORM. A WK PIECE OF UPR LVL
ENERGY MVG THRU THE FLO AND OVR NC TNGT SHUD KP ACTVTY GOING FOR A
FEW HRS AFT SS. THEN SKIES SHUD CLR. WND NOT DECPLG TNGT. HWVR THR
SHUD BE ENUF LO LVL MSTR FOR AREAS OF FOG AGAIN SAT AM. WI BERMUDA
HI NOSING BACK OVR AREA LTR TNGT OR SAT AM XPCT SUM CBRZ ACTVTY
AGAIN SAT AFTN. UPR LVL FLO TO BCM ZNL AND WK LT SAT AND ANY ENERGY
IN THE UPR LVLS WL STA N OF CWA. CANT RULE OUT CBRZ ACTVTY SUN AND
MON...BUT IF THEY DO FRM THEY WL BE OF GARDEN VARIETY...DISSPTG WI
LOSS OF HTG. HI TEMPS WL BE IN THE LWR 90S THRU THE WKEND.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...BY MON UPR FLO WL STRT TO
AMPLIFY AGN. A SFC BNDRY WL FRM OVR NC MON NGT...AND APPRS TO
MEANDER ARND THE AREA THRU THE WK. THIS WL GIVE US A CHC OF PCPN
THRU THE WHOLE PD. THRFR HV 20 TO 30 POPS INTO NXT WKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT VFR CIGS ACROSS RTES INTO THE EVENING WITH
AREAS OF 6K FT CIGS AND AN ISOLD TSTM NEAR THE SEABREEZE FRONT.
EXPECT CIGS TO DISSIPATE AFTER LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING THIS
EVENING AND AREAS OF FOG TO DEVELOP OVNGT REDUCING VSBYS TO IFR
LATE. KOAJ WILL LIKELY SEE EARLY MORNING DENSE FOG WITH 1/2SM OR
LESS VSBYS.

&&

.MARINE...WESTERN AXIS OF BERMUDA HIGH WILL BRINGING S-SWLY
WINDS ACROSS COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE MID ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY
ACTING TO TIGHTEN THE GRADIENTS AND INCREASING WINDS UP TO 20 KT
WITH HIGHEST NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS. ANOTHER FRONT MAY APPROACH
THE MID ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY MAINTAINING INCREASED PRESSURE
GRADIENTS...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF HATTERAS. A 2 TO 3 FT
SOUTHEASTERLY SWELL WITH A 9 TO 10 SECOND PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO THE COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENT THINKING KEEPS BOTH WINDS AND SEAS JUST
BELOW SCA CONDITIONS BUT AN EXERCISE CAUTION MAY BE NEEDED
SUNDAY...MAINLY NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...GOODALL
LONG TERM...GOODALL
AVIATION...KENNEDY
MARINE...KENNEDY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
450 AM EDT FRI JUN 30 2006

AMZ130-135-NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-010900-
ALBEMARLE SOUND-PAMLICO SOUND-MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-
MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-
CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
450 AM EDT FRI JUN 30 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...INITIATED BY THE SEA BREEZE AND A
LINGERING FRONT IN THE AREA...WILL POP UP THIS AFTERNOON AND CARRY
OVER INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THEY WILL BE MORE NUMEROUS EAST OF
HIGHWAY 17 THAN WEST OF HIGHWAY 17.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
715 PM EDT FRI JUN 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     HAIL             KINSTON                 35.28N 77.59W
06/30/2006  E0.75 INCH       LENOIR             NC   PUBLIC

&&

KLAWS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
722 PM EDT FRI JUN 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     HAIL             COVE CITY               35.19N 77.32W
06/30/2006  E1.00 INCH       CRAVEN             NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS DIME TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL ALONG
            HWY 70 NEAR COVE CITY

&&

KLAWS

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