Wind Advisory 24, NWS Medford, OR

000 
WWUS76 KMFR 100714
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1114 PM PST THU NOV 9 2006


CAZ081-100815-
/O.CAN.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.061110T1200Z-061111T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED
1114 PM PST THU NOV 9 2006

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

$$

ORZ021-022-101815-
/O.EXT.KMFR.HW.W.0021.061110T1800Z-061111T0200Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COOS BAY...NORTH BEND...REEDSPORT...
COQUILLE...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...GOLD BEACH
1114 PM PST THU NOV 9 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM PST
FRIDAY...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM PST
FRIDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE COAST.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$
RH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
300 PM PST THU NOV 9 2006

.DISCUSSION...THE FIRST OF A SERIES OF VERY STRONG WINTER STORMS
WILL ENTER THE REGION FRIDAY...BRINGING WET AND WINDY CONDITIONS FOR
THE FIRST SYSTEM ON FRIDAY. VERY HEAVY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE
LIKELY WITH THIS FIRST SYSTEM WITH VERY STRONG DYNAMICS WITH A
KISSING JET PATTERN. 850 WINDS ARE INDICATING A BARRIER JET
FORMATION ALONG THE COAST AND HAVE ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING ON THE
COAST FOR FRIDAY. PRESSURE GRADIENT AND 700MB WINDS ARE ALSO
INDICATING A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE SHASTA VALLEY FOR FRIDAY AS WELL.
COLD AIR COMES IN ON THE TAIL END OF THIS SYSTEM AND HAVE ISSUED A
SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE MOUNT SHASTA AREA WITH TAPERING BUT CONTINUED
PRECIPITATION.

ANOTHER...EVEN STRONGER SYSTEM COMES IN ON THE HEAD OF AN 180KT JET
WHICH THEN STALLS OVER THE REGION. THE GFS IS SHOWING S 850 MB WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70KT WITH THIS AND ANOTHER STRONG WIND EVENT IS LIKELY
ALONG THE COAST AND THE SHASTA VALLEY SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS LOOKING
TO STALL OVER THE REGION AND PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
LOCALLY FROM THE CASCADES TO THE COAST BY MONDAY.

.LONG TERM DISCUSSION...CONTINUED ZONAL FLOW WITH EMBEDDED
DISTURBANCES IS ON THE MENU FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST.
MODELS BEGIN TO DIFFER MOVING INTO THURSDAY. GOING TO KEEP POPS IN
THE FCAST FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD DUE TO THE TIMING AND ENERGY
UNCERTAINTY OF THE MODELS THIS FAR OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN THE VICINITY OF
MOUNTAINS THROUGH MID-MORNING WITH SOME MVFR CIGS IN STRATUS OVER
THE VALLEYS. EXPECT MOST AREAS TO BE VFR BY LATE MORNING EXCEPT NEAR
LINGERING SHOWERS WHERE MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH WINDS WARNING FRIDAY SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OREGON
          COAST.
     GALE WARNING...BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT FLORENCE OR TO CAPE
          BLANCO OR 20-60NM.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING...FLORENCE OR TO OR/CA BORDER
          0-20NM.

CA...WIND ADVISORY...SHASTA VALLEY FRIDAY.
     SNOW ADVISORY...SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY FRIDAY NIGHT.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS...OR/CA BORDER TO POINT ST
          GEORGE CA 20-60 NM.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR SEAS...OR/CA BORDER TO POINT ST
          GEORGE CA 0-60 NM.

&&

SVEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
600 AM PST THU NOV 9 2006

ORZ021-022-101400-
CURRY COUNTY COAST-SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-
600 AM PST THU NOV 9 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN OREGON AND NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. SEE HIGH WIND WATCH PRODUCT FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

GLASER