Red Flag Warning 43, NWS Miami, FL

000 
WWUS82 KMFL 072112
RFWMFL

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
512 PM EDT SUN MAY 7 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING INTERIOR ZONES AND INLAND AREAS OF THE
COASTAL ZONES CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING FOR SUSTAINED
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS...

ON MONDAY...THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE DRY
CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TO BE FURTHER EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE
AREA AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE CAN BE
EXPECTED PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST. AT THIS TIME...
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT
FOR 4 HOURS OR LONGER MAINLY AROUND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION BUT
ONLY FOR 2 TO 3 HOURS ELSEWHERE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. THEREFORE...A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN BROWARD AND PALM
BEACH COUNTIES...EASTERN COLLIER...HENDRY...AND GLADES COUNTIES IN
SOUTH FLORIDA FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON.

FLZ063-066-067-070-071-072300-
/O.NEW.KMFL.FW.A.0028.060508T1600Z-060508T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.FW.W.0043.000000T0000Z-060507T2300Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD-
512 PM EDT SUN MAY 7 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR MONDAY AFTERNOON. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND
POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ068-069-072>075-072300-
/O.CON.KMFL.FW.W.0043.000000T0000Z-060507T2300Z/
PALM BEACH EASTERN-WESTERN COLLIER-BROWARD METROPOLITAN-
WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN-MAINLAND MONROE-
512 PM EDT SUN MAY 7 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM
TEMPERATURES CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
930 PM EDT SAT MAY 6 2006

.UPDATE...THE ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE FROM THIS AFTERNOON WAS ABLE TO
BRING ENOUGH MOISTURE TO PUSH EAST COAST AND INTERIOR DEW POINTS
INTO THE LOWER 60S. DEW POINTS ALONG THE WEST COAST REMAIN IN THE
UPPER 60S. WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT LOW OVER INTERIOR AREAS A LITTLE
TO THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NO OTHER CHANGES PLANNED. FORECAST IN GOOD
SHAPE.

.MARINE...A SHIP OBSERVATION EAST OF PALM BEACH THIS EVENING IS
INDICATING UP TO 15 KNOT SOUTH FLOW OVER THE GULF STREAM. THIS IS IN
AGREEMENT WITH SETTLEMENT POINT AND FOWEY ROCKS CMANS...SHOWING 10
TO 15 KNOT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER ATLANTIC WATERS...AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. WILL NEED TO
BUMP UP WINDS OVER ATLANTIC WATERS A CATEGORY. WILL ALSO MAKE A
MINOR TWEAK AND BUMP UP LAKE OKECHOBEE WINDS TO 5 TO 10
KNOTS...REFLECTING CURRENT LAKE OBSERVATIONS. BUOY 14 OVER THE GULF
WATERS IS SHOWING ONLY LIGHT FLOW...NO CHANGES THERE.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL THE
WEATHER ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. SEA BREEZES WILL FORM EACH AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE LACKING TO ALLOW FOR ANY
CONVECTION TO DEVELOP. LATEST GFS RUN SHOWS A WEAKENING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MOVING INTO AND DISSIPATING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ON
TUESDAY. DID NOT INTRODUCE ANY SHOWER MENTION AT THIS TIME
THOUGH...SINCE THE BOUNDARY LOOKS VERY WEAK AND PREVIOUS RUNS LEFT
THIS BOUNDARY TO OUR NORTH. GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW A LONG WAVE TROUGH
OVER THE EASTERN U.S. BY LATE NEXT WEEK. THIS COULD DROP A WEAKENING
COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA BY FRIDAY. MORE MOISTURE AHEAD OF AND
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE COULD ALLOW FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM FORMATION ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA BY LATE NEXT
WEEK. HOWEVER...ANY DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE STILL LOOKS TO REMAIN FAR
REMOVED FROM SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS WILL MAINTAIN LOW SEAS THROUGHOUT
THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...SEA BREEZES HAVE SET IN ON BOTH COASTS.
HOWEVER...JUST INLAND SUCH AS A TMB...RH IS NEAR 35 PERCENT...SO
FOR NOW THE RFW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS
SHOW DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE
TOMORROW...AND THE NAM RESPONDS BY BRINGING DEWPOINTS DOWN INTO
THE LOWER 50S OVER ALL BUT COASTAL AREAS SUN AFTERNOON...DUE TO
MIXING. DID NOT GO QUITE AS ROBUST AS THE NAM...BUT BELIEVE IN ITS
TREND...SO TRENDED SOMEWHAT LOWER WITH FORECASTED DEWPOINTS FOR
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. WILL ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
GLADES...HENDRY...EASTERN COLLIER...WESTERN PALM BEACH...AND
WESTERN BROWARD COUNTY FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF LONG DURATION OF
RHS BELOW 35 PERCENT. EXPECT SEA BREEZES TO MODERATE THE MOISTURE
CLOSER TO THE COAST.

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUN AFTERNOON FOR INTERIOR ZONES.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

DG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
444 AM EDT SAT MAY 6 2006

FLZ063-066>075-070930-
GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN-
MAINLAND MONROE-
444 AM EDT SAT MAY 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO.