Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 472, NWS Memphis, TN

August 20, 2006Randolph County, Arkansas

NWS Memphis, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 20, 2006, 6:01 PM CDT for Randolph County, Arkansas. It was in force for 21 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 20, 2006, 6:01 PM CDT (23:01 UTC)
Expired
Aug 20, 2006, 6:22 PM CDT
In force
21 min
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Randolph County, AR

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 152 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 255 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2006-08-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 691 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2006-08-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 108 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
691 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-152 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
936 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
108 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 20, 1:49 PM CDT, 4 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 20, 1:49 PM CDT, 4 hours 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
149 PM CDT SUN AUG 20 2006

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED AFTERNOON FORECAST DUE TO SEVERAL OBSERVATIONS INDICATING
HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR OR IN EXCESS OF 105 DEGREES...MAINLY JUST
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WHERE CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE POOLING IS
OCCURRING. AS A RESULT...A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 7
PM THIS EVENING. THE COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM JUST NORTH OF
JACKSON TO AROUND WYNNE. A BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED
ALONG THE LINE AND THE FRONT IS NOTED BY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
BEHIND THE FRONT. THERE IS ANOTHER AREAS OF CONVECTION OVER
MISSOURI THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE 850 MB FRONT. THE COOLER AIR
AND LOWER DEW POINTS ARE WELL BEHIND THE SURFACE FRONT AND APPEAR
TO BE MORE ASSOCIATED WITH THE 850MB FRONT. THIS MAY BE BECAUSE
THE SURFACE FRONT IS SIMPLY UNDERCUTTING THE RIDGE.

LEANING MORE TOWARDS THE NAM SOLUTION OVER THE GFS. GFS
INITIALIZED WITH AN MCS OVER THE REGION. ALSO...THE NAM HAS HAD A
BETTER HANDLE ON THE CONVECTIVE TRENDS OVER MISSOURI TODAY. AS A
RESULT...AM EXPECTING ONLY SCATTERED RAIN CHANCES THROUGH MONDAY
AS THE 850MB FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. THIS IS LARGELY DUE TO
THIS FRONT BEING LARGELY AFFECTED BY SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER RIDGE.

AFTER MONDAY...FORECAST BECOMES MUCH MORE SIMPLIFIED AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR
SETTLING IN FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS NEXT
WEEKEND WHEN ANOTHER FRONT COULD MOVE INTO THE REGION.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE(AR)-MISSISSIPPI-POINSETT-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...NONE.
MS...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ALCORN-BENTON(MS)-
     DESOTO-MARSHALL-PRENTISS-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA.

TN...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
     CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-
     HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON.

&&

VALLE
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 20, 1:44 PM CDT, 4 hours 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
144 PM CDT SUN AUG 20 2006

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-211100-
ALCORN-BENTON(MS)-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-
MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
144 PM CDT SUN AUG 20 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PROVIDE HEAT INDICES AS HIGH AS 105 TO
110 DEGREES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON. A HEAT
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING
AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. THE BEST
CHANCE OF STORMS WILL BE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. A FEW STORMS COULD
BE STRONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND GUSTY
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. DURING THIS TIME...A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SWC/VALLE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 20, 4:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 20, 4:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 20, 5:02 PM CDT, 59 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 20, 5:04 PM CDT, 57 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 20, 5:14 PM CDT, 47 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 20, 5:56 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 20, 1:36 PM CDTHeat AdvisoryMEGCarroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer, Fayette and 10 more4 hr
Aug 20, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead29 min
Aug 20, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross29 min
Aug 20, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden15 min
Aug 20, 5:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross10 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.