Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 438, NWS Memphis, TN

August 3, 2006Lawrence County, Arkansas

NWS Memphis, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 3, 2006, 6:09 PM CDT for Lawrence County, Arkansas. It was in force for 18 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Aug 3, 2006, 6:09 PM CDT (23:09 UTC)
Expired: Aug 3, 2006, 6:27 PM CDT
In force: 18 min
Issued by: NWS Memphis, TN
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Lawrence County, AR

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 3, 2:54 PM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 3, 2:54 PM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
254 PM CDT THU AUG 3 2006

.DISCUSSION...

SHORT TERM...HOT AND HUMID ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG NORTHERN ARKANSAS AHEAD OF AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE MAIN COLD FRONT. ACTIVITY THAT DOES
DEVELOP WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. OTHER
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS
AS WELL WITH THE HEATING OF THE DAY. WILL STAY FOCUSED ON THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF STORMS FOR PULSATING CELLS THIS AFTERNOON.

CURRENTLY...THE COLD FRONT IS POSITIONED ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
THROUGH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND NORTHERN INDIANA. THE COLD FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO SLIDE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. EXPECTING THE COLD FRONT TO BE BISECTING THE MID-SOUTH BY
FRIDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES STILL IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S ACROSS
MISSISSIPPI.

THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTHWARD DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY WITH ONLY SCATTERED CHANCES OF RAIN AND STORMS...AS THE
FRONT BEGINS TO STALL OUT OVER CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER BUT WILL REMAIN IN THE 90S ACROSS THE AREA.

LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...A RETURN TO THE MID AND
UPPER 90S ACROSS THE REGION...AS THE FRONT WASHES OUT OR EVEN
LIFTS AS AS WARM FRONT. BY MONDAY...THE RIDGE BUILDS BACK IN PLACE
ALONG WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES. AT THIS TIME THE DIFFERENCES IN
MODELS ARE IN THE CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK OF THE GFS WITH AFTERNOON
SUMMERTIME THUNDERSTORMS. THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE WARMER THAN CLIMO AT
THIS TIME...SO WILL CONTINUE TO SPLIT TEMPERATURES BETWEEN THE GFS
AND UKMET WITH TEMPERATURES MOVING BACK INTO THE MID AND UPPER 90S
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  77  95  73  95 /  30  30  20  10
MKL  72  91  68  93 /  30  30  10  10
JBR  73  91  69  93 /  30  30  10  10
TUP  74  96  71  96 /  20  30  20  20

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

JRA

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 3, 3:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
315 PM CDT THU AUG 3 2006

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-041100-
ALCORN-BENTON(MS)-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-
MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
315 PM CDT THU AUG 3 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
MID SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS MAY BE STRONG AND PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
THESE STORMS WILL WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET.

AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES LATER TONIGHT...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY
REDEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT AND SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ACROSS NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...HOT TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH HUMID
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AGAIN ON FRIDAY WITH HEAT INDICIES AROUND
100 DEGREES.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG DURING THE AFTERNOON ON
FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MAXIMUM HEATING OF THE DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

JRA

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 3, 5:42 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 3, 4:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Randolph	41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.