Severe Thunderstorm Warning 398, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
247 PM CDT MON MAY 29 2006

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE
MIDSOUTH WITH DAYTIME HEATING...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER AND IN THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL. THE FORECAST AREA IS
SANDWICHED BETWEEN AN UPPER HIGH TO THE EAST AND A WEAK LOW TO THE
SOUTHWEST. THE WEAK LOW HAS SPAWNED MANY MORE STORMS...ESPECIALLY
OVER NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS.

THE WEAK UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN TRAPPED OVER EAST TEXAS ON THE
WESTERN EDGE OF THE UPPER HIGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THIS PESKY
LOW WILL KEEP A MOISTURE AXIS FROM THE TEXAS GULF COAST TO THE
GREAT LAKES...STRETCHED OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA. THUS THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE VARIABILITY IN THE FORECAST
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HOT AND HUMID WITH INCREASING CHANCES
OF THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING OVERNIGHT. THE FORECAST AREA WILL
REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MOISTURE AXIS AND WEAK UPPER LOW
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATE WEDNESDAY
AND INTO THE MIDWEST THURSDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ACCOMPANY A SLOW MOVING ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY. THE FRONT WILL HELP SCOUR OUT
THE REMAINING RAIN LATE FRIDAY. NEXT WEEKEND APPEARS DRY AT THIS
TIME.

THE WESTERN RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. WHICH WILL CAUSE
DRY CONDITIONS AND DAYTIME TEMPERATURES TO RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

AC