Wind Advisory 6, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 121023
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
423 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS TODAY...

.STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY IN
ADVANCE OF A POTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL ALSO DEEPEN ACROSS
EASTERN COLORADO AND WESTERN KANSAS IN ADVANCE OF THIS FEATURE.
THE STRONG WINDS ALOFT IN COMBINATION WITH A TIGHTENING SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...AND THE MARFA
PLATEAU REGION THIS AFTERNOON.

TXZ074-122200-
/O.UPG.KMAF.WI.Y.0006.060312T1200Z-060313T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KMAF.HW.W.0026.060312T1023Z-060312T2200Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALPINE
423 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...WHICH
IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR
60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS ELEVATIONS ABOVE
6000 FEET. WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. 

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. 

$$

NMZ027-TXZ258-122200-
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-060313T0600Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...
PINE SPRINGS
323 AM MST SUN MAR 12 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING...

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. WEST
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 45 TO 60 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS OVER 75 MPH
POSSIBLE. 

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH
HIGH PROFILE OR LIGHT WEIGHT VEHICLES. PERSONS PLANNING TRAVEL
THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS MAY WANT TO CONSIDER ALTERNATE ROUTES.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING.  SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.  THOSE PLANNING
TRAVEL THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH WINDS.

$$

NMZ028-029-033-034-TXZ045-046-050-057>060-067-080-122200-
/O.NEW.KMAF.WI.Y.0007.060312T1700Z-060313T0000Z/
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-
SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-DAWSON-ANDREWS-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-WARD-
MARFA PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...
SEMINOLE...LAMESA...ANDREWS...VAN HORN...PECOS...MENTONE...
RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...MONAHANS...MARFA
423 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006 /323 AM MST SUN MAR 12 2006/

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CST /10 AM MST/ THIS
MORNING TO 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CST /10 AM MST/ THIS
MORNING TO 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH A FEW
GUSTS OVER 45 MPH POSSIBLE. PATCHY BLOWING DUST MAY ALSO OCCUR...
ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS NEAR OPEN FIELDS. THE WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY
DIMINISH BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
224 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

.SHORT TERM...
STRONG SHORTWAVE ROTATING THROUGH BASE OF WESTERN U.S. TROUGH ALONG
WITH SURFACE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE WINDY PATTERN FOR THE REGION
THROUGH SHORT TERM. AS A RESULT MAIN CONCERN WILL REMAIN FOR DRY
AND WINDY CONDITIONS. OVERNIGHT LOOK FOR INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS
FROM THE WEST WITH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY FALLING INTO THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WILL CONTINUE HIGH WIND WARNING
FOR GDP THROUGH THE NIGHT. WIND SPEEDS HAVE SLOWLY INCREASED
DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WEST BUT THESE SHOULD QUICKLY
DECOUPLE ACROSS THE PLAINS THIS EVENING.

.LONG TERM...
DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK AS UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
REMAIN UNDER TIGHT WESTERLY FLOW. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT.  THIS WILL HELP PULL THE SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHT AGAIN SO WINDS WILL STAY UP AS THE FRONT
MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL KEEP TEMPS BELOW
CLIMATE AVERAGES FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS. THE FRONT WILL BE A DRY
FRONT AS WESTERLY WINDS ARE KEEPING GULF MOISTURE AT BAY.

THE BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE JUST NORTH OF THE AREA
AND BY MID WEEK THE GRADIENT AT THE SURFACE WILL RELAX CONSIDERABLY
AS A SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.  THIS WILL BE THE BEST
CHANCE AT PULLING SOME GULF MOISTURE BACK INTO THE REGION AS SURFACE
WINDS BEGIN TO BACK AROUND TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST.  THE GFS AND
DGEX BOTH POINT AT A DRYLINE SET UP IN THIS TIME FRAME AS WELL BUT
AT THIS TIME OPINIONS IN THE TWO DIFFER A BIT WITH SPEED. SO AT THIS
POINT ELECTED TO TAKE A BLEND OF THE TWO.  THE GFS KICKED THE DRY
LINE EAST VERY QUICKLY WHILE THE DGEX HELD IT AROUND FOR A COUPLE OF
DAYS. FOR NOW HAVE KEPT RAIN CHANCES TOWARDS THE WEEKEND AND IN
THE ISOLATED CATEGORY FOR THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA
BECAUSE IT WILL TAKE SOME WORK TO GET A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF
MOISTURE BACK INTO THE AREA...BUT IT IS STILL A VIABLE POSSIBILITY
AT THIS POINT.

ALONG WITH THE DRYLINE SET UP ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA BY MIDWEEK MAKING THINGS INTERESTING FOR THE FORECAST. MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE PROGGED TO STEEPEN SOME AHEAD OF THE FRONT
BUT OTHER INSTABILITY PARAMETERS ARE LACKING OVER OUR AREA.  WHAT
LITTLE INSTABILITY THERE IS LOOKS TO REMAIN WELL TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THAT SAID...IF ENOUGH MOISTURE IS
PRODUCED... AND GIVEN A DECENT LIFTING MECHANISM...CAN/T RULE OUT
A STRAY THUNDERSTORM OR TWO TOWARDS WEEKS END WITH THE FRONT AND
DRYLINE SET UP. AT THIS POINT HOWEVER...IF ANYTHING DOES DECIDE TO
GO UP...IT LOOKS TO STAY WELL BELOW SEVERE CRITERIA. BUT THE RAIN
WOULD BE A WELCOME ADDITION TO THE AREA FOR MOST.

TEMPERATURES DURING THE WEEK WILL MAKE A BRIEF REBOUND TO BACK ABOVE
NORMAL UNTIL THE SECOND FRONT PASSES THROUGH LATE MIDWEEK. THE FRONT
WILL LIKELY ONLY DROP TEMPS BACK DOWN TO CLIMATE BEFORE STARTING
THE UPWARDS TREND AGAIN. IN ADDITION...WE ARE LOOKING AT THE
POSSIBILITY OF THE WINDS MAKING A RETURN TO THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DRY AIR AND WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE ALLOWED RH TO FALL BELOW 15%
ACROSS MOST OF AREA THIS AFTERNOON.  EVEN THROUGH 20 FT WIND SPEEDS
HAVE BEEN SLOW TO INCREASE... WILL ALLOW CURRENT RED FLAG WARNING
FOR WESTERN CWA TO CONTINUE THROUGH 00Z.

SINCE LOOKING FOR ANOTHER WARM AND WINDY DAY TOMORROW WITH MINIMUM
RH BELOW 15% AREAWIDE... AND 20 FT WIND SPEEDS 20 MPH OR GREATER...
ALONG WITH HIGH FIRE DANGER... WILL CONTINUE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
SUNDAY.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE SURFACE WIND WILL BE QUICKER TO
INCREASE ON SUNDAY THAN TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              46  76  43  65 /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                43  71  39  64 /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  52  88  51  75 /   0   0  10   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           49  82  45  67 /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          41  60  35  56 /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   42  70  38  61 /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   36  70  34  64 /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    46  76  41  64 /   0   0  10   0
ODESSA TX                  47  77  42  65 /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    48  80  42  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONE...
     GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.

     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES...CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS...GUADALUPE
     MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA COUNTY...AND
     SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON CST SUNDAY TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES...CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY
     PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA
     COUNTY...AND SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON CST SUNDAY TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES...ANDREWS...BIG BEND AREA...BORDEN...
     CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...
     GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...
     LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...
     PECOS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER
     TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...TERRELL...UPTON...VAN HORN AND
     HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...AND WINKLER.

     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES...ANDREWS...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GAINES...
     GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...REEVES
     COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54
     CORRIDOR...WARD...AND WINKLER.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM CST SUNDAY TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONE...
     GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

72/13

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
246 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-122100-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
246 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006 /146 PM MST SAT MAR 11 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. SUSTAINED SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SPEEDS OF 35 TO
50 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

WARM...DRY...AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN ENHANCED
POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD GENERALLY ALONG AND
WEST OF A SEMINOLE... WINK... PECOS... TO MARFA LINE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
EVENING. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE.

WARM TEMPERATURES...VERY DRY AIR...AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL ONCE AGAIN
RESULT IN AN ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD
ACROSS MOST OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND