Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 30, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 28, 2006, 5:28 PM CST for Pecos County, Texas. It was in force for 62 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 28, 2006, 5:28 PM CST (23:28 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 28, 2006, 6:30 PM CST
- In force
- 62 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Pecos County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 5:30 PM CST | HAIL 1 | Belding, TX | UP TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN BELDING. THE HAIL COVERED THE GROUND LOOKING LIKE IT SNOWED. |
| Mar 28, 6:30 PM CST | HAIL 0.88 | Belding, TX |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 2 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -295 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 965 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 102 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 196 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.8
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS54 KMAF 282330 SVRMAF TXC371-290030- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0030.060328T2328Z-060329T0030Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 528 PM CST TUE MAR 28 2006 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... WESTERN PECOS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS... * UNTIL 630 PM CST * AT 525 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED TWO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. ONE STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BELDING. A SECOND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HIGHWAY 67...30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT STOCKTON. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... FORT STOCKTON... BELDING... IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY... CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIDLAND AT 1 800 597 3220. LAT...LON 3079 10349 3048 10304 3099 10237 3125 10288 $$
1 follow-up statement
000 WWUS54 KMAF 290000 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 558 PM CST TUE MAR 28 2006 TXC371-290030- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0030.000000T0000Z-060329T0030Z/ PECOS TX- 558 PM CST TUE MAR 28 2006 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CST FOR WESTERN PECOS COUNTY... AT 555 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL... AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BELDING...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE... FORT STOCKTON...HIGHWAY 385 AND HIGHWAY 285 ADJACENT TO FORT STOCKTON... INTERSTATE 10 NEAR FORT STOCKTON. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH... PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS... DESTRUCTIVE HAIL... AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AWAY FROM WINDOWS. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY... CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIDLAND AT 1 800 597 3220. LAT...LON 3079 10349 3048 10304 3099 10237 3125 10288 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 28, 2:57 PM CST, 2 hours 31 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 28, 2:57 PM CST, 2 hours 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
257 PM CST TUE MAR 28 2006
.SHORT TERM...
UPPER LEVEL LOW OFF THE CA COAST CONTINUES TO EJECT A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES THAT MOVE ACROSS THE CWA. SHORTWAVES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE CWA TONIGHT AS A SURFACE STATIONARY FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE NORTH
AS A WARM FRONT. THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES COMBINED WITH THE
FRONT WILL INTERACT WITH INCREASING MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CWA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
WITH BULK SHEAR VECTORS IN THE 30 TO 40 KT RANGE AND 700 TO 500 MB
LAPSE RATES FROM 6.5 TO 7 DEG C/KM...THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. HOWEVER...SOME OF THE STORMS MAY APPROACH
SEVERE CRITERIA WITH THE MAIN THREAT FROM HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
INCREASED THE POPS AND QPFS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA
TONIGHT. GFS TRIED TO BREAK OUT AN MCS OVER THE NORTHERN CWA WITH A
3 INCH BULLSEYE OVER WESTERN SCURRY COUNTY FOR THE 6 HOURS ENDING AT
12Z WEDNESDAY. CONSIDERED THIS TO BE FROM CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK AND
STAYED CLOSER TO THE DRIER NAM/NGM MODELS. OTHERWISE...NO MAJOR
CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE GRIDS.
.LONG TERM...
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AS A STRONG UPPER LOW CURRENTLY JUST OFF THE NORTHERN
CA/SOUTHERN OR COAST TRANSLATES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND
INTO THE ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE... THE DRYLINE WILL INITIALLY BE
LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG A CAPROCK NEW MEXICO TO PECOS TEXAS LINE. THE
DRYLINE WILL ATTEMPT TO PUSH EAST THROUGH THE PERMIAN BASIN
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... HOWEVER UPSTREAM SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS IN
ADVANCE OF THE UPPER LOW WILL LIKELY ALLOW THE DRYLINE TO QUICKLY
RETREAT WESTWARD DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. WE WILL KEEP CHANCES
FAIRLY LOW FOR AREAS EAST OF THE DRYLINE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS IT APPEARS WEAK FORCING FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION WILL BE
THE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR ACROSS OUR REGION. A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION
THIS POSSIBILITY IN THE UPCOMING HWO. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ON THE
DECREASE THURSDAY AS THE MAIN UPPER LOW MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.
THE SHORT RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE ON HOW FAR SOUTH THE
TROUGH AXIS WILL EXTEND INTO NEW MEXICO. THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET
MODELS ARE SHOWING THE TROUGH FARTHER SOUTH VS. THE SLIGHTLY
FARTHER NORTH SOLUTION OF THE NAM. PREFER TO GO WITH THE MAJORITY
HERE AND HAVE THUS TRENDED THE WINDS CLOSER TO THE OPERATIONAL GFS
FOR THURSDAY. A BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGH WINDS MAY OCCUR IN THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS EARLY THURSDAY. CURRENT MOS NUMBERS FOR KGDP
DO NOT SUPPORT WINDS IN THE WARNING RANGE AND FAIRLY WEAK DOWNWARD
VERTICAL MOTION IS NOTED ON MODEL CROSS SECTIONS. WE WILL HOLD OFF
ON A WATCH FOR NOW AND WILL OPT TO KEEP WINDS BELOW HIGH WIND
WARNING CRITERION FOR THE GUADALUPES. AS THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVES
EAST OF THE REGION A WEAK PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTH PLAINS ON FRIDAY. SURFACE PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE BOUNDARY
APPEAR WEAK AND THE FRONT WILL LIKELY NOT PUSH SOUTH AND WEST OF
THE PECOS RIVER. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT RETURNS FRIDAY NIGHT AND
GENERALLY REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE DRYLINE IS
EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT AS WELL AND COULD BECOME ACTIVE DEPENDING
ON THE AMOUNT OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. FOR NOW... WE HAVE
RAISED POPS SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE REGION... BUT WILL CONFINE A
MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN... WESTERN
LOW ROLLING PLAINS AND STOCKTON PLATEAU.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL SERVE TO PUSH THE DRYLINE EAST OF
THE AREA LEAVING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH LOWERING
RH/S IN IT/S WAKE. THE LOWEST RH/S (10-15%) WILL LIKELY RESIDE
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO PLAINS... UPPER TRANS PECOS AND
FAR WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN. LOW RH/S CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED OVER THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS... HOWEVER SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES MAY
SERVE TO KEEP MINIMUM RH/S JUST ABOVE 15%. FOR NOW... WE WILL GO
AHEAD AND INCLUDE THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS... SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO PLAINS... UPPER TRANS PECOS AND WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN IN A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX 57 78 59 78 / 50 20 20 10
CARLSBAD NM 51 80 52 78 / 30 10 10 0
DRYDEN TX 61 78 59 85 / 40 20 10 10
FORT STOCKTON TX 57 84 57 79 / 40 10 10 10
GUADALUPE PASS TX 51 74 48 68 / 30 10 10 0
HOBBS NM 51 79 52 77 / 30 10 10 0
MARFA TX 47 76 42 73 / 30 10 10 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 57 78 55 80 / 50 20 20 10
ODESSA TX 58 80 59 79 / 50 20 20 10
WINK TX 57 84 58 81 / 40 10 10 0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON CST THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY
PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA
COUNTY...AND SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON CST THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...LOVING...
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...WARD...AND WINKLER.
&&
54/06Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 28, 2:33 PM CST, 2 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 233 PM CST TUE MAR 28 2006 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-292045- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 233 PM CST TUE MAR 28 2006 /133 PM MST TUE MAR 28 2006/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER THE LOWER TRANS PECOS REGION AND THE PERMIAN BASIN. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS THE MAIN THREATS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR AREAS GENERALLY EAST OF A LAMESA TO SANDERSON LINE ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED...ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 4:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos | 64 min |
| Mar 28, 5:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reeves | 56 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.