High Wind Watch 3, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 190816
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
216 AM CST THU JAN 19 2006

...HIGH WINDS EXPECTED OVER THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS
TODAY...

.HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
AND DEVELOP OVER THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS TODAY AS MID LEVEL WINDS
INCREASE AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TRACKING EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS
EVENING.

TXZ074-191630-
/O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0003.060119T1500Z-060119T2200Z/
/O.EXB.KMAF.HW.W.0018.060119T1500Z-060119T2200Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALPINE
216 AM CST THU JAN 19 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM CST
THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
CST THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING 
TO AROUND 40 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE. VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL MID AFTERNOON.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

NMZ027-TXZ258-191630-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-060120T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...
PINE SPRINGS
116 AM MST THU JAN 19 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 75 MPH ABOVE 6000 FEET. PERSONS DRIVING THROUGH THE PASS
SHOULD BE VERY CAUTIOUS AS SUSTAINED WINDS EXCEEDING 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 190822 CCA
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
216 AM CST THU JAN 19 2006

...HIGH WINDS EXPECTED OVER THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS
TODAY...

.HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
AND DEVELOP OVER THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS TODAY AS MID LEVEL WINDS
INCREASE AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TRACKING EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS
EVENING.

TXZ074-192159-
/O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0003.060119T1500Z-060119T2200Z/
/O.EXB.KMAF.HW.W.0018.060119T1500Z-060119T2200Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALPINE
216 AM CST THU JAN 19 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM CST
THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
CST THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING 
TO AROUND 40 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE. VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL MID AFTERNOON.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

NMZ027-TXZ258-192359-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-060120T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...
PINE SPRINGS
116 AM MST THU JAN 19 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 75 MPH ABOVE 6000 FEET. PERSONS DRIVING THROUGH THE PASS
SHOULD BE VERY CAUTIOUS AS SUSTAINED WINDS EXCEEDING 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
425 PM CST WED JAN 18 2006

.UPDATE...
A LOOK AT 18Z ETA INCREASES CONFIDENCE OF A HIGH WIND EVENT IN THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS BEGINNING TONIGHT. 700 MB HEIGHT GRADIENT OVER
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS INCREASES BY NEARLY 50 PERCENT FROM 21Z TO 3Z.
WINDS AT THE PINERY HAVE ALREADY GUSTED ABOVE 60 MPH AND LATEST
HOURLY OBSERVATION FROM GUADALUPE PASS INDICATED SUSTAINED WIND OF
35 KNOTS. CROSS SECTION ACROSS GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY INDICATIVE OF WELL DEVELOPED MOUNTAIN WAVE...SO HIGH
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY...
SLACKENING A LITTLE THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL ISSUE A HIGH WIND WATCH
FOR THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ON THURSDAY. APPEARS CERTAINLY OF A HIGH
WIND EVENT OVER THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS IS NOT SO GREAT.

.FIRE WEATHER...
RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS LOOKS GOOD THROUGH 3Z.
AFTER 3Z...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE TO ABOVE 15 PERCENT THOUGH 20 FT
WINDS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 20 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT. IN THE PLAINS...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO ABATE AROUND 0Z
AS WINDS DECREASE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 230 PM CST WED JAN 18 2006)

SHORT TERM...
ZONAL FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE RECENT WX PATTERN
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.  LEESIDE TROUGH WILL KEEP A STEADY SOUTHWEST
WIND OVERNIGHT THAT WILL HELP TO LIMIT RADIATIONAL COOLING.  LOOK
FOR LOWS TONIGHT ABOVE FREEZING.

MAY HAVE A HIGH WIND EVENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN THE GUADALUPES AS
ETA INDICATING A MOUNTAIN WAVE COUPLET THAT CONTINUES ON AND OFF
THROUGH TOMORROW.  GUIDANCE INDICATING WILL ONLY APPROACH HIGH WIND
CRITERIA TODAY AND BE STRONGER TOMORROW... SO AT THIS TIME ONLY PLAN
TO MONITOR WIND SPEEDS.  THE WIND AT THE BOWL HAS BEEN STRONGER THAN
AT THE PASS WITH GUSTS OVER 50 MPH.

SHOULD HAVE INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT FROM THE WEST.  JUST FOR
INFORMATION IT HAS BEEN RIGHT AT A MONTH SINCE LAST HAD MEASURED
PRECIPITATION.  THE DATE WAS DEC 19 AND MAF HAD 0.04.

LONG TERM...
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CWA THURSDAY BEFORE A WEAK
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE BRUSHES THE AREA TO THE NORTH ON FRIDAY.
THE APPROACH OF THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE A MARGINAL WIND EVENT OVER
THE CWA THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  WIND SPEEDS IN THE THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS WILL BE MARGINAL FOR HIGH WIND WARNING...SO WILL DEFER ANY
HIGH WIND WARNINGS TO LATER SHIFTS.  WILL...HOWEVER...CONTINUE THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH OVER THE WESTERN CWA AS CONDITIONS WILL APPROACH
RED FLAG CRITERIA ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN AREAS.  THE UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM WILL DRAG A PACIFIC COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES BY SATURDAY.

A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CWA THIS WEEKEND INTO
THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.  THESE SHORTWAVES WILL HELP KEEP
TEMPERATURES IN THE NORMAL RANGE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
GFS ADVERTISES AN INCREASE IN POPS LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.
WILL HOLD OF MENTIONING PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST THAT FAR
INTO THE FUTURE.

FIRE WEATHER...
WILL CONTINUE RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH 03Z FOR SE NEW MEXICO... THE
PERMIAN BASIN... AND UPPER TRANS PECOS.  RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT
EXPECTED TO BE POOR.  ON THURSDAY CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...BREEZY CONDITIONS AND LOW RH VALUES OF 5-10 PERCENT
WILL RESULT IN CONTINUATION OF A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE TX/NM
MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND UPPER TRANS PECOS.
COOLER TEMPS CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY DUE TO A PASSING COLD FRONT WITH
RH VALUES INCREASING INTO THE 15-20 PERCENT RANGE.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES...CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS...GUADALUPE
     MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA COUNTY...AND
     SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1 PM CST THURSDAY TO 8 PM CST THURSDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY
     PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA
     COUNTY...AND SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES...ANDREWS...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
     AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE
     MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...LOVING...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...
     REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...
     UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...AND
     WINKLER.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1 PM CST THURSDAY TO 8 PM CST THURSDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...
     GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...
     AND VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

&&

99/05

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
241 PM CST WED JAN 18 2006

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-192045-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
241 PM CST WED JAN 18 2006 /141 PM MST WED JAN 18 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

BRISK SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAS COMBINED TO
INCREASE THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. A RED
FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND THE PERMIAN BASIN THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...THE UPPER
TRANS PECOS...AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND