Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2006

Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

March 19, 2006Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this flash flood warning at Mar 19, 2006, 7:49 PM MST for Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Mar 19, 2006, 7:49 PM MST (02:49 UTC)
Expired: Mar 19, 2006, 10:45 PM MST
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 194 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Mar 19, 7:50 PM MST	FLASH FLOOD	Artesia, NM	NEW MEXICO HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED STREET FLOODING IN ARTESIA.
Mar 19, 7:50 PM MST	FLASH FLOOD	Carlsbad, NM	NEW MEXICO HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED STREET FLOODING IN CARLSBAD.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 1 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 742 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 100 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 207 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 373 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KMAF 200249
FFWMAF
NMC015-025-200545-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
749 PM MST SUN MAR 19 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...
  EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 1045 PM MST

* AT 739 PM MST...A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED RAINFALL 
  OCCURRING AT A RATE OF 4 INCHES AN HOUR AT LAKEWOOD. SIMILAR
  RATES OF RAINFALL WERE OCCURRING OVER A LARGE PART OF EDDY 
  COUNTY...INCLUDING CARLSBAD. STREET FLOODING WAS ALREADY
  OCCURRING IN CARLSBAD.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SEVEN
  RIVERS...LOCO HILLS...LAKEWOOD...ESPUELA...DAYTON...AVALON...ATOKA
  AND ARTESIA

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WHICH COULD INCREASE THE POTENTIAL
FOR FLOODING IN THE WARNED AREA.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. ACT QUICKLY IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS
IMMINENT. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS... CREEKS... AND OTHER
LOW LYING AREAS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF
UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE.

TO REPORT FLOODING OR SEVERE WEATHER ONLY... CALL THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIDLAND AT 1 800 597 3220.

LAT...LON 3297 10459 3201 10461 3201 10371 3253 10371
      3253 10381 3298 10380

$$

05

1 follow-up statement

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 200318
FFSMAF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
916 PM CST SUN MAR 19 2006

NMC015-025-200545-
LEA NM-EDDY NM-
816 PM MST SUN MAR 19 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM MST FOR EDDY
AND LEA COUNTIES...

AT 813 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. THESE STORMS 
WERE LOCATED ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES WEST OF 
CROSSROADS TO 21 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MALAGA...OR 19 MILES NORTHWEST 
OF TATUM TO 24 MILES NORTHWEST OF MENTONE...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...CROSSROADS...BUCKEYE...TATUM...MCDONALD...LOVINGTON...
GLADIOLA...MONUMENT...OIL CENTER...HOBBS AND HUMBLE CITY.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOST FLOODING DEATHS ARE PREVENTABLE. TURN AROUND... DONT
DROWN.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 3297 10459 3201 10461 3201 10371 3201 10306
      3253 10307 3357 10304 3357 10371 3340 10371
      3340 10376 3298 10375

$$

05

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Mar 19, 5:56 PM MST, 1 hour 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 19, 5:56 PM MST, 1 hour 53 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
656 PM CST SUN MAR 19 2006

.UPDATE...
UPDATE HAS BEEN SENT TO RAISE THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR MOST
AREAS WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER BASED ON THE LATEST RADAR AND
SATELLITE TRENDS. PRODUCTS HAVE ALSO BEEN UPDATED TO INCLUDE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #98 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CST OR MIDNIGHT
MST.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONE...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 6 AM CST MONDAY TO 6 PM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONE...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.

TX...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...AND GUADALUPE
     MOUNTAINS.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 6 AM CST MONDAY TO 6 PM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...AND
     GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

06

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 19, 1:45 PM MST, 6 hours 4 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
245 PM CST SUN MAR 19 2006

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-201100-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
245 PM CST SUN MAR 19 2006 /145 PM MST SUN MAR 19 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION
OF STORMS IS FORECASTED TO BE ACROSS THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN TO
THE LOWER TRANS PECOS REGION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. DAMAGING WINDS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE LOWER TRANS PECOS
REGION THIS EVENING WHERE TEMPERATURE AND HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE
MAXIMIZED.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL
OCCUR THIS EVENING IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS
ABOVE 6000 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 55 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS DURING THE
DAY MONDAY.

WINDY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
PLAINS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE PERMIAN BASIN OF WEST TEXAS
MONDAY. WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTERS...LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES... AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
NEED TO MAINTAIN AWARENESS OF POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER DEVELOPMENT
THIS EVENING. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 19, 2:59 PM MST, 4 hours 50 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
359 PM CST SUN MAR 19 2006

TXZ075-082-192230-
PECOS-TERRELL-
359 PM CST SUN MAR 19 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR EAST CENTRAL PECOS AND
NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTIES.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 26 MILES WEST OF SHEFFIELD AT 359
PM CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE
INTERSTATE 10 AND STATE HIGHWAY 349. THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND SMALL HAIL.

SEEK SHELTER IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR LOCATION.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 19, 7:07 PM MST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy, Lea	53 min
Mar 19, 7:19 PM MST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	26 min
Mar 19, 7:45 PM MST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	75 min
Mar 19, 8:22 PM MST	Wind Advisory	MAF	Eddy, Lea	21 hr
Mar 19, 9:14 PM MST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Lea	61 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 2006 Every flash flood warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.