Severe Thunderstorm Warning 340, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
300 PM CDT THU JUN 22 2006

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL BE MOVING TO THE SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA. MODELS ARE MOVING THE FRONT THROUGH FASTER...WHICH
IS UNUSUAL AND WILL BE A LITTLE MORE CONSERVATIVE WITH THE FRONTAL
MOVEMENT RIGHT NOW. THE UPPER RIDGE DOES RETROGRADE WITH AN UPPER
TROF SHARPENING IN THE EAST WHICH WILL INCREASE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WHICH WILL FAVOR THE FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE AREA. AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER AT FORECAST TIME WILL LIKELY
SAG SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH THROUGH THE NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY.
ISOLATED ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD FIZZLE BY EVENING.
WENT WITH HIGHEST POPS IN THE NORTH AT FIRST TONIGHT WITH LOWER POPS
TO THE SOUTH AND INCREASED POPS LATER TONIGHT INTO CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN SECTIONS. WENT WITH HIGHER POPS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
SECTIONS ON FRIDAY. MOST OF THE RAIN AND THE FRONT MAY BE OUT OF THE
AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT BUT AM NOT SO SURE THIS WILL MOVE OUT THAT
FAST. LEFT POPS IN FOR FRIDAY NIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST IN THE SOUTH.
HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE SOUTH BUILDS IN BY SATURDAY AND TOOK RAIN OUT
OF THE FORECAST FOR MOST AREAS. THERE IS STILL EVIDENCE A SHORT WAVE
IN NORTHWEST FLOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA ON SUNDAY. STUCK IN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS. TEMPS SHOULD
HOLD UP TONIGHT WITH MOST MINS WELL INTO THE 70S. THE NORTHWEST MAY
COOL INTO THE UPPER 60S WITH THUNDERSTORMS IN THAT AREA AND POSSIBLE
FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE. MAXES FRIDAY SHOULD BE HELD DOWN IN THE NORTH
FROM CLOUDS...RAIN...AND THE FRONT BUT MOST OTHER AREAS SHOULD BE
ABLE TO HEAT UP AGAIN THOUGH MAYBE NOT AS MUCH AS TODAY. COOLER
TEMPS SHOULD MOVE IN FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND WENT
RATHER CLOSE TO GUIDANCE.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TO START THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL BE
LIMITED OVER ARKANSAS SO WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY. NORTHWEST FLOW
FLATTENS OUT BY WEDNESDAY WITH MORE PROGRESSIVE FLOW. SEVERAL SHORT
WAVES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TO BRING SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NORMAL
SUMMERTIME TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
LITTLE ROCK   AR  74  89  68  88 /  40  50  30  10
HARRISON AR       67  83  63  85 /  50  50  20  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    74  89  68  88 /  40  50  30  10
PINE BLUFF AR     74  92  69  89 /  40  50  30  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  67  83  63  84 /  50  50  20  10
MONTICELLO AR     75  95  70  91 /  30  40  40  20
SEARCY AR         73  90  66  88 /  50  50  30  10
MOUNT IDA AR      73  88  63  87 /  40  50  30  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   70  87  62  86 /  50  50  30  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...29 / LONG TERM...57

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
215 PM CDT THU JUN 22 2006

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-231000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
215 PM CDT THU JUN 22 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD NORTH ARKANSAS
THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AND SPREAD MAINLY
ACROSS THE NORTH HALF OF ARKANSAS. THE ACTIVITY MAY EVOLVE INTO A
COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT AND EFFECT PARTS OF NORTHERN AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS. WHILE A FEW OF THE STORMS OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS
COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT...THE CHANCES OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LIMITED. A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES FOR EXTREME NORTH
ARKANSAS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS...GENERALLY NORTH OF A
LINE FROM BOONEVILLE...TO HOT SPRINGS...TO PINE BLUFF TO DE WITT.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS ARKANSAS
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. GOOD CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL EXIST ALONG THE FRONT. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB AT WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

44

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>