Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Little Rock, AR

January 9, 2006Pope County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 9, 2006, 8:57 PM CST for Pope County, Arkansas. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 9, 2006, 8:57 PM CST (02:57 UTC)
Expired
Jan 9, 2006, 9:45 PM CST
In force
48 min
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Pope County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2006-01-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2006-01-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 115 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1007 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
271 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 9, 4:02 PM CST, 4 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 4:02 PM CST, 4 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
402 PM CST MON JAN 9 2006

.SHORT AND LONG TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
FINALLY...IT APPEARS WE WILL GET SOME MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL ACROSS
OUR FORECAST AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. NOT A DROUGHT-BUSTER...BUT
EVERY LITTLE BIT OF MOISTURE HELPS WHEN YOU ARE AS DRY AS WE ARE.
FOR THE LAST 3 MONTHS OF 2005...OUR AREA AVERAGED A TOTAL OF ABOUT 9
INCHES BELOW NORMAL. THAT SAID...NOW ON TO THE FORECAST. FRONTAL
SYSTEM WAS STALLED OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AT MID AFTERNOON. VIGOROUS
H5 LOW WILL DROP OUT OF THE PLAINS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AND BRING
GOOD CHANCES OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR AREA. AS THE
CENTER OF THE UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS
ON TUESDAY...LOWER THICKNESS VALUES ALONG WITH THE 0 DEGREE LINE AT
850 MB WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD INTO THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF ARKANSAS.
VALUES SHOULD BE LOW ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A RAIN AND SNOW MIX OVER
ABOUT OUR NORTHERN 2 TIERS OF COUNTIES BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AT THIS
TIME...I EXPECT LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATIONS. ELSEWHERE THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN LIQUID. ALL PRECIPITATION SHOULD MOVE
OUT THE AREA BY TUESDAY EVENING. THEN DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NEXT FRONT SHOULD BE A FAST MOVER AND AFFECT
THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. MOISTURE AT THIS TIME APPEARS IT
WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED...SO DONT EXPECT ANY LARGE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND WITH DRY WEATHER
EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. NEXT FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA ON MONDAY WITH AGAIN SMALL CHANCES OF RAINFALL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
LITTLE ROCK   AR  45  48  35  59 /  90  90  10   0
HARRISON AR       35  35  30  55 /  70  70  10   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    45  49  34  61 /  80  80  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     49  51  36  61 /  90  90  10   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  35  36  32  55 /  70  70  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     52  56  38  62 /  80  80  10   0
SEARCY AR         42  47  35  57 /  80  90  10   0
MOUNT IDA AR      43  48  33  62 /  80  80  10   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   40  45  32  59 /  70  70  10   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

22
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 11:12 AM CST, 9 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1112 AM CST MON JAN 9 2006

ARZ030-031-014-033-012-013-037-038-053-056-057-054-055-015-016-
034-062-063-052-067-066-065-064-069-068-025-005-004-007-024-003-
041-040-043-042-045-044-047-046-022-021-032-023-006-039-101100-
LOGAN-CONWAY-STONE-WHITE-NEWTON-SEARCY-SCOTT-YELL-CLARK-JEFFERSON-
ARKANSAS-HOT SPRING-GRANT-IZARD-INDEPENDENCE-WOODRUFF-DALLAS-
CLEVELAND-PIKE-CALHOUN-OUACHITA-DESHA-LINCOLN-DREW-BRADLEY-
JACKSON-BAXTER-MARION-SHARP-CLEBURNE-BOONE-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SALINE-
GARLAND-LONOKE-PULASKI-MONROE-PRAIRIE-POPE-JOHNSON-FAULKNER-
VAN BUREN-FULTON-PERRY-
1112 AM CST MON JAN 9 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT THIS
AFTERNOON. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF
THE ROCKIES WILL MOVE TOWARD ARKANSAS. THESE SYSTEMS WILL INTERACT
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AND WILL
OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE STATE TONIGHT. A FEW OF THE STORMS IN THE
EXTREME SOUTH COULD PRODUCE HAIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM ONE QUARTER TO
ONE HALF INCH IN MOST AREAS...WITH PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS LIKELY ACCUMULATING MORE THAN AN INCH OF RAIN.

.DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON TUESDAY...AND WILL GRADUALLY
COME TO AN END BY TUESDAY EVENING...AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVE NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM ARKANSAS. SOME OF
THE RAIN MAY BE MIXED WITH SNOW IN NORTHERN ARKANSAS TUESDAY NIGHT
BEFORE COMING TO AN END. NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. THIS
WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN TO MUCH OF THE STATE. THE SYSTEM
WILL MOVE EAST LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED
WITH THIS SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE
VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

22

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 9, 8:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPerry, Pope, Yell38 min
Jan 9, 9:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk38 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.