Flash Flood Warning 32, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
251 PM CDT SAT JUL 29 2006

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED ECHOES OVER THE EXTREME NORTHERN SECTIONS SHOULD BE
DISSIPATING SOON BY THE TIME THIS FORECAST BECOMES EFFECTIVE.
UPPER RIDGE REESTABLISHES ITSELF RATHER QUICKLY OVER THE SOUTHERN
PART OF THE COUNTRY. ONE SHORT WAVE ATTEMPTS TO BREAK IT DOWN
DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BUT IT BARELY MANAGES TO NUDGE A
WEAK SURFACE FRONT CLOSE TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF OUR COUNTY
WARNING AREA. BASICALLY THE ENTIRE PERIOD WAS LEFT AS A DRY
FORECAST. WITHOUT A FRONTAL PASSAGE...TEMPERATURES WILL REACH
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS WITHOUT TROUBLE. THIS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF
HEAT ADVISORIES FOR SUNDAY AND MONDA FROM MORNING UNTIL LATE
AFTERNOON FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
LITTLE ROCK   AR  76  98  75  97 /  10  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       75  96  74  96 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    77  99  76  97 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     77  98  76  97 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  73  98  74  96 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     77 101  78 100 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         74  97  75  97 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      77  98  77  97 /  10  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   74  97  76  96 /  10  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM SATURDAY FOR ARZ052-ARZ053-ARZ054-
ARZ055-ARZ056-ARZ057-ARZ062-ARZ063-ARZ064-ARZ065-ARZ066-ARZ067-
ARZ068-ARZ069.

HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 8 PM SUNDAY FOR ARZ030-ARZ031-
ARZ032-ARZ033-ARZ034-ARZ037-ARZ038-ARZ039-ARZ040-ARZ041-ARZ042-
ARZ043-ARZ044-ARZ045-ARZ046-ARZ047-ARZ052-ARZ053-ARZ054-ARZ055-
ARZ056-ARZ057-ARZ062-ARZ063-ARZ064-ARZ065-ARZ066-ARZ067-ARZ068-
ARZ069.

HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 8 PM MONDAY FOR ARZ030-ARZ031-
ARZ032-ARZ033-ARZ034-ARZ037-ARZ038-ARZ039-ARZ040-ARZ041-ARZ042-
ARZ043-ARZ044-ARZ045-ARZ046-ARZ047-ARZ052-ARZ053-ARZ054-ARZ055-
ARZ056-ARZ057-ARZ062-ARZ063-ARZ064-ARZ065-ARZ066-ARZ067-ARZ068-
ARZ069.

&&

SHORT AND LONG TERM...32

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT SAT JUL 29 2006

ARZ052>057-062>069-301000-
ARKANSAS-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEVELAND-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-GRANT-
HOT SPRING-JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-OUACHITA-PIKE-
500 AM CDT SAT JUL 29 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS..

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE MID SOUTH WITH A
RETURN TO HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH ELEVATED HUMIDITY
LEVELS. THE COMBINATION OF HIGH HUMIDITY AND HOT WEATHER WILL YIELD
HIGH HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. HEAT
INDICES WILL TOP OUT NEAR 105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. AS SUCH...A
HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCKED IN FOR A GOOD PART OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK. LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION OTHER THAN AN ISOLATED
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM IS EXPECTED. HEAT INDICES WILL TOP OUT IN
EXCESS OF 105 DEGREES SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE HEAT ADVISORY WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. THERE IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY
THAT ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED LATER IN THE WEEK AS
THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL HAVE THE AREA FIRMLY IN ITS GRASP.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTED ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-301000-
BAXTER-BOONE-CLEBURNE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-INDEPENDENCE-
IZARD-JACKSON-JOHNSON-LOGAN-LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-
NEWTON-PERRY-POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-
STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT SAT JUL 29 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS..

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION AS AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH
BUILDS OVER THE MID SOUTH. ALONG WITH HOT TEMPERATURES...HUMIDITY
LEVELS WILL BE ELEVATED. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES WILL APPROACH 100
DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCKED IN FOR A GOOD PART OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK. LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION OTHER THAN AN ISOLATED
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM IS EXPECTED. HEAT INDICES WILL TOP OUT IN
EXCESS OF 105 DEGREES SUNDAY AFTERNOON OVER MOST OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND THE HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE EXPANDED NORTHWARD.
THE HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE ROUGHLY SOUTH OF A PARIS TO DANVILLE TO
CONWAY TO SEARCY TO AUGUSTA LINE.

EVEN IN AREAS WHERE THE HEAT ADVISORY IS NOT IN EFFECT...AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES WILL APPROACH 100 DEGREES. THERE IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY
THAT ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED LATER IN THE WEEK AS
THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL HAVE THE AREA FIRMLY IN ITS GRASP.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTED ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

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