Wind Advisory 13, NWS Baltimore/Washington

000 
WWUS71 KLWX 291353
NPWLWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
853 AM EST SUN OCT 29 2006


MDZ002-VAZ021-WVZ048-049-054-291500-
/O.EXP.KLWX.WI.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-061029T1400Z/
ALLEGANY-HIGHLAND-GRANT-MINERAL-PENDLETON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CUMBERLAND...BAYARD...PETERSBURG...
KEYSER
853 AM EST SUN OCT 29 2006

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EST THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL
GUST AT TIMES TO 35 MPH...BUT WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. 

$$

SMZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
332 AM EST SUN OCT 29 2006

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE MAIN STORY WILL ONCE AGAIN BE THE WINDS...MAINLY FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE DAY.

STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER THE QUEBEC PROVINCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
OFF TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION TODAY.

HAVE MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE WIND HEADLINES FOR TODAY.
CURRENTLY...MOST AREAS OVER LAND ARE NOT MEETING CRITERIA FOR ANY
WIND HEADLINE. HOWEVER...BELIEVE ONCE THE SUN COMES UP AND MIXING
STARTS...GUSTS WILL ONCE AGAIN GET GOING. 850MB WIND SPEEDS DO
INDICATE A MAXIMUM OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT
ON THE WHOLE...GUST POTENTIAL WILL BE DECREASING TODAY. WILL KEEP AN
ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN FIVE COUNTIES THAT CURRENTLY HAVE A
HEADLINE FOR HIGH WIND WARNING. ELSEWHERE...THE HEADLINE WILL BE
DROPPED BUT GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE MENTIONED ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE SENSIBLE WEATHER ACROSS THE FA
FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK.  TEMPS WILL BE MODERATING WITH
SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW (HIGHS U60S/L70S).  MOS GUIDANCE VALUES
IN GENERAL AGREEMENT...SO NOT MUCH TWEAKING DONE TO THE
TEMPS.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OUT AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM
STILL PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH ON LATE WED/THU.  MODELS
(GFS/UKMENT/ECMWF) STILL IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT OF TIMING
AND INTENSITY OF SYSTEM.  MOISTURE AVAILABLE IS STILL A
QUESTION...BUT DECIDED TO KEEP CHANCE POPS IN FOR WED WITH
FRONTAL SYSTEM AND SFC FEATURES RIDING ALONG BOUNDARY.  FRONT
PUSHES EAST OF FA BY LATE THU WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY
CONDITIONS BUILDING IN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. WIND GUST POTENTIAL AROUND 40
KNOTS WILL BE LIKELY MOST SITES. CHO WIND GUSTS WILL BE SLIGHTLY
LESS.

&&

.MARINE...
WILL KEEP CURRENT HEADLINES AS IS FOR NOW. THE BAY OBSERVATIONS HAVE
COME DOWN THE LAST FEW HOURS...BUT GALE GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY ONCE
AGAIN DUE TO MIXING TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE BLO GALE
FORCE THIS EVENING. DEPENDING ON HOW QUICK THE DROP OFF IS...THE SCA
HEADLINE COULD BE DROPPED SLIGHTLY EARLIER THAN WHAT IS FORECAST.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...NONE.
MD...WIND ADVISORY FOR MDZ002 UNTIL 9 AM SUNDAY.
VA...WIND ADVISORY FOR VAZ021 UNTIL 9 AM SUNDAY.
WV...WIND ADVISORY FOR WVZ048-049-054 UNTIL 9 AM SUNDAY.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR ANZ530>537 UNTIL 5 PM SUNDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ530>537 FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 10 PM
     SUNDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE...N.LISTEMAA
LONG TERM...S.LISTEMAA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1026 PM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006

ANZ530>537-DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-
025>031-036>042-050>057-WVZ048>055-291000-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-ALLEGANY-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-HIGHLAND-
AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-
NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-FAUQUIER-LOUDOUN-
ORANGE-CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-GRANT-MINERAL-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-
PENDLETON-HARDY-
1026 PM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE
EASTERN SHORE INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT
COUNTY...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
WASHINGTON DC AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC
OVERNIGHT...PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALLEGANY... GRANT...
MINERAL... PENDLETON AND HIGHLAND COUNTIES THROUGH 9 AM SUNDAY. A
WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS EAST OF THESE COUNTIES THROUGH
9 AM SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE WBCNPWLWX FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A GALE WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. WIND REPORTS WOULD BE
GREATLY APPRECIATED.

SMITH