Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Watches in 2006

Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Lubbock, TX

October 15, 200624 counties in Texas

NWS Lubbock, TX issued this flash flood watch at Oct 15, 2006, 2:02 PM CDT for 24 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 15, 2006, 2:02 PM CDT (19:02 UTC)
Expired: Oct 15, 2006, 10:00 PM CDT
In force: 8 hr
Issued by: NWS Lubbock, TX
Flood severity: None

All 24 counties

Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Motley County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 220 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 288 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 572 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 196 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Oct 15, 1:27 PM CDT, 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 1:27 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 15, 1:44 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
144 PM CDT SUN OCT 15 2006

TXZ021>044-160300-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
144 PM CDT SUN OCT 15 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

CONVECTIVE

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN
DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTH
PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON.
THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD FROM NEAR THE NEW
MEXICO AND TEXAS STATE LINE LATE LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON.

FLOODING

AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...CAUSING LOCALIZED
FLOODING AND PONDING ON ROADS. RAINFALL TOTALS TODAY MAY EXCEED
TWO INCHES OVER PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH A FEW LOCATIONS
RECEIVING IN EXCESS OF FOUR INCHES OF RAINFALL. FLASH FLOODING MAY
QUICKLY DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED. STORM SPOTTERS AND LOCAL
OFFICIALS ARE URGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION AND BE PREPARED TO ACT WHEN THE THREAT OF FLASH
FLOODING INCREASES OR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH.
PLEASE PROMPTLY RELAY ANY HAZARDOUS WEATHER REPORTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN LUBBOCK.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 15, 9:48 AM CDT, 4 hours 14 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 15, 10:42 AM CDT, 3 hours 20 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 15, 11:26 AM CDT, 2 hours 36 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 15, 11:49 AM CDT, 2 hours 13 minutes before

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Local storm report, Oct 15, 12:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

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Local storm report, Oct 15, 12:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 15, 4:50 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LUB	Garza, Kent	115 min
Oct 15, 10:03 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Cochran	57 min
Oct 15, 12:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Hale	20 min
Oct 15, 12:41 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LUB	Hale	2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Texas, 2006 Every flash flood watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.