Alert archive / Missouri / Winter Storm Watches in 2006

Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS St. Louis, MO

November 28, 200629 counties in Missouri; 17 counties in Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this winter storm watch at Nov 28, 2006, 4:21 PM CST for 29 counties in Missouri; 17 counties in Illinois. It took effect at Nov 29, 2006, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 28, 2006, 4:21 PM CST (22:21 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 29, 2006, 6:00 PM CST
Expired
Nov 29, 2006, 3:54 PM CST
In force
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
All 46 counties

Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 241 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2006-11-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2006-11-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 203 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1348 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
203 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
190 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KLSX 282221
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
421 PM CST TUE NOV 28 2006

ILZ095-096-MOZ018-019-026-027-034-291030-
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T0600Z-061201T0000Z/
ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-KNOX-LEWIS-SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL
421 PM CST TUE NOV 28 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON WILL BE THREATENING NORTHEAST
MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN POURING INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING ABOUT A SUDDEN AND ABRUPT END TO THE MILD WEATHER
OF THE PAST WEEK.  

AS TEMPERATURES PLUMMET...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH THIS ICY MIX CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW
THURSDAY MORNING. SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL THEN LINGER THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT.   

ALTHOUGH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE...SIGNIFICANT
ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THIS WINTER STORM. IF THE
FREEZING RAIN CAN PERSIST FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD...DAMAGE TO POWER
AND TELEPHONE LINES MAY BECOME A VERY REAL POSSIBILITY.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ADVANCED
NOTICE THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
AREA...IT DOES NOT MEAN IT IS A CERTAINTY. HOWEVER...THE LATEST
FORECAST MAPS SUGGEST THAT IF THE STORM DOES MATERIALIZE...IT WILL
HAVE A VERY ADVERSE IMPACT ON THE REGION.

THOSE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING IN CASE THE STORM
DOES MATERIALIZE. IF YOU HAVE TRAVEL PLANNED...YOU MAY WANT TO
ADJUST YOUR TRAVEL TIME TO AVOID THE STORM. ALSO...YOU SHOULD USE
THIS ADVANCED NOTICE TO MAKE CERTAIN YOUR VEHICLE IS WINTERIZED.
MAKE PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY SUPPLIES...SUCH AS
FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...JUST IN CASE THE STORM
MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR THOSE
LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

$$

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-097>102-MOZ035-036-041-042-
047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-291030-
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T1200Z-061201T1200Z/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-PIKE IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-
MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-
ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-
WASHINGTON-ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...COLUMBIA...
MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY...ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS...
FARMINGTON
421 PM CST TUE NOV 28 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON WILL BE THREATENING CENTRAL
AND EASTERN MISSOURI...AS WELL AS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...ON THURSDAY
AND THURSDAY NIGHT. COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN PUSHING INTO THE REGION
ON THURSDAY...BRINGING ABOUT A SUDDEN AND ABRUPT END TO THE MILD
WEATHER OF THE PAST WEEK.

AS TEMPERATURES PLUMMET...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL FIRST
DEVELOP...WITH THIS ICY MIX THEN CHANGING OVER TO SNOW. IN MID
MISSOURI...THE FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
AROUND DAYBREAK...WITH THE PRECIPITATION CHANGE TO ALL SNOW DURING
THE MORNING. IN THE ST LOUIS METRO AREA...THE ICY MIX WILL DEVELOP
DURING THE MORNING...THEN CHANGE OVER TO SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON.
FINALLY...IN EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...THE ICY MIX SHOULD
BEGIN DURING THE AFTERNOON...THEN CHANGE TO SNOW IN THE EVENING.

THE THREAT FROM THIS STORM IS TWO-FOLD.  THE MIX OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN MAY FIRST CAUSE SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AND IF THE
FREEZING RAIN CAN PERSIST FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD DAMAGE TO POWER
AND TELEPHONE LINES MAY BECOME A VERY REAL POSSIBILITY.  

AS THE ICY MIX TURNS TO SNOW...ACCUMULATING HEAVY SNOWFALL MAY
BECOME THE SECOND PROBLEM. ALTHOUGH ITS TOO EARLY TO GIVE SPECIFIC
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...IT APPEARS THAT AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-44 IN
MISSOURI AND I-70 CORRIDOR IN ILLINOIS HAVE THE BEST CHANCES FOR
RECEIVING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ADVANCED
NOTICE THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
AREA...IT DOES NOT MEAN IT IS A CERTAINTY. HOWEVER...THE LATEST
FORECAST MAPS SUGGEST THAT IF THE STORM DOES MATERIALIZE...IT WILL
HAVE A VERY ADVERSE IMPACT ON THE REGION.

THOSE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING IN CASE
THE STORM DOES MATERIALIZE. IF YOU HAVE TRAVEL PLANNED...YOU MAY
WANT TO ADJUST YOUR TRAVEL TIME TO AVOID THE STORM. ALSO...YOU
SHOULD USE THIS ADVANCED NOTICE TO MAKE CERTAIN YOUR VEHICLE IS
WINTERIZED. MAKE PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES...SUCH AS FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...JUST IN
CASE THE STORM MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY
IMPORTANT FOR THOSE LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

$$

TRUETT
2 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KLSX 290904
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
304 AM CST WED NOV 29 2006

ILZ095-096-MOZ018-019-026-027-034-292230-
/O.EXT.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T0000Z-061201T0000Z/
ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-KNOX-LEWIS-SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL
304 AM CST WED NOV 29 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON WILL BE THREATENING
NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO POUR INTO THE REGION TODAY...BRINGING
ABOUT A SUDDEN AND ABRUPT END TO THE MILD WEATHER OF THE PAST
WEEK.

AS TEMPERATURES PLUMMET...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP
TONIGHT...WITH THIS ICY MIX CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW THURSDAY
MORNING. SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL THEN LINGER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
THURSDAY NIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THIS WINTER
STORM. IF THE FREEZING RAIN CAN PERSIST FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD...
DAMAGE TO POWER AND TELEPHONE LINES MAY BECOME A VERY REAL
POSSIBILITY.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ADVANCED
NOTICE THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA...
IT DOES NOT MEAN IT IS A CERTAINTY. HOWEVER...THE LATEST FORECAST
MAPS SUGGEST THAT IF THE STORM DOES MATERIALIZE...IT WILL HAVE A
VERY ADVERSE IMPACT ON THE REGION.

THOSE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING IN CASE THE STORM
DOES MATERIALIZE. IF YOU HAVE TRAVEL PLANNED...YOU MAY WANT TO
ADJUST YOUR TRAVEL TIME TO AVOID THE STORM. ALSO...YOU SHOULD USE
THIS ADVANCED NOTICE TO MAKE CERTAIN YOUR VEHICLE IS WINTERIZED.
MAKE PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY SUPPLIES...SUCH
AS FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...JUST IN CASE THE
STORM MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR
THOSE LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

$$

MOZ035-041-042-047-048-050-292230-
/O.EXT.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T0600Z-061201T1200Z/
RALLS-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-CALLAWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY
304 AM CST WED NOV 29 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON WILL BE THREATENING CENTRAL
MISSOURI TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. COLD AIR WILL BEGIN
PUSHING INTO THE REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING ABOUT A SUDDEN AND
ABRUPT END TO THE MILD WEATHER OF THE PAST WEEK.

AS TEMPERATURES PLUMMET...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL FIRST
DEVELOP...WITH THIS ICY MIX THEN CHANGING OVER TO SNOW. IN MID
MISSOURI...THE FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH THE PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO ALL SNOW DURING
THE MORNING. 

THE THREAT FROM THIS STORM IS TWO-FOLD. THE MIX OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN MAY FIRST CAUSE SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AND
IF THE FREEZING RAIN CAN PERSIST FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD DAMAGE TO
POWER AND TELEPHONE LINES MAY BECOME A VERY REAL POSSIBILITY.

AS THE ICY MIX TURNS TO SNOW...ACCUMULATING HEAVY SNOWFALL MAY
BECOME THE SECOND PROBLEM. IT APPEARS THAT AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG THE
I-44 IN MISSOURI AND I-70 CORRIDOR IN ILLINOIS HAVE THE BEST
CHANCES FOR RECEIVING 6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOWFALL.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ADVANCED
NOTICE THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA...
IT DOES NOT MEAN IT IS A CERTAINTY. HOWEVER...THE LATEST FORECAST
MAPS SUGGEST THAT IF THE STORM DOES MATERIALIZE...IT WILL HAVE A
VERY ADVERSE IMPACT ON THE REGION.

THOSE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING IN CASE THE STORM
DOES MATERIALIZE. IF YOU HAVE TRAVEL PLANNED...YOU MAY WANT TO
ADJUST YOUR TRAVEL TIME TO AVOID THE STORM. ALSO...YOU SHOULD USE
THIS ADVANCED NOTICE TO MAKE CERTAIN YOUR VEHICLE IS WINTERIZED.
MAKE PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY SUPPLIES...SUCH
AS FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...JUST IN CASE THE
STORM MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR
THOSE LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

$$

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-097>102-MOZ036-049-051-052-
059>065-072>075-084-085-099-292230-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T1200Z-061201T1200Z/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-PIKE IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-PIKE-OSAGE-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-
GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-
JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-
MADISON-REYNOLDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...
ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS...FARMINGTON
304 AM CST WED NOV 29 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON WILL BE THREATENING CENTRAL
AND EASTERN MISSOURI...AS WELL AS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...ON THURSDAY
AND THURSDAY NIGHT. COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN PUSHING INTO THE REGION
TONIGHT...BRINGING ABOUT A SUDDEN AND ABRUPT END TO THE MILD
WEATHER OF THE PAST WEEK.

AS TEMPERATURES PLUMMET...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL FIRST
DEVELOP...WITH THIS ICY MIX THEN CHANGING OVER TO SNOW. IN MID
MISSOURI...THE FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
AROUND DAYBREAK...WITH THE PRECIPITATION CHANGE TO ALL SNOW
DURING THE MORNING. IN THE ST LOUIS METRO AREA...THE ICY MIX WILL
DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING...THEN CHANGE OVER TO SNOW DURING THE
AFTERNOON. FINALLY...IN EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...THE ICY
MIX SHOULD BEGIN DURING THE AFTERNOON...THEN CHANGE TO SNOW IN
THE EVENING.

THE THREAT FROM THIS STORM IS TWO-FOLD. THE MIX OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN MAY FIRST CAUSE SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AND
IF THE FREEZING RAIN CAN PERSIST FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD DAMAGE TO
POWER AND TELEPHONE LINES MAY BECOME A VERY REAL POSSIBILITY.

AS THE ICY MIX TURNS TO SNOW...ACCUMULATING HEAVY SNOWFALL MAY
BECOME THE SECOND PROBLEM. IT APPEARS THAT AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG
THE I-44 IN MISSOURI AND I-70 CORRIDOR IN ILLINOIS HAVE THE BEST
CHANCES FOR RECEIVING 6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOWFALL.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ADVANCED
NOTICE THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA...
IT DOES NOT MEAN IT IS A CERTAINTY. HOWEVER...THE LATEST FORECAST
MAPS SUGGEST THAT IF THE STORM DOES MATERIALIZE...IT WILL HAVE A
VERY ADVERSE IMPACT ON THE REGION.

THOSE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING IN CASE THE STORM
DOES MATERIALIZE. IF YOU HAVE TRAVEL PLANNED...YOU MAY WANT TO
ADJUST YOUR TRAVEL TIME TO AVOID THE STORM. ALSO...YOU SHOULD USE
THIS ADVANCED NOTICE TO MAKE CERTAIN YOUR VEHICLE IS WINTERIZED.
MAKE PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY SUPPLIES...SUCH
AS FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...JUST IN CASE THE
STORM MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR
THOSE LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

$$

CVKING
000 
WWUS43 KLSX 292154
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
354 PM CST WED NOV 29 2006

ILZ095-MOZ018-019-026-027-034-301000-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T0000Z-061201T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0002.061130T0000Z-061201T1500Z/
ADAMS IL-KNOX-LEWIS-SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL
354 PM CST WED NOV 29 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

IT HAS BECOME MORE CERTAIN THAT A POWERFUL EARLY SEASON WINTER
STORM WILL AFFECT A LARGE PART OF MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN
AND SLEET THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW. THE ICY MIX
WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRIDAY MORNING. THE
SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS.  ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A QUARTER INCH IS POSSIBLE BY TOMORROW
EVENING...WITH TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE BY
FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SNOW...
SLEET AND/OR ICE IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.  
MAKE PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY SUPPLIES...SUCH
AS FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...JUST IN CASE THE
STORM MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR
THOSE LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

$$

MOZ041-042-301000-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T0600Z-061201T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0002.061130T0000Z-061201T1500Z/
BOONE-AUDRAIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBIA...MEXICO
354 PM CST WED NOV 29 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

IT HAS BECOME MORE CERTAIN THAT A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL
AFFECT A LARGE PART OF MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RAIN
IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET THIS EVENING
AND CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW. THE ICY MIX WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL
SNOW BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRIDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT
TIMES WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND A QUARTER
INCH IS POSSIBLE BY TOMORROW EVENING...WITH TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SNOW...
SLEET AND/OR ICE IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.  MAKE
PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY SUPPLIES...SUCH AS
FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...JUST IN CASE THE STORM
MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR THOSE
LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

$$

ILZ097-MOZ036-049-051-052-059-060-301000-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T1200Z-061201T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0002.061130T0600Z-061201T1500Z/
PIKE IL-PIKE-OSAGE-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BOWLING GREEN
354 PM CST WED NOV 29 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

IT HAS BECOME MORE CERTAIN THAT A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL
AFFECT A LARGE PART OF MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RAIN
IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LATE TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW EVENING. THE ICY MIX WILL THEN CHANGE OVER
TO ALL SNOW AND CONTINUE BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRIDAY MORNING. THE
SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH A QUARTER INCH BY TOMORROW EVENING...WITH
EXPECTED TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES BY FRIDAY
MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SNOW...
SLEET AND/OR ICE IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. MAKE
PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY SUPPLIES...SUCH AS
FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...JUST IN CASE THE STORM
MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR THOSE
LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

$$

MOZ035-047-048-050-301000-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T0600Z-061201T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0002.061130T0600Z-061201T1500Z/
RALLS-MONITEAU-COLE-CALLAWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JEFFERSON CITY
354 PM CST WED NOV 29 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

IT HAS BECOME MORE CERTAIN THAT A POWERFUL EARLY SEASON WINTER
STORM WILL AFFECT A LARGE PART OF MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN
AND SLEET THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW. THE ICY MIX
WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRIDAY MORNING. THE
SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH A QUARTER INCH BY TOMORROW
EVENING...WITH EXPECTED TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES
BY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SNOW...
SLEET AND/OR ICE IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. MAKE
PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY SUPPLIES...SUCH AS
FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...JUST IN CASE THE STORM
MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR THOSE
LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

$$

ILZ096-301000-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T0000Z-061201T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0002.061130T0600Z-061201T1500Z/
BROWN IL-
354 PM CST WED NOV 29 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.  

IT HAS BECOME MORE CERTAIN THAT A POWERFUL EARLY SEASON WINTER
STORM WILL AFFECT A LARGE PART OF MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN
AND SLEET THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW. THE ICY MIX
WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRIDAY MORNING. THE
SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A QUARTER INCH IS POSSIBLE BY TOMORROW
EVENING...WITH EXPECTED TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES
BY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SNOW...
SLEET AND/OR ICE IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. MAKE
PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY SUPPLIES...SUCH AS
FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...JUST IN CASE THE STORM
MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR THOSE
LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

$$

ILZ058-059-098-099-MOZ061>065-072-073-301000-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T1200Z-061201T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0002.061130T1200Z-061201T1500Z/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS
354 PM CST WED NOV 29 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 9 AM CST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 9 AM CST
FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

IT HAS BECOME MORE CERTAIN THAT A POWERFUL EARLY SEASON WINTER
STORM WILL AFFECT A LARGE PART OF MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA TONIGHT
AND CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN ON THURSDAY MORNING. FREEZING
RAIN WILL MIX WITH SLEET THURSDAY EVENING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO
ALL SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH
GUSTY NORTH WINDS. THE SNOW WILL DIMINISH ON FRIDAY MORNING AS
THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH A QUARTER INCH BY MIDNIGHT ON THURSDAY
NIGHT...WITH EXPECTED TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES BY
MIDDAY ON FRIDAY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SNOW...
SLEET AND/OR ICE IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.  MAKE
PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY SUPPLIES...SUCH AS
FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...JUST IN CASE THE STORM
MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR THOSE
LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

$$

ILZ060-064-100>102-301000-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T1200Z-061201T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0002.061130T1800Z-061201T1500Z/
MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE
354 PM CST WED NOV 29 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 9 AM CST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

IT HAS BECOME MORE CERTAIN THAT A POWERFUL EARLY SEASON WINTER
STORM WILL AFFECT A LARGE PART OF MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA TONIGHT
AND CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN ON THURSDAY MORNING. FREEZING
RAIN WILL MIX WITH SLEET THURSDAY EVENING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO
ALL SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY TIMES WITH GUSTY
NORTH WINDS. THE SNOW WILL THEN DIMINISH ON FRIDAY MORNING AS THE
STORM SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH A QUARTER INCH BY MIDNIGHT ON THURSDAY NIGHT.
TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 8 INCHES BY MIDDAY ON
FRIDAY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SNOW...
SLEET AND/OR ICE IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. MAKE
PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY SUPPLIES...SUCH AS
FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...JUST IN CASE THE STORM
MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR THOSE
LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

$$

ILZ065-069-070-074-079-MOZ074-075-084-085-099-301000-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0002.061130T1200Z-061201T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WW.Y.0004.061130T1800Z-061201T1500Z/
FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VANDALIA...SALEM...CHESTER...FARMINGTON
354 PM CST WED NOV 29 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 9 AM
CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

IT HAS BECOME MORE CERTAIN THAT A POWERFUL EARLY SEASON WINTER
STORM WILL AFFECT A LARGE PART OF MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN
AND SLEET ON THURSDAY EVENING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW
AFTER MIDNIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A QUARTER INCH IS
POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS RANGING
FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES BEFORE DIMINISHING BY MIDDAY ON FRIDAY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER
WEATHER CONDITIONS...SUCH AS SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE AND RAIN. IT ONLY TAKES A SMALL AMOUNT OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION TO MAKE ROADS...BRIDGES...SIDEWALKS...AND PARKING
LOTS ICY AND DANGEROUS. IT IS OFTEN DIFFICULT TO TELL WHEN ICE
BEGINS TO FORM...SO DO NOT BE CAUGHT OFF GUARD.

$$

BRITT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Nov 28, 11:43 AM CST, 4 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 28, 11:43 AM CST, 4 hours 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1143 AM CST TUE NOV 28 2006

.DISCUSSION...

...MAJOR WINTER STORM TO AFFECT REGION THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER OF LATE WILL BE REPLACED WITH MORE
WINTER LIKE TEMPERATURES AS A POWERFUL COLD FRONT IS POISED TO
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. INITIALLY THE
COLD AIR WILL BE SHALLOW BEHIND THE FRONT...LEADING TO
PRECIPITATION TYPE ISSUES AS MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS QUITE A BIT OF
POSTFRONTAL QPF. INITIALLY A FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MIXTURE WILL
OCCUR...BUT AS THE ARCTIC AIR MASS BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THE WINTRY MIX WILL TURN TO SNOW
FROM WEST TO EAST AS A DEFORMATION ZONE SETS UP ACROSS THE REGION.
SIGNIFICANT ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR WITH THIS STORM
SYSTEM...THE ONLY REAL QUESTION IS EXACTLY WHERE?

CWA TO REMAIN IN WARM SECTOR AND SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE REGIME CONTINUING. GIVEN
WARM CONVEYOR BELT IS ALREADY WELL ESTABILISHED WITH GULF WIDE
OPEN...ANY SHORTWAVE RIPPLING ALONG WILL CAUSE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. SIMILAR TO WHAT IS OCCURRING EARLY THIS
MORNING.

SURE THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT AND
DEPTH OF COLD AIR BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM...BUT I WOULD EXPECT THAT
IN A 48HR MODEL FORECAST. THE BOTTOM LINE IS...BOTH MODELS REVEAL
THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT ICING EVENT ON THURSDAY FOLLOWED
BY A CLASSIC HEAVY SNOW SCENARIO FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AS A WAVE OF
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND MOVES SOUTH
AND THEN EAST OF THE CWA.

THE DETAILS OF THIS FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOW THE NAM...GIVEN ITS
ABILITY TO CAPTURE AND FORECAST THE THERMODYNAMIC STRUCTURE OF THE
THOSE LOWEST AND MOST CRITICAL LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE.

PLAN ON UPDATING THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...AND INCLUDE STRONG
WORDING IN THE HWO THIS MORNING. BEING AS SYSTEM WILL NOT AFFECT THE
CWA UNTIL 5TH AND 6TH PERIOD...FEEL IT IS A LITTLE PREMATURE TO
ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH

CVKING

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 18Z TAFS...
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN OVER-DOING THE LOW LEVEL RELATIVE HUMIDITY A BIT
THE LAST FEW DAYS...BUT I THINK IT MIGHT BE THE DAY TO GO AHEAD
AND START MARGINAL CIGS IN THE FORECAST. THERES A PRETTY LARGE
AREA OF MARGINAL AND INSTRUMENT CONDITIONS SOUTH OF THE AREA IN
OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS...AND INCREASING FLOW AHEAD OF THE
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY FROPA SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO FINALLY DRAG THOSE
CIGS NORTHWARD INTO OUR AREA. ALREADY SEEING MARGINAL CONDITIONS
IN PARTS OF WESTERN MISSOURI...SO THIS LOOKS LIKE A DECENT
ASSUMPTION. ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN COVERAGE WILL PROBABLY INCREASE
AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.

CARNEY

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 28, 4:11 PM CST, 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
411 PM CST TUE NOV 28 2006

ILZ095-096-MOZ018-019-026-027-034-291200-
ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-KNOX-LEWIS-SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-
411 PM CST TUE NOV 28 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM CST
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. THE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RAIN WILL MIX WITH THEN TURN OVER TO SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN...AND FINALLY TO SNOW ON THURSDAY. SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-097>102-MOZ035-036-041-042-
047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-291200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-PIKE IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-
MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-
ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-
WASHINGTON-ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
411 PM CST TUE NOV 28 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. THE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL...PRIMARILY ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND WEST
CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA
THURSDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL MIX WITH THEN TURN OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN...AND FINALLY TO SNOW ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS
OF ICE AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

CARNEY

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 28, 11:30 AM CST, 4 hours 51 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1130 AM CST TUE NOV 28 2006

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-282200-
ADAMS IL-AUDRAIN-BOND IL-BOONE-BROWN-CALHOUN IL-CALLAWAY-CLINTON IL-
COLE-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE IL-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-GREENE IL-IRON-JEFFERSON-
JERSEY IL-KNOX-LEWIS-LINCOLN-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON-MADISON IL-MARION-
MARION IL-MONITEAU-MONROE-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY-MONTGOMERY IL-OSAGE-
PIKE-PIKE IL-RALLS-RANDOLPH IL-REYNOLDS-SHELBY-ST CHARLES-
ST CLAIR IL-ST FRANCOIS-ST LOUIS-ST LOUIS CITY-STE GENEVIEVE-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WASHINGTON IL-
1130 AM CST TUE NOV 28 2006

...WINTER STORM POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THURSDAY...AND
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...

AN ARCTIC AIRMASS IS NOW ENTRENCHED OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
SOUTHERN CANADA.  THIS VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL BE PULLED INTO THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY BEHIND A
POWERFUL COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES on THURSDAY WILL TUMBLE 30
TO 40 DEGREES FROM THE MILD READINGS OF THE PAST WEEK...WITH
THE MERCURY DROPPING INTO THE 20S AND LOWER 30S BY THURSDAY
EVENING.

WHILE THE COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA...A WAVE OF ENERGY WILL SWEEP
OVER THE REGION.  THIS MAY SET THE STAGE FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
FREEZING OR FROZEN PRECIPITATION...BEGINNING IN NORTHEAST AND
POSSIBLY CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND SPREADING INTO
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS THURSDAY EVENING.
THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY OCCUR
IN SOME AREAS...DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW
FREEZING...AND HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION OCCURS AFTER THE
TEMPERATURE DIP BELOW 32 DEGREES.

AFTER THIS FIRST WAVE OF ENERGY PASSES...ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. THURSDAY NIGHT.  BY
THIS TIME...THE AIRMASS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH THAT THE PRECIPITATION
WILL BE ALL SNOW...AND ACCUMULATING SNOWFALLS MAY OCCUR IN SOME
AREAS.

THIS STORM SYSTEM IS STILL DEVELOPING OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
AND THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS.  THERE ARE STILL MANY UNCERTAINTIES SUCH AS
TIMING...LOCATION OF THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION AND THE DEPTH OF
THE COLD AIR OVER THE AREA. ALL OF THESE FACTORS ARE CRITICAL TO
FORECASTING THE TYPE AND AMOUNT OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION THE AREA
RECEIVES.

WHILE THE SPECIFICS FOR A GIVEN AREA ARE STILL UNKNOWN...
THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION STRONGLY SUGGESTS THAT ADVERSE
WINTER WEATHER IS ON THE WAY FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL U.S.
TRAVELERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BE IMPACTING
AREAS FROM OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS...THROUGH NORTHERN ARKANSAS...
MISSOURI...ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN IOWA...INTO INDIANA AND MICHIGAN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR UPDATES
ON THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM. UPDATED FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX

TRUETT

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Missouri, 2006Winter Storm Watches in Illinois, 2006Every winter storm watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.