Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 63, NWS St. Louis, MO

March 11, 2006Marion County, Missouri; Pike County, Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 11, 2006, 3:56 PM CST for Marion County, Missouri; Pike County, Illinois. It was in force for 34 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Mar 11, 2006, 3:56 PM CST (21:56 UTC)
Expired: Mar 11, 2006, 4:30 PM CST
In force: 34 min
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Pike County, IL, Marion County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Mar 11, 4:05 PM CST	HAIL 1	Hannibal, MO
Mar 11, 4:20 PM CST	HAIL 0.88	Hull, IL

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 9 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 11, 2:22 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1578 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 69 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 436 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 432 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLSX 112156
SVRLSX
ILC149-MOC127-112230-
/O.NEW.KLSX.SV.W.0063.060311T2156Z-060311T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
356 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI
  WESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS

* UNTIL 430 PM CST

* AT 351 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HANNIBAL...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HANNIBAL...
  RURAL NORTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3980 9138 3977 9138 3976 9137 3976 9110
      3958 9136 3958 9137 3969 9152 3972 9150
      3977 9147 3981 9140

$$

CARNEY

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 112215
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
414 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

MOC007-112230-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0060.000000T0000Z-060311T2230Z/
AUDRAIN MO-
414 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CST 
FOR EASTERN AUDRAIN COUNTY...

AT 411 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL 7
MILES SOUTHWEST OF THOMPSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 
INCLUDE...THOMPSON...MEXICO...VANDIVER AND RUSH HILL.

TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. REMEMBER...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING.

LAT...LON 3907 9211 3907 9167 3916 9145 3931 9145
      3934 9190

$$
BYRD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 11, 11:55 AM CST, 4 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 11, 11:55 AM CST, 4 hours 1 minute before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1155 AM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

.DISCUSSION...
BROAD TROF COVERS THE WRN HALF OF THE U.S. WITH FIRST IN A SERIES
OF SGFNT SHORT WAVES LIFTING TOWARD OUR AREA. GULF MOISTURE RACING
TOWARD MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS WITH DWPTS INCREASING ABOUT A DEGREE
A HOUR FROM SOUTHERN MISSOURI THROUGH ARKANSAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE ALREADY 8 DEG PER KM OR HIGHER ACROSS
WESTERN MISSOURI AND WITH STG LOW LVL MOISTURE RUNNING NORTH
UNDERNEATH THIS AIR WE LOOK FOR STRONG REDEVELOPMENT OF STORMS
LATER TODAY ACROSS THE AREA...PROBABLY LASTING INTO THE EVENING
AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT THAT MAKES ITS WAY EAST ACROSS EASTERN
MISSOURI THIS EVENING.

SPC HAS A SLIGHT RISK FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA AND MAY UPGRADE
IT TO A MODERATE RISK LATER THIS MORNING.

THIS SHOULD EVOLVE INTO A DOUBLE-BARRELED EVENT AS ANOTHER S/W
RACES NORTHEAST TOMORROW CREATING A NEW DEEPENING SFC LOW THAT
FORMS OVR WRN KANSAS SUNDAY MORNING AND MOVES ACROSS NRN MO
SUNDAY EVENING.  SPC HAS A MODERATE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS
OVER THE ENTIRE AREA AND WE EXPECT A STRONG TO MAJOR OUTBREAK
OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DIVERGENCE AND STRONG JET OVHD POINT TO A VERY BUSY DAY TOMORROW
AND PERHAPS LATER TODAY AS WELL.

MEDIA...LAW ENFORCEMENT...SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS...AND
OTHER WEATHER RELATED INTERESTS SHOULD KEEP A VERY CLOSE EYE
ON WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

FOR THE EXTDD PD (MON NGT - FRI)...H500 LONGWAVE TROF...IN A
TRANSITORY STATE...BGNS THE PD OVR THE CNTRL CONUS WHERE THE /GRAND
FINALE/ TO OUR ACTIVE WX PTRN IS IN THE PROCESS OF EXITING. NAM/DGEX
SHOW A MUCH MORE SLY SFC LO TRACK VERSUS THE REST OF THE MED RNG
MDLS (GFS/ECMWF/CMC)...WHICH HV A MUCH MORE NLY AND MORE PROGRESSIVE
TRACK. PREFER THE LATTER...WHERE ONLY A FEW SPKLS OR FLURRIES ARE
EXPCD FOR MON NGT. A MORE QUIET MID LVL PTRN THEN TAKES HOLD...AS
LONGWAVE TROF SLIDES TO THE ERN CONUS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH
LONGWAVE RDG DOMINATES THE WRN 2/3RDS OF THE CONUS WITH MOSTLY SFC
HI PRES IN CONTROL. ONLY INTERRUPTION TO THIS WL BE DURG WED/WED
NGT...WHERE A WK SHRTWV WL CLIP MAINLY THE NRN/NERN SXNS OF THE FA.
DUE TO THE NWLY MID LVL FLOW PTRN AND DOMINANCE OF CANADIAN HI PRES
EXPCD...LOOK FOR TEMPS AOB NORMAL DURG THIS PD...AND GENERALLY DRY
FOR MOST LOCNS.

PEDIGO/TES

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 18Z TAFS...AREA OF LOW STRATUS CLDS OVR THE SRN AND ERN
PRTNS OF THE FA SLOLY PUSHING NWD WITH THE LO LVL FLOW...BUT CIGS
ARE ALSO GETTING HIR AND CLDS THEMSELVES MORE CUMULIFORM. WL PLAN
ON CIGS...WHEN THEY GET TO KSTL/KSUS TAF SITES...ON BEING RIGHT NR
THE THREAHOLD OF VFR-MVFR. THIS AREA OF CLDS WL LKLY HANG IN THRU
THE EVNG HRS...WITH OCNL LWR CIGS ARND TSRA...WITH APPROACH OF
CDFNT LTR TNGT CLRG OUT THESE CLDS SOMEWHAT.

FURTHER NW...INTO THE KCOU/KUIN TAF SITES...CU FIELD HAS DVLPD ALG
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXIS OVR THESE TAF SITES AND IT IS ONLY A
MATTER OF TIME BFR CAP IS BROKEN AND TSRA IS INITIATED. AM EXPCG
THIS TO OCCUR SOMETIME DURG THE ERY AFTN HRS...WITH COVERAGE
EXPANDING INTO LATE AFTN/ERY EVNG BFR PCPN PUSHES OFF TO THE E.

WITH PRIOR PCPN...SOME CLRG (BETTER IN THE NWRN FA) AND LGT NE TO
E SFC WNDS FM CD FROPA...SHUD SEE SOME FOG DVLP LATE TNGT. UNTIL
EVOLUTION OF THINGS BCMS A LTL MORE CLR...HV LEFT LOWEST VSBYS IN
AS 3SM FOR NOW.

TES

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 11, 11:45 AM CST, 4 hours 11 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1145 AM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-121200-
ADAMS IL-AUDRAIN-BOND IL-BOONE-BROWN IL-CALHOUN IL-CALLAWAY-
CLINTON IL-COLE-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE IL-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-GREENE IL-
IRON-JEFFERSON-JERSEY IL-KNOX-LEWIS-LINCOLN-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON-
MADISON IL-MARION-MARION IL-MONITEAU-MONROE-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY-
MONTGOMERY IL-OSAGE-PIKE-PIKE IL-RALLS-RANDOLPH IL-REYNOLDS-
SHELBY-ST. CHARLES-ST. CLAIR IL-ST. FRANCOIS-ST. LOUIS-
ST. LOUIS CITY-STE. GENEVIEVE-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WASHINGTON IL-
1145 AM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES
THROUGH. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL OR LARGER. DAMAGING WINDS AND
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...BUT WITH LESSER LIKELIHOODS OF
OCCURRENCE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS ANOTHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CROSSES
THROUGH THE AREA LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SUPERCELLS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH LARGE HAIL...WIND DAMAGE...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THIS WILL BE A VERY ACTIVE WEATHER WEEKEND. SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT...LAW ENFORCEMENT...AND OTHER INTERESTS SHOULD KEEP A
CLOSE WEATHER WATCH THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. WEATHER WILL TEND TO
DEVELOP RAPIDLY...AND QUICK ACTION MAY BE NECESSARY. STAY TUNED
FOR LATEST STATEMENTS...WATCHES AND WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

TES

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 11, 3:12 PM CST, 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
312 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     HAIL             LIBERTY                 39.88N 91.11W
03/11/2006  M0.75 INCH       ADAMS              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

FG

Local storm report, Mar 11, 3:23 PM CST, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
323 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     HAIL             COLUMBIA                38.46N 90.23W
03/11/2006  E1.00 INCH       MONROE             IL   PUBLIC

&&

FG

Local storm report, Mar 11, 3:30 PM CST, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
330 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     HAIL             COLUMBIA                38.95N 92.33W
03/11/2006  E1.00 INCH       BOONE              MO   PUBLIC

0320 PM     HAIL             COLUMBIA                38.95N 92.33W
03/11/2006  M2.00 INCH       BOONE              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0321 PM     HAIL             COLUMBIA                38.95N 92.33W
03/11/2006  E1.25 INCH       BOONE              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            GOLFBALL TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL WITHIN THE CITY

&&

FG

Local storm report, Mar 11, 3:34 PM CST, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
334 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     HAIL             4 NW HALLSVILLE         39.16N 92.27W
03/11/2006  E0.75 INCH       BOONE              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0320 PM     HAIL             HALLSVILLE              39.12N 92.22W
03/11/2006  M1.00 INCH       BOONE              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0331 PM     HAIL             1 N COLUMBIA            38.97N 92.33W
03/11/2006  M1.75 INCH       BOONE              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

FG

Local storm report, Mar 11, 3:49 PM CST, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
349 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     HAIL             COLUMBIA                38.95N 92.33W
03/11/2006  M1.75 INCH       BOONE              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF HALF DOLLAR TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL
            BETWEEN 335 AND 340 PM

&&

FG

Local storm report, Mar 11, 3:55 PM CST, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
355 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     HAIL             JAMESTOWN               38.77N 92.48W
03/11/2006  E1.00 INCH       MONITEAU           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE QUANTITIES OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL

&&

FG

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 11, 1:37 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Madison	29 min
Mar 11, 1:50 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois	40 min
Mar 11, 2:02 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Reynolds	14 min
Mar 11, 2:13 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Iron	32 min
Mar 11, 2:26 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Sainte Genevieve	64 min
Mar 11, 2:29 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Saint Francois	53 min
Mar 11, 2:31 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Crawford, Washington	33 min
Mar 11, 2:41 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Franklin	30 min
Mar 11, 2:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Jefferson	35 min
Mar 11, 3:20 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis	14 min
Mar 11, 3:09 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Moniteau	51 min
Mar 11, 3:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Audrain, Boone	45 min
Mar 11, 3:40 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Audrain, Callaway	50 min
Mar 11, 3:43 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Monroe, Ralls	47 min
Mar 11, 4:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Boone, Moniteau	44 min
Mar 11, 4:18 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Pike	27 min
Mar 11, 4:23 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LSX	Pike	37 min
Mar 11, 4:29 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Audrain, Callaway	46 min
Mar 11, 4:30 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Marion, Monroe, Shelby	45 min
Mar 11, 4:41 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Boone	18 min
Mar 11, 5:07 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Audrain, Callaway, Montgomery	38 min
Mar 11, 5:14 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LSX	Audrain, Callaway, Montgomery	46 min
Mar 11, 5:27 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Pike	30 min
Mar 11, 5:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Lincoln	40 min
Mar 11, 3:29 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Randolph, Saint Clair	28 min
Mar 11, 3:50 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Washington	40 min
Mar 11, 2:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Adams	42 min
Mar 11, 3:25 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Brown	26 min
Mar 11, 3:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Adams	40 min
Mar 11, 4:16 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Brown	29 min
Mar 11, 4:34 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Adams, Brown, Pike	41 min
Mar 11, 5:05 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Pike	25 min
Mar 11, 5:12 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Adams	32 min
Mar 11, 5:13 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LSX	Pike	32 min
Mar 11, 5:16 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Brown	29 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2006 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.