Wind Advisory 52, NWS Los Angeles, CA

000 
WWUS76 KLOX 101052
NPWLOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
252 AM PST FRI NOV 10 2006

CAZ052-101200-
/O.EXP.KLOX.WI.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-061110T1100Z/
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
252 AM PST FRI NOV 10 2006

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING.
WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED AS EXPECTED. LOCAL WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING.

$$

ASR

SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
356 PM PST THU NOV 9 2006

...UPDATED FOR AVIATION SECTION...

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUN)...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL DROP QUITE A
BIT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. ON FRIDAY...HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE RELATIVELY UNCHANGED...SOME LOCATIONS MAY BE A
BIT COOLER THAN TODAY WHEREAS OTHER LOCATIONS MAY WARM A COUPLE OF
DEGREES UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WEAK RIDGING IN THE NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT.

FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...SOME DISAGREEMENT IN THE DIFFERENT
MODELS ON HOW TO HANDLE THE NEXT SHORT WAVE EXPECTED TO CROSS THE
WEST COAST. THE GFS BUCKLES THE HEIGHT FIELD MORE GIVING THE SHORT
WAVE A BIT MORE AMPLITUDE AND PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL WHEREAS THE
WRF KEEPS THINGS BASICALLY DRY. CURRENTLY...THE FORECAST SHOWS
PRECIPITATION DOWN TO POINT CONCEPTION FOR SATURDAY. MAY DECIDE TO
PUSH THE POPS SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE SOUTH AND INCREASE THE POPS UP
NORTH TO CHANCE CATEGORY...OTHERWISE NO MAJOR CHANGES. THIS IS THE
FIRST RUN OF THE GFS THAT SHOWS THE POSSIBILITY OF POPS ACROSS THE
CWA...SO IT MAY BE BEST TO AVOID BIG CHANGES. IN ANY CASE...THE QPF
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT WITH THE SATURDAY SYSTEM.
MOSTLY CLOUDY IS PROBABLY A GOOD BET FOR THE CLOUD COVER.

FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...DECIDED TO INCLUDE SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE CWA AT LEAST FOR THE
EVENING HOURS. THEN THINGS SHOULD CLEAR OUT QUICKLY SATURDAY NIGHT.
THE LOW LEVEL FLOW RAPIDLY GOES OFFSHORE ON SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE GREAT BASIN IN THE WAKE OF SATURDAYS TROUGH. THE
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND COMPRESSIONAL WARMING SHOULD ALLOW FOR VERY
MODEST GAINS IN HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM (SUN NIGHT THROUGH THU)...
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED MON AND TUE AS THE LOW
LEVEL OFFSHORE SUBSIDES HOWEVER HEIGHTS DO RISE AS A RIDGE STARTS TO
BUILD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND DEFLECTS ADDITIONAL TROUGH ENERGY
TO OUR NORTH. SOME SLIGHT WARMING MAY BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY AS THE RIDGE CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...VERY LITTLE STRATUS COVERAGE REMAINS OVER THE AREA AS
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP TERMINALS PERDOMINANTLY VFR. THE EXCEPTION
WILL BE LOS ANGELES COUNTY COASTAL SITES AS MARINE LAYER MAY STILL
RETURN TONIGHT. SOME STRATUS IS VISIBLE CURRENTLY NEAR PALOS
VERDES...BUT ONLY A 30 PERCENT CHANCE EXISTS OF LOWER CIGS
DEVELOPING AT KLAX. HAZE IS STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. OFFSHORE
WINDS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT KLAX OPERATIONS.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING (SEE LAXRFWLOX).
WIND ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
GALE WARNING (SEE LAXCWFLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXCWFLOX).

&&

PUBLIC...SWEET
AVIATION...HALL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
340 PM PST THU NOV 9 2006

CAZ034>041-044>047-051>054-059-087-088-101400-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
340 PM PST THU NOV 9 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE... TODAY

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS THROUGH
EVENING WHERE A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL AFFECT THE MOUNTAIN PASSES THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THIS
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING AREAS OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY TO THE MOUNTAINS
OF SANTA BARBARA...VENTURA...AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES THROUGH
TONIGHT...RESULTING IN THE CONTINUATION OF THE RED FLAG WARNING.

* RED FLAG WARNING...........SEE WWUS86 KLOX - RFWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* GALE WARNING...............SEE FZUS56 KLOX - CWFLOX FOR DETAILS *

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

VERY LOW HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY IN THE MOUNTAINS
PROMPTING THE CONTINUATION OF THE RED FLAG WARNING.

* RED FLAG WARNING...........SEE WWUS86 KLOX - RFWLOX FOR DETAILS *

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

GOMBERG