Severe Thunderstorm Warning 355, NWS Louisville, KY

000 
WWUS53 KLMK 192220
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
620 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

INC037-192230-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0355.000000T0000Z-060619T2230Z/
DUBOIS IN-
520 PM CDT MON JUN 19 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN DUBOIS COUNTY...

AT 518 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.
 THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CELESTINE...OR ABOUT 32 MILES EAST OF
PETERSBURG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BIRDSEYE BY 525 PM CDT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND NORTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3853 8683 3851 8708 3840 8707 3827 8669
      3852 8670

$$

SCHOLZ

000 
WWUS53 KLMK 192232
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
630 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

INC037-192240-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0355.000000T0000Z-060619T2230Z/
DUBOIS IN-
530 PM CDT MON JUN 19 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN DUBOIS COUNTY EXPIRED
AT 530 PM CDT...

THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE EASTERN 
PARTS OF DUBOIS COUNTY THROUGH 6 PM CDT. GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL 
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.  

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND NORTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3853 8683 3851 8708 3840 8707 3827 8669
      3852 8670

$$

SCHOLZ

000 
WUUS53 KLMK 142111
SVRLMK
INC019-175-142145-
/O.NEW.KLMK.SV.W.0355.060714T2109Z-060714T2145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
509 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
  EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

* AT 504 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS TO   
  70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 19 MILES NORTH OF
  JEFFERSONVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HENRYVILLE AND MEMPHIS BY 520 PM EDT...
  OTISCO AND MARYSVILLE BY 535 PM EDT...
  CHARLESTOWN BY 540 PM EDT...
  NEW MARKET...SOLON...6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEW WASHINGTON AND 6
  MILES NORTHWEST OF OWEN BY 545 PM EDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 16 AND 8.

TAKE COVER IN A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. THIS STORM HAS DEVELOPED VERY 
QUICKLY... AND WILL PRODUCE A BURST OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. 
TORRENTIAL RAINS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING. 
MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW SPOTS.

LAT...LON 3847 8550 3843 8563 3831 8567 3828 8573
      3829 8578 3836 8577 3840 8581 3841 8599
      3847 8599 3856 8588 3855 8583 3860 8578
      3857 8542

$$

SCHOLZ

000 
WWUS53 KLMK 142135
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
533 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

INC019-175-142145-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0355.000000T0000Z-060714T2145Z/
WASHINGTON IN-CLARK IN-
533 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT
FOR CLARK AND EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 529 PM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF 
PRODUCING NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS 
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED EAST OF HENRYVILLE...OR ABOUT 25 
MILES WEST OF CARROLLTON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NEW WASHINGTON AND 7 MILES NORTH OF SOLON BY 540 PM EDT
  OTTO BY 545 PM EDT

HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE HAS BEEN REPORTED IN HENRYVILLE WITH THIS 
STORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION 
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FRIDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA AND NORTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3847 8550 3843 8563 3831 8567 3828 8573
      3829 8578 3836 8577 3840 8581 3841 8599
      3847 8599 3856 8588 3855 8583 3860 8578
      3857 8542

$$

SCHOLZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
331 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

.MESO UPDATE...

JUST GOT OFF A CONFRENCE CALL WITH SPC AND SVR TSTM WATCH 512 WILL
BE COMING UP SHORTLY UNTIL 02Z.  THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN THE
UPCOMING ZONE ISSUANCE.  CURRENT THINKING IS THAT STORMS WILL
EVENTUALLY BACKBUILD ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND THEN MOVE ESE
THROUGH OUR SOUTHERN INDIANA COUNTIES AND MAY SKIM SOME PORTION OF
NORTHERN KY.  CURRENT VIS IMAGERY SUPPORTS THIS AS WELL AS TCU GOING
UP ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

-JARVIS

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)...

AFTERNOON SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA.  GIVEN THE MORNING CLOUD COVER...TEMPERATURES HAVE
BEEN A BIT SLOWER TO RISE THIS AFTERNOON.  MOST LOCATIONS ARE
REPORTING UPPER 70S TO THE LOWER 80S.  SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS STILL
TO OUR NORTHWEST WITH SEVERAL AREAS OF CONVECTION FIRING ALONG IT.
THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR THIS SHORT TERM PERIOD WILL BE
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TONIGHT AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

12Z NAM AND GFS SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.  MODEL SOLUTIONS BRING FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  WITH
CONVECTION ALREADY FIRING TO NORTH CLOSER TO THE UPPER LEVEL...MAIN
CONCERN IS WHETHER CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP FURTHER SOUTHWESTWARD
DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  RECENT SAT IMAGERY SHOWING CU
FIELD STRUGGLING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WHERE LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS NOT ALL THAT GREAT.  NONETHELESS...THE NAM12
AND REG NAM RUNS CONTINUE TO SHOW CONVECTION BACKBUILDING THROUGH
SOUTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHERN KY THIS EVENING. THUS WE WILL KEEP
CHANCE POPS IN THE FCST FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FA TONIGHT.
CONCERNING SVR POTENTIAL...GIVEN THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND DECENT
LAPSE RATES...STORMS COULD BE SEVERE THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH SOME HAIL POSSIBLE AS WELL.
TEMPERATURES WILL NOT FALL ALL THAT MUCH BEHIND THE FRONT WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

FOR TUESDAY...SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO START OF MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE
MORNING.  HOWEVER BY AFTERNOON...MODELS SHOW THAT COMBO OF HEATING
AND INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO SCT CONVECTION ONCE AGAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  GIVEN THE RANDOM NATURE OF CONVECTION WILL BE USING
COVERAGE TERMS FOR THE UPCOMING FCST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL AGAIN WITH HIGHS IN THE 86 TO 91 DEGREE RANGE.

-JARVIS

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...

MODELS DEPICT PATTERN THROUGH LONG RANGE SHIFTING FROM ZONAL FLOW
OVER NORTHERN HALF OF THE UNITED STATES AND UPPER RIDGE OVER
SOUTHEASTERN QUARTER OF THE COUNTRY TO ONE WITH AMPLIFIED RIDGE OVER
THE WEST AND TROUGH OVER THE EAST.

.TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL UNDER INFLUENCE OF SOUTHWEST
FLOW INTO THE OHIO VALLEY ON WEST SIDE OF BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS WILL PUMP GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE NORTH...SO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EITHER AFTERNOON. WITH GENEROUS
AMOUNTS OF SUNSHINE HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S.

.THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
WITH UPPER PATTERN SEEING RIDGE BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...IMPULSES MOVING INTO SOUTHERN CANADA OR PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND INFLUENCED BY UPPER VORTEX IN NORTHEASTERN CANADA...
TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY FORM OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IMPULSES
DROPPING INTO MID MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS WILL DRAG COLD FRONT
SOUTHEAST TO NEAR THE OHIO RIVER BY FRIDAY. PRESENCE OF FRONT
AND ACCOMPANYING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL PRODUCE ONGOING
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL SOME TIME MONDAY.

THUS STORMS WILL BE MENTIONED THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
MORE SPECIFIC TIMING OF ANY STORMS WILL COME LATER...AS WILL DETAILS
OF HOW MUCH IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES COMING CHANGE WILL HAVE. WITH
GOOD CHANCE OF STORMS EACH DAY AND PRESENCE OF PLENTIFUL MOISTURE...
CLOUDS WILL SERVE TO HOLD DOWN TEMPERATURES TO SOME EXTENT. SO FROM
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S.

ENOUGH DRY AIR MAY FINALLY PUSH INTO THE FORECAST AREA TO END
PRECIPITATION DURING MONDAY. EVEN THOUGH HIGH TEMPERATURES MONDAY
MAY NOT COOL MUCH BECAUSE OF INCREASING SUNSHINE...HUMIDITY LEVELS
WILL BE LOWER.

THEN AGAIN...WELL SEE HOW THIS HOLDS UP THIS WEEK WITH SUBSEQUENT
MODEL RUNS.  -REITMEYER

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
415 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-200830-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
415 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
TO MOVE SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE UPPER MIDWEST AND THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY TONIGHT.  A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ACCOMPANY THESE FEATURES AS THEY MOVE THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA.  THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
IN ADDITION...TORRENTIAL RAINS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

AT THIS TIME...THE PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA AT HIGHEST RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER ARE AREAS NORTH OF A LINE FROM TELL CITY INDIANA TO
WINCHESTER KENTUCKY.  THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY AFFECT THIS AREA
BETWEEN 500 PM AND 1000 PM EDT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
TO TOP OUT IN THE LOWER 90S...COMBINED WITH HIGH DEWPOINTS...HEAT
INDEX READINGS WILL LIKELY APPROACH 95 TO 100 DEGREES DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND MEASURABLE RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS EVENING.  SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY
MANAGERS SHOULD REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE IN LOUISVILLE.  SPOTTER REPORTS CAN ALSO BE FILLED
OUT ON LINE AT OUR INTERNET WEBSITE WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE USING THE
E-SPOTTER PROGRAM.

JARVIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
437 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

INZ076>079-192130-
JEFFERSON-ORANGE-SCOTT-WASHINGTON-
437 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

...LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MOVING INTO SOUTHERN INDIANA...

AT 432 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR
VERSAILLES TO BROWNSTOWN TO NEAR SHOALS...AND MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST
AT 30 TO 40 MPH.

DEADLY LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND ONE
INCH PER HOUR...LARGE HAIL...AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...ARE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS THAT REMAIN SEVERE.

ON THEIR PRESENT TRACK THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR SCOTTSBURG AND SALEM BY 520 PM EDT.
  NEAR MADISON BY 530 PM EDT.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL
HAZARDS RADIO...WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL
MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT.

CS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
531 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE ORLEANS            38.69N 86.41W
06/19/2006                   LAWRENCE           IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PART OF GARAGE BLOWN DOWN.

&&

SZAPPANOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
532 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     HAIL             ORLEANS                 38.66N 86.45W
06/19/2006  E0.75 INCH       ORANGE             IN   PUBLIC

&&

SZAPPANOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
535 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ORLEANS                 38.66N 86.45W
06/19/2006                   ORANGE             IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SOME TREES DOWN IN THE CITY.

&&

SZAPPANOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
536 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     HAIL             ORLEANS                 38.66N 86.45W
06/19/2006  E0.88 INCH       ORANGE             IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS REPORTS FROM THE PUBLIC.

&&

SZAPPANOS