Red Flag Warning 36, NWS Elko, NV

000 
WWUS85 KLKN 190857
RFWLKN

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
157 AM PDT TUE SEP 19 2006

A STRONG SYSTEM IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST COAST THIS EVENING AND EARLY TUESDAY. GUSTY SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP WELL AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...BEFORE A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE STATE LATE
TUESDAY...BRINGING HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES BY
WEDNESDAY.

NVZ452-454-191000-
/O.CAN.KLKN.FW.A.0026.060919T1900Z-060920T0300Z/
ELKO COUNTY PLUS LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES NORTH OF I-80-
CENTRAL LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES-
157 AM PDT TUE SEP 19 2006

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ELKO HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR TODAY. 

THIS CANCELLATION IS FOR THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:

452 - ELKO COUNTY AND NORTH OF I80 IN LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES

454 - LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES BETWEEN I80 AND HIGHWAY 50

THE COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO NORTHERN NEVADA
THIS AFTERNOON IS MOVING QUICKER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED...AND 
WILL PUSH INTO NORTHERN NEVADA RAPIDLY BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
WITH INCREASING LOW TO MID-LEVEL MOISTURE. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE OVER 15 PERCENT...THEREFORE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH
TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NVZ455-457-200300-
/O.CON.KLKN.FW.W.0036.060919T1900Z-060920T0300Z/
WHITE PINE COUNTY-
LANDER/EUREKA COUNTIES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 PLUS NORTHERN NYE
COUNTY-
157 AM PDT TUE SEP 19 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM PDT
THIS EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ELKO HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS 
EVENING.

THIS RED FLAG WARNING IS FOR THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:

455 - WHITE PINE COUNTY

457 - NORTHERN NYE COUNTY AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 IN LANDER AND
EUREKA COUNTIES

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY. SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE
BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
GENERALLY BE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR HAZARDOUS FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

TT

000 
WWUS85 KLKN 200238
RFWLKN

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
738 PM PDT TUE SEP 19 2006


NVZ455-457-200345-
/O.EXP.KLKN.FW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-060920T0300Z/
WHITE PINE COUNTY-
LANDER/EUREKA COUNTIES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 PLUS NORTHERN NYE
COUNTY-
738 PM PDT TUE SEP 19 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. WINDS
WILL CONTINUE AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THIS EVENING...BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE
INCREASED ABOVE RED FLAG CRITERIA.

$$
JMG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
230 AM PDT MON SEP 18 2006

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE AREA
MONDAY BRINGING WARM TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN NEVADA TUESDAY AFTERNOON
BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES...WINDY CONDITIONS...AND A THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
&&

.SHORT TERM...MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MADE NO CHANGES TO PREV.
FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE CONTINUING TO BUILD OVER
THE GREAT BASIN REGION. EXPECT A WARM DAY TODAY...WITH MAX TEMPS
AROUND 10 DEGS ABOVE SUNDAYS HIGHS...AND MIN TEMPS TONIGHT NOT AS
COOL...MAINLY IN THE 30S AND LOW 40S. CURRENT WATERVAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS STRONG U/L TROUGH...NOW SOUTH OF ALASKA...PUSHING SE INTO THE
PAC NW. MODELS IN AGREEMENT SHOWING TROUGH CONTINUING TO SLIDE SE
INTO NRN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GFS SHOWS STRONG 700MB THERMAL
GRADIENT RAPIDLY PUSHING ACROSS NW NV AND INTO CNTRL NV BY LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  700MB TEMPS RAPIDLY FALL TO -1C BY 00Z WED...
WITH GOOD LLVL FRONTOGENESIS BASICALLY ALONG...AND NORTH OF...THE
I80 CORRIDOR. GFS OMEGA VALUES EXCEED 10 TO 15 UB/S ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THIS AXIS...COLOCATED WITH 80KT JET MAX. PRETTY GOOD DYNAMICS
WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH INCREASING MOISTURE FROM THE NW. INCREASED
POPS TUESDAY TO 40 PCT NEAR THE ID BORDER...AND 15 TO 25 PCT ALONG
I80 FOR SHOWERS AND TSTORMS. COVERAGE OF PRECIP WILL BE LIMITED TO
HOW FAR SOUTH U/L TROUGH DIGS AS IT PUSHES EAST...PREVIOUS RUNS HAD
TROUGH AXIS DIGGING FURTHER SOUTH.  WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THIS...MAY
NEED TO EXTEND TSTORM COVERAGE FURTHER SW.

IN TERMS OF FIRE WX...WIND AND LOW RH WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN FOR
TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS CNTRL NV.  WITH GFS AND NAM SOUNDINGS
SHOWING 40 TO 45KT WINDS NEAR TOP OF MIXING LAYER (550MB)...AND
RATHER STRONG 700MB PRESSURE GRADIENT PRESENT...ISSUED FIRE WX WATCH
FOR ALL ZONES EXCEPT HUMBOLDT COUNTY (451). INCLUDED ELKO COUNTY
(452) MAINLY BECAUSE OF SOME DIFFERENCES IN TIMING OF COLD FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED MID TO LLVL MOISTURE...WILL WORD RFW FOR EAST OF THE RUBY
MOUNTAINS SINCE THOSE AREAS WILL BE DRIEST WITH RH/S NEAR 10 PCT.
AREAS NORTH OF I80 SHOULD SEE RH/S CLIMB RAPIDLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON WITH APPROACHING COLD FRONT.  TRUDEL

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
NOW IN TAKING CENTER OF UPPER LOW SEWD ACROSS SRN IDAHO AND
NRN UT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WED MORNING. ASSOCIATED BAROCLINIC BAND
QUICKLY MOVES ACROSS NERN NV TUESDAY NIGHT. A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS
POSSIBLE WED MORNING ACROSS THE NE CORNER. DROPPED MAX TEMPS A FEW
MORE DEGREES FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WED WITH VERY COOL AIRMASS IN
PLACE BEHIND UPPER LOW. UPPER RIDGE OFF THE COAST WILL THEN KEEP NRN
AND CNTRL NV UNDER A DRY NWLY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK.
GFS/EC BRING NEXT SHORT WAVE TROUGH INTO THE PAC NW LATE IN THE
WEEKEND WITH WEAK UPPER LOW OFF THE CA COAST GETTING EJECTED NEWD
ACROSS NV WITH GFS SHOWING SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA.
FOR NOW KEPT THE FORECAST DRY BUT TRENDED POPS UPWARD. WILL SEE IF
LATER MODEL RUNS SUPPORT THIS SCENARIO BEFORE INTRODUCING A THREAT
OF SHOWERS. CEC
&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FIRE WEATHER WATCH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR FWZ452-454-455-457.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
431 AM PDT MON SEP 18 2006

NVZ013-031>037-182300-
EXTREME EASTERN ELKO COUNTY-NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY-
NORTHERN LANDER AND NORTHERN EUREKA COUNTIES-NORTHERN NYE COUNTY-
RUBY MOUNTAINS/EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE-
SOUTHERN LANDER AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTIES-
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY-WHITE PINE COUNTY-
431 AM PDT MON SEP 18 2006

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING NEVADA FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL
CAUSE SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND HAS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH. PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCT RNORFWLKN OR WWUS85
KLKN FOR MORE DETAILS.

THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING BRINGING A THREAT OF SHOWERS AND MUCH
COOLER TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD
BACK INTO THE REGION DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CEC