Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Warnings in 2006

Tornado Warning 99, NWS New Orleans, LA

December 30, 2006East Baton Rouge Parish, Louisiana

NWS New Orleans, LA issued this tornado warning at Dec 30, 2006, 10:04 AM CST for East Baton Rouge Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Dec 30, 2006, 10:04 AM CST (16:04 UTC)
Expired: Dec 30, 2006, 10:30 AM CST
In force: 26 min
Issued by: NWS New Orleans, LA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County East Baton Rouge Parish, LA

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Dec 30, 5:43 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 674 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 413 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 525 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS54 KLIX 301604
TORLIX
LAC033-301630-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0099.061230T1604Z-061230T1630Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1004 AM CST SAT DEC 30 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  EAST BATON ROUGE PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ZACHARY...BAKER

* UNTIL 1030 AM CST

* AT 1000 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR BAKER...
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS WILL BE NEAR...
  PRIDE BY 1020 AM CST

GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. SEEK
SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND
ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY FOR 
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. 

LAT...LON 3060 9123 3071 9114 3071 9101 3072 9099
      3072 9085 3064 9093 3057 9099 3049 9108

$$

24

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS54 KLIX 301628
SVSLIX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1028 AM CST SAT DEC 30 2006

LAC033-301638-
/O.EXP.KLIX.TO.W.0099.000000T0000Z-061230T1630Z/
EAST BATON ROUGE LA-
1028 AM CST SAT DEC 30 2006

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST BATON ROUGE PARISH EXPIRES AT 1030 AM
CST...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLY PRODUCING A TORNADO HAS MOVED INTO 
SOUTHEASTERN EAST FELICIANA PARISH AND NO LONGER POSES A THREAT FOR 
EAST BATON ROUGE PARISH. 

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY FOR
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CST SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3060 9123 3071 9114 3071 9101 3072 9099
      3072 9085 3064 9093 3057 9099 3049 9108

$$

24

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Dec 30, 3:37 AM CST, 6 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 30, 3:37 AM CST, 6 hours 27 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
337 AM CST SAT DEC 30 2006

.DISCUSSION...

EARLY THIS MORNING THE SURFACE LOW WAS OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA WITH
THE UPPER LOW OVER NEW MEXICO. THE COLD FRONT STRETCHED SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER WITH A WARM FRONT ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THIS SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY
PROGRESS EASTWARD TODAY AND TOMORROW. THE PRECIP WATER VALUE LAST
NIGHT AT LCH WAS 1.65 INCHES...AND THIS SHOULD INCREASE AND SPREAD
EASTWARD INTO OUR AREA AS THE WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. THE 0-3KM
HELICITY VALUES COULD BE ABOVE 500 M2/S2 IN THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS...COUPLED WITH DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND A STRONG
850HPA JET OVER 60 KNOTS...SHOULD LEAD TO AN ACTIVE DAY FOR OUR
AREA. THE FIRST ROUND OF STORMS EARLY THIS MORNING ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WARM FRONT PUSHING INTO OUR AREA...WITH THE NEXT LINE
NEAR THE COLD FRONT. THIS AFTERNOON WE COULD SEE HEAVY
RAINFALL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES.
ALTHOUGH THE RAINFALL WITH THIS SYSTEM MAY NOT BE AS HIGH AS WITH
SOME PREVIOUS EVENTS...THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED IN MOST
AREAS AND IT WILL NOT TAKE TOO MUCH TO CAUSE FLOODING.
THEREFOR...ALTHOUGH THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS IN OUR AREA LIKELY
WILL BE FROM SOUTHWESTERN/SOUTH-CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI THROUGH
SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED
ACROSS OUR ENTIRE PCWA. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF PRECIP ARE LIKELY...WITH
SOME AREAS POSSIBLY RECEIVING MORE THAN 6 INCHES.

THE NEXT CONCERN WILL BE THE SYSTEM THAT DEVELOPS IN THE WESTERN
GULF AND MOVES ACROSS LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI ON THURSDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  71  57  66  43 / 100  70  40  10
BTR  72  57  67  44 / 100  70  40  10
MSY  74  60  68  49 / 100  70  40  20
GPT  71  60  67  48 / 100  80  50  30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
     LAZ058-LAZ059-LAZ060-LAZ061-LAZ062-LAZ063-LAZ064-LAZ065-
     LAZ066-LAZ067-LAZ068-LAZ069-LAZ070.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
     LAZ034-LAZ035-LAZ036-LAZ037-LAZ038-LAZ039-LAZ040-LAZ046-
     LAZ047-LAZ048-LAZ049-LAZ050-LAZ056-LAZ057.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ530-
     GMZ550-GMZ570.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ555-
     GMZ575.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
     MSZ080-MSZ081-MSZ082.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
     MSZ068-MSZ069-MSZ070-MSZ071-MSZ077.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ530-
     GMZ550-GMZ570.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ555-
     GMZ575.

&&

25

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 30, 5:17 AM CST, 4 hours 47 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
517 AM CST SAT DEC 30 2006

GMZ530-550-555-570-575-LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-301800-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-
IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-
ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-
ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-
UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-
LOWER ST. BERNARD-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
517 AM CST SAT DEC 30 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF
MEXICO...SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD TODAY AS A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES THE AREA. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DYNAMICS
COUPLED WITH WARM...MOIST AIR WILL BRING A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE AREA. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES. MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA EARLY SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...
BECAUSE THE FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW MOVING...RAINFALL TOTALS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO 4 INCHES. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6
OR MORE INCHES IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL
LOUISIANA THROUGH EXTREME SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT ACROSS THE AREA. DUE TO THE ALREADY SATURATED
GROUND...FLOODING COULD QUICKLY BECOME A PROBLEM.

MARINE...
STRONG SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS WILL
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST LATER TODAY AND BEGIN TO DIMINISH. THIS
WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. TIDES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL SATURDAY AND BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS...
MOST THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA EARLY
SUNDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD BE EAST OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY.
HOWEVER...SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY CONTINUE BEHIND THE MAIN LINE
OF STORMS AND FLOODING COULD REMAIN A PROBLEM THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...IS REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New Orleans, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 30, 3:10 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Livingston, Saint Helena	35 min
Dec 30, 7:14 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Iberville, Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana	61 min
Dec 30, 8:34 AM CST	Tornado Warning	LIX	Pointe Coupee	26 min
Dec 30, 10:23 AM CST	Tornado Warning	LIX	East Feliciana	37 min
Dec 30, 10:39 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LIX	Iberville, Pointe Coupee, West Baton Rouge	2 hr
Dec 30, 10:44 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LIX	East Baton Rouge	2 hr
Dec 30, 11:12 AM CST	Special Marine Warning	LIX		93 min
Dec 30, 11:28 AM CST	Tornado Warning	LIX	Saint Helena, Tangipahoa	32 min
Dec 30, 12:21 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LIX	Ascension, Livingston	114 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Louisiana, 2006 Every tornado warning in 2006 Tornadoes in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.