Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS New Orleans, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
340 PM CDT WED AUG 9 2006

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. DAYTIME
HEATING AND FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SPINNING
ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL GULF HAS TRIGGERED SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OUR AREA THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT
THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING UNTIL THE LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING DIMINISHES THE RAIN CHANCES. MAY SEE SOME
PATCHY LIGHT FOG TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED
RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED POPS ARE FORECAST FOR TOMORROW
AS THE UPPER LOW PUSHES INTO THE WESTERN GULF.

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN FORECAST THINKING. FOLLOWING THE UPPER
LOWS PASSAGE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL AGAIN DOMINATE THE WEATHER
PATTERN FRIDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S AREAWIDE, WHILE LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE MID AND UPPER 70S. ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  74  94  75  94 /  30  40  20  20
BTR  75  94  75  95 /  30  40  20  20
MSY  76  92  76  93 /  30  40  20  20
GPT  76  93  76  93 /  30  40  20  20

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

92/JSS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1111 AM CDT WED AUG 9 2006

LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-101100-
AMITE-ASCENSION-ASSUMPTION-EAST BATON ROUGE-EAST FELICIANA-HANCOCK-
HARRISON-IBERVILLE-JACKSON-LIVINGSTON-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST BERNARD-LOWER TERREBONNE-
ORLEANS-PEARL RIVER-PIKE-POINTE COUPEE-ST CHARLES-ST HELENA-ST JAMES-
ST JOHN THE BAPTIST-ST TAMMANY-TANGIPAHOA-UPPER JEFFERSON-
UPPER LAFOURCHE-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
WALTHALL-WASHINGTON-WEST BATON ROUGE-WEST FELICIANA-WILKINSON-
1111 AM CDT WED AUG 9 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF
MEXICO...SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. AN
ISOLATED STRONG STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE, BUT SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE
WEEKEND, BUT THOSE THAT DO DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

92/JSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
131 PM CDT WED AUG 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 PM     WATER SPOUT      15 SSE VENICE           29.08N 89.26W
08/09/2006                   PLAQUEMINES        LA   COAST GUARD

            WATER SPOUT REPORTED BY COAST GUARD

&&

25

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
237 PM CDT WED AUG 9 2006

LAZ040-MSZ080-081-092015-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-ST TAMMANY-
237 PM CDT WED AUG 9 2006

...STRONG LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM SLIDELL THROUGH GULFPORT...

AT 230 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE
OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM SLIDELL LOUISIANA THROUGH GULFPORT
MISSISSIPPI. THE STORMS ARE MOVING TO THE WEST AT 10 MPH...AND ARE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...
HEAVY RAIN...AND SMALL HAIL. RAINFALL RATES UP TO 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR
ARE POSSIBLE.

PERSONS IN THIS AREA SHOULD SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS PASS.
LIGHTNING IS A LEADING WEATHER KILLER. LEAVE FARM EQUIPMENT...GOLF
COURSES AND SWIMMING POOLS UNTIL THESE STORMS ARE SAFELY OUT OF THE
AREA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
300 PM CDT WED AUG 9 2006

MSZ082-092045-
JACKSON-
300 PM CDT WED AUG 9 2006

...STRONG LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO JACKSON COUNTY...

AT 300 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO JACKSON COUNTY. THE STORMS ARE
MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH...AND ARE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...
AND SMALL HAIL. RAINFALL RATES UP TO 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR ARE
POSSIBLE.

PERSONS IN THIS AREA SHOULD SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS PASS.
LIGHTNING IS A LEADING WEATHER KILLER. LEAVE FARM EQUIPMENT...GOLF
COURSES AND SWIMMING POOLS UNTIL THESE STORMS ARE SAFELY OUT OF THE
AREA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
334 PM CDT WED AUG 9 2006

LAZ038-040-092115-
ST TAMMANY-TANGIPAHOA-
334 PM CDT WED AUG 9 2006

...STRONG LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER ST TAMMANY AND TANGIPAHOA
PARISHES...

AT 330 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM FROM THE WESTERN PORTION OF ST TAMMANY
PARISH NORTH OF I-12 INTO TANGIPAHOA PARISH. THE STORMS ARE MOVING
TO THE WEST AT 10 MPH...AND ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND SMALL HAIL.
RAINFALL RATES UP TO 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE.

PERSONS IN THIS AREA SHOULD SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS PASS.
LIGHTNING IS A LEADING WEATHER KILLER. LEAVE FARM EQUIPMENT...GOLF
COURSES AND SWIMMING POOLS UNTIL THESE STORMS ARE SAFELY OUT OF THE
AREA.