Red Flag Warning 10, NWS North Platte, NE

000 
WWUS83 KLBF 231336
RFWLBF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
836 AM CDT WED AUG 23 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EASTERN PANHANDLE AND
PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN SANDHILLS OF NEBRASKA FOR THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING...

A SURFACE TROF OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE PANHANDLE...AND
WESTERN NEBRASKA TODAY. SOUTHWESTERLY AND WESTERLY WINDS BEHIND
THE TROF...WILL USHER IN VERY DRY AIR. THIS DRY AIR WILL COMBINE
WITH TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES...DROPPING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO
10 TO 15 PERCENT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 15 TO
25 MPH...PRODUCING CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE RED FLAG
WARNING AREA. THE AREA OF GREATEST CONCERN WILL BE ALONG AND WEST
OF VALENTINE TO NORTH PLATTE LINE.

NEZ206-208-240100-
/O.EXA.KLBF.FW.W.0010.060823T1800Z-060824T0100Z/
SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST/
SAMUEL R MCKELVIE NATIONAL FOREST-
NIOBRARA VALLEY/FORT NIOBRARA NWR-
836 AM CDT WED AUG 23 2006 /736 AM MDT WED AUG 23 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. 

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL REACH 100 DEGREES ACROSS THE EASTERN
PANHANDLE AND THE WESTERN SANDHILLS. HOT TEMPERATURES COUPLED
WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT AND WESTERLY WINDS
OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON. PERSISTENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND MINIMAL
PRECIPITATION HAVE MADE FUELS EXTREMELY DRY IN THE RED FLAG
WARNING AREA.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

NEZ204-240100-
/O.CON.KLBF.FW.W.0010.060823T1800Z-060824T0100Z/
EASTERN PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR-
736 AM MDT WED AUG 23 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL REACH 100 DEGREES ACROSS THE EASTERN
PANHANDLE AND THE WESTERN SANDHILLS. HOT TEMPERATURES COUPLED
WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT AND WESTERLY WINDS
OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON. PERSISTENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND MINIMAL
PRECIPITATION HAVE MADE FUELS EXTREMELY DRY IN THE RED FLAG
WARNING AREA.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

13

000 
WWUS83 KLBF 232044
RFWLBF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
344 PM CDT WED AUG 23 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EASTERN PANHANDLE AND
PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN SANDHILLS OF NEBRASKA FOR THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

THE SURFACE TROF HAS PROGRESSED INTO THE WESTERN SANDHILLS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD BEGIN TO RETREAT WESTWARD AROUND SUNSET.
UNTIL THEN TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
LEVELS AROUND 10 TO 15 PERCENT WILL LEAVE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS
IN PLACE. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 20
MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN
WILL BE MAINLY WEST OF VALENTINE TO NORTH PLATTE LINE.

NEZ204-206-208-240100-
/O.CON.KLBF.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-060824T0100Z/
EASTERN PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR-
SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST/
SAMUEL R MCKELVIE NATIONAL FOREST-
NIOBRARA VALLEY/FORT NIOBRARA NWR-
344 PM CDT WED AUG 23 2006 /244 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING. 

TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S COUPLED WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 TO
15 PERCENT AND WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WILL LEAD TO
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. PERSISTENT DROUGHT
CONDITIONS AND MINIMAL PRECIPITATION HAVE MADE FUELS EXTREMELY DRY
IN THE RED FLAG WARNING AREA.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

13

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
259 AM CDT WED AUG 23 2006

.SYNOPSIS...
SURFACE LOW IS OVER NORTH CENTRAL SD. DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE 20S AND
30S OVER PARTS OF WY. WATER VAPOR SHOWS UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING
THE CA/OR COAST. RADAR SHOWS THAT ALL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS
ENDED ACROSS THE CWA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FOR TODAY SURFACE TROUGH WORKS EAST AND IS EXPECTED TO STRETCH
FROM NEAR KONL TO NEAR KIML BY 00Z. THIS RESULTS IN DRY AIR PUSH
INTO THE WESTERN CWA. MODELS SUPPORT CIN OVER THE EAST AHEAD OF
THE TROUGH SO MAINTAINED THE DRY FORECAST. HEIGHTS LOWER FOR
THURSDAY SO ISOLATED CONVECTION IS MORE LIKELY. PLACEMENT OF THE
TROUGH HOWEVER MAY RESULT IN THIS ACTIVITY BEING CONFINED TO THE
FAR EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
THEREAFTER...BOUNDARY SETTLES TO THE SOUTH WITH INCREASED
CHANCES FOR TSRA WITH ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. THIS RESULTS IN BEST
CHANCES FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY MORNING. SOUTHERN ZONES
APPEAR MOST FAVORABLE FOR RAINFALL. SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH OVER 2K SBCAPE ACROSS THE SOUTH.
SEASONAL TEMPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND BASED ON COOLER H85 TEMP PROGS.
CONVECTION AFTER SATURDAY LOOKS TO REMAIN WEST OF THE AREA WITH
BETTER CHANCES IN THE TUESDAY TIME FRAME WITH WAA ALOFT. FOR NOW
HAVE KEPT THE GRIDS DRY. GFS THEN SHOWS ANOTHER WARMUP FOR LATE
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WILL BE ISSUING A RED FLAG WARNING FOR FORECAST ZONE
204 FROM NOON THROUGH 7 PM MDT TODAY. SFC DEW POINTS ACROSS FAR ERN
WYOMING ARE ALREADY IN THE 30S THIS MORNING BEHIND A SURFACE TROF.
THIS TROF WILL MOVE INTO THE PANHANDLE...THEN WESTERN PORTIONS OF
NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWESTERLY AND WESTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE
TROF WILL USHER IN BONE DRY AIR. HIGHS BEHIND THE TROF WILL SURGE
INTO THE TRIPPLE DIGITS BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND WITH DEW POINTS
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 30S...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP
INTO THE LOWER TEENS. SFC WINDS WILL BE WEAK INITIALLY...HOWEVER
MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE INDICATING MIXING UP TO 600 MB THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KTS AT THAT LEVEL...SHOULD MIX EASILY TO THE
SURFACE. FIRE CONDITIONS COULD BECOME CRITICAL ACROSS THE EASTERN
PANHANDLE ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S...DEW POINTS IN THE 40S
AND NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH. WILL FORGO A WATCH FOR NOW
AND MONITOR MODEL TRENDS.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
NEZ204.

&&

14/CLB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
341 PM CDT TUE AUG 22 2006

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-231200-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
341 PM CDT TUE AUG 22 2006 /241 PM MDT TUE AUG 22 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA ON
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL LEAD TO THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. SEVERE
WEATHER DOES NOT LOOK LIKELY AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/LBF(ALL LOWERCASE)

13