Alert archive / Kentucky / Wind Advisories in 2006
Wind Advisory 5, NWS Jackson, KY
NWS Jackson, KY issued this wind advisory at Nov 30, 2006, 4:47 AM EST for 33 counties in Kentucky. It took effect at Dec 1, 2006, 4:00 AM EST. It was in force for 11 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 30, 2006, 4:47 AM EST (09:47 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 1, 2006, 4:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 1, 2006, 3:20 PM EST
- In force
- 11 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, KY
All 33 counties
Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY
The radar
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 87 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -27 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 949 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 219 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 127 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS73 KJKL 300947 NPWJKL URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 447 AM EST THU NOV 30 2006 ...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY FRIDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH THE STRONGEST GUSTS OCCURRING AT ELEVATIONS OF 2500 FEET AND ABOVE. WIND GUSTS IN THESE AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 50 MPH. KYZ087-088-118-120-302215- /O.NEW.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.061201T1200Z-061201T2200Z/ BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN... WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE 447 AM EST THU NOV 30 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY FRIDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY...WITH THE HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED FOR LOCATIONS AT ELEVATIONS AT 2500 FEET AND ABOVE. WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY FRIDAY FOR THE ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET. MOTORISTS TRAVELING THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. HIGHWAYS WITH THE GREATEST RISK OF BEING AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO U.S. HIGHWAYS 119 AND 421 CROSSING PINE MOUNTAIN...KENTUCKY STATE HIGHWAYS 160 AND 179 CROSSING BLACK MOUNTAIN...AS WELL AS U.S. HIGHWAY 23 THROUGH POUND GAP NEAR THE VIRGINIA STATE LINE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY. $$ WJM
6 follow-up statements
000 WWUS73 KJKL 302100 NPWJKL URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 400 PM EST THU NOV 30 2006 ...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY FRIDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS TO 45 MPH THROUGH MUCH OF THE AREA. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL OCCUR AT ELEVATIONS OF 2500 FEET AND ABOVE. WIND GUSTS IN THESE AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 50 MPH. KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-104-106>117-119- 010500- /O.EXA.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.061201T1200Z-061201T2200Z/ FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN- JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY- CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO... WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE... SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON... SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN... BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ 400 PM EST THU NOV 30 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT... WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY FRIDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 45 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION... VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY. $$ KYZ087-088-118-120-010500- /O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.061201T1200Z-061201T2200Z/ BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN... WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE 400 PM EST THU NOV 30 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY FRIDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY...WITH THE HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED FOR LOCATIONS AT ELEVATIONS AT 2500 FEET AND ABOVE. WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY FRIDAY FOR THE ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET. MOTORISTS TRAVELING THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. HIGHWAYS WITH THE GREATEST RISK OF BEING AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO U.S. HIGHWAYS 119 AND 421 CROSSING PINE MOUNTAIN...KENTUCKY STATE HIGHWAYS 160 AND 179 CROSSING BLACK MOUNTAIN...AS WELL AS U.S. HIGHWAY 23 THROUGH POUND GAP NEAR THE VIRGINIA STATE LINE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION... VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY. $$ WJM/GREIF
000 WWUS73 KJKL 010335 NPWJKL URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1035 PM EST THU NOV 30 2006 ...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY FRIDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS TO 45 MPH THROUGH MUCH OF THE AREA. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL OCCUR AT ELEVATIONS OF 2500 FEET AND ABOVE. WIND GUSTS IN THESE AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 50 MPH. KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-104-106>117-119- 011200- /O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.061201T1200Z-061201T2200Z/ FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN- JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY- CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO... WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE... SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON... SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN... BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ 1035 PM EST THU NOV 30 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT... WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY FRIDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 45 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION... VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY. $$ KYZ087-088-118-120-011200- /O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.061201T1200Z-061201T2200Z/ BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN... WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE 1035 PM EST THU NOV 30 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... MOTORISTS TRAVELING THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. HIGHWAYS WITH THE GREATEST RISK OF BEING AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO U.S. HIGHWAYS 119 AND 421 CROSSING PINE MOUNTAIN...KENTUCKY STATE HIGHWAYS 160 AND 179 CROSSING BLACK MOUNTAIN...AS WELL AS U.S. HIGHWAY 23 THROUGH POUND GAP NEAR THE VIRGINIA STATE LINE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION... VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY. $$ JP
000 WWUS73 KJKL 010856 NPWJKL URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 356 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS TO 45 MPH THROUGH MUCH OF THE AREA. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL OCCUR AT ELEVATIONS OF 2500 FEET AND ABOVE. WIND GUSTS IN THESE AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 50 MPH. KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-104-106>117-119- 011815- /O.EXT.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.061201T0900Z-061201T2200Z/ FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN- JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY- CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO... WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE... SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON... SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN... BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ 356 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT... WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 45 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH 5 PM EST. MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION... VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY. $$ KYZ087-088-118-120-011815- /O.EXT.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.061201T0900Z-061201T2200Z/ BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN... WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE 356 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY...WITH THE HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED FOR LOCATIONS AT ELEVATIONS AT 2500 FEET AND ABOVE. WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY FRIDAY FOR THE ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET. MOTORISTS TRAVELING THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. HIGHWAYS WITH THE GREATEST RISK OF BEING AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO U.S. HIGHWAYS 119 AND 421 CROSSING PINE MOUNTAIN...KENTUCKY STATE HIGHWAYS 160 AND 179 CROSSING BLACK MOUNTAIN...AS WELL AS U.S. HIGHWAY 23 THROUGH POUND GAP NEAR THE VIRGINIA STATE LINE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION... VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY. $$ RAY
000 WWUS73 KJKL 011219 NPWJKL URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 719 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY... . A STRONG COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL CAUSE WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 60 MPH UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. BEHIND THE FRONT WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 45 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH 5 PM EST. KYZ086-104-106-107-109-110-112-113-115>117-119-011500- /O.NEW.KJKL.HW.W.0003.061201T1219Z-061201T1500Z/ /O.EXT.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.061201T1500Z-061201T2200Z/ KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-PERRY- CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...SANDY HOOK... WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG... JACKSON...HINDMAN...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ 719 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL CAUSE WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 60 MPH UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. BEHIND THE FRONT WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 45 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH 5 PM EST. MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED AND CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION... VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY. $$ KYZ087-088-118-120-011500- /O.NEW.KJKL.HW.W.0003.061201T1219Z-061201T1500Z/ /O.EXT.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.061201T1500Z-061201T2200Z/ BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN... WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE 719 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL CAUSE WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 60 MPH UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. BEHIND THE FRONT WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 45 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH 5 PM EST. THE GUSTY WINDS AFTER 10 AM EST TWILL AFFECT ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY...WITH THE HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED FOR LOCATIONS AT ELEVATIONS AT 2500 FEET AND ABOVE. WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY FRIDAY FOR THE ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET. MOTORISTS TRAVELING THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. HIGHWAYS WITH THE GREATEST RISK OF BEING AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO U.S. HIGHWAYS 119 AND 421 CROSSING PINE MOUNTAIN...KENTUCKY STATE HIGHWAYS 160 AND 179 CROSSING BLACK MOUNTAIN...AS WELL AS U.S. HIGHWAY 23 THROUGH POUND GAP NEAR THE VIRGINIA STATE LINE. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED AND CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION... VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY. $$ KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-108-111-114-012030- /O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-061201T2200Z/ FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-WOLFE-LEE-OWSLEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO... WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE... BOONEVILLE 719 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY. GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 45 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH 5 PM EST. MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION... VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY. $$ JJ
000 WWUS73 KJKL 011459 NPWJKL URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 959 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY... . WINDS WILL REMAIN VERY STRONG THROUGH EARLY EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. KYZ086-104-106-107-109-110-112-113-115>117-119-012200- /O.EXP.KJKL.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061201T1500Z/ /O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.061201T1500Z-061201T2200Z/ KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-PERRY- CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...SANDY HOOK... WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG... JACKSON...HINDMAN...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ 959 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... WINDS WILL REMAIN VERY STRONG THROUGH EARLY EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ KYZ087-088-118-120-012200- /O.EXP.KJKL.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061201T1500Z/ /O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.061201T1500Z-061201T2200Z/ BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN... WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE 959 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... WINDS WILL REMAIN VERY STRONG THROUGH EARLY EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AROUND 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 50 MPH WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-108-111-114-012200- /O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-061201T2200Z/ FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-WOLFE-LEE-OWSLEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO... WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE... BOONEVILLE 959 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... WINDS WILL REMAIN VERY STRONG THROUGH EARLY EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY ON FRIDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRIVE WITH CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION... VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY. $$ MCLANE
000 WWUS73 KJKL 012020 NPWJKL URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 320 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY CANCELLED... .THE POTENT WEATHER SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT THAT BROUGHT HIGH WINDS TO EAST KENTUCKY HAS NOW MOVED FAR ENOUGH NORTHEAST FOR THE WINDS TO SUBSIDE SOMEWHAT. WITH WINDS NOW BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AND CONTINUING TO DIMINISH THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-012130- /O.CAN.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-061201T2200Z/ FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO... WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE... MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY... PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG... BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD... MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE 320 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. $$ GREIF
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 29, 9:43 PM EST, 7 hours 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 29, 9:43 PM EST, 7 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 943 PM EST WED NOV 29 2006 .DISCUSSION... AREA OF UPGLIDE SHOWERS IS CURRENTLY TRAVERSING THE FORECAST AREA. MOST OF THESE WILL PROBABLY NOT MEASURE AS THEY HEAD NORTHEAST. MODELS ARE INDICATING ISENTROPIC LIFT TO RELAX A BIT OVERNIGHT...SO ONLY EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWERS AT BEST. TEMPERATURES AS OF 9 PM WERE RUNNING FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE COOLER LOCATIONS...TO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S ELSEWHERE. DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE AREA ARE RUNNING FROM THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S WITH LIGHT SOUTH WINDS. THIS...COMBINED WITH AMPLE CLOUD COVER SHOULD ONLY ALLOW A FEW MORE DEGREES OF DROP AT THE COOLER SPOTS. WILL THEREFORE GO WITH A MILD RANGE OF 55 TO 60 DEGREES TO COVER THE FORECAST AREA. UPDATE OUT SHORTLY. && .PREV DISCUSSION... 530 PM EST WED NOV 29 2006 20Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE LURKING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...WHILE A STRUNG OUT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG A COLD FRONT IS BIDING ITS TIME ACROSS THE MIDSECTION OF THE COUNTRY. BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY...VERY COLD HIGH PRESSURE IS CHILLING THE PLAINS WITH READINGS SOME 40 TO 50 DEGREES COLDER THAN BALMY LOCATIONS JUST OFF TO THE EAST. FOR INSTANCE...READINGS AT 4 PM EST ACROSS MISSOURI VARIED FROM 27 AT MCI TO 71 DEGREES AT STL. CLOSER TO HOME...THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE FRONT LIVED UP TO ITS NAME WITH TEMPS ACROSS KENTUCKY REACHING THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 70S...THANKS TO SOUTH WINDS AND AT LEAST PARTIAL SUNSHINE. THE EARLY DAY ISENTROPIC SHOWERS LIFTED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AND ONLY WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS PLAGUED CWA FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. THE MODELS ARE FINALLY COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ALOFT WITH THE MAIN SYSTEM AFFECTING THE OHIO VALLEY THIS FORECAST PERIOD. A DEEP SOUTHERN STREAM LOW WILL RACE OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND RUN NORTHEAST TO THE OHIO VALLEY BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE SLOWER GFS SOLUTION HAS BEEN VINDICATED TO SOME EXTENT AS THE NAM HAS COME INTO AGREEMENT WITH IT. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE DURING THE KEY TIME OF ITS PASSAGE LATE THURSDAY AND EARLY FRIDAY. ONCE THIS FEATURE PASSES...A TRAILING NORTHERN STREAM WAVE WILL HELP ESTABLISH A DEEP TROUGH OVER EASTERN CANADA. THE NAM IS A BIT QUICKER AND MORE AMPLIFIED WITH THIS TROUGH/S SOUTHWEST EXTENT INTO THE HIGH PLAINS THAN THE GFS. THE GFS THEN ROTATES A DEEPENING NODE OF THIS TROUGH SOUTH THROUGH THE MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. AFTER THIS THE PATTERN FLATTENS A BIT THROUGH MIDWEEK BEFORE ANOTHER TROUGH STARTS TO HEAD THIS WAY ON WEDNESDAY. THE ENSEMBLES ALL TEND TO BE LESS AMPLIFIED DURING THE EXTENDED BUT THEY SUPPORT THE GENERAL IDEA OF THE 12Z GFS SOLUTION...ACCORDINGLY HAVE TRENDED MY EXTENDED TOWARD THE SPECIFICS OF THE 12Z GFS. SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL FEATURE A CHANCE OF MAINLY LIGHT SHOWERS TONIGHT BEFORE WE SEE A BETTER CHANCE ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE WAVE THAT DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONT WILL SLOW ITS EASTERN PROGRESS LATE THURSDAY WITH ITS RAPID DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED TO LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SQUALL LINE ALONG ITS COLD FRONT. AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY THURSDAY NIGHT...EXPECT ITS COLD FRONT TO PROMPT THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR EAST KENTUCKY AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS THIS FRONT APPROACHES...850 MB WINDS OF 70+ KTS WILL MAKE FOR GUSTY SFC WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OR HIGHER OVER OUR HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS HAS BEEN ADDED TO THE FORECAST AND ALSO HIGHLIGHTED...ALONG WITH THE THUNDERSTORM AND SNOW THREAT IN AN SPS AND THE HWO. HOWEVER... THE WIND SPEEDS MAY NEED TO BE RAISED AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE EVENT IF THINGS LOOK AS GOOD OR BETTER IN FUTURE MODEL RUNS. COLD AIR WILL THEN SWEEP INTO EAST KENTUCKY ON WEST WINDS FRIDAY CHANGING ANY LINGERING PCPN TO SNOW SHOWERS OR...LESS LIKELY...POCKETS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE...AS SEEN IN THE TIME HEIGHT SERIES FROM THE NAM12. REGARDLESS ..THE AMOUNT OF QPF WILL NOT BE SUFFICIENT FOR ANY ACCUMULATIONS OF NOTE AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL COME TO AN END EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT. THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND WILL DEAL WITH A SLOWLY MODERATING POOL OF SHALLOW BUT VERY COLD AIR LEFT BEHIND BY THE COLD FRONT. THIS COLD AIR GETS A RE-INVIGORATING SHOT SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH PASSES. A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THIS BUT MOISTURE WILL BE RATHER LIMITED. FOLLOWING A CHILLY MONDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TUESDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER TROUGH. THIS ONE SHOULD BE ABLE TO BETTER TAP MOISTURE FROM THE GULF SO WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY. MOS TEMPERATURES WERE SIMILAR THROUGH FRIDAY...THOUGH DID LEAN TOWARD THE MILDER VALUES FROM THE MAV TONIGHT WITH A SMALL DIFFERENCE FROM RIDGE TO VALLEY. WITH THE FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY USED A BLEND OF THE RAW GFS AND NAM NUMBERS TO TIME THE COLD AIR ARRIVAL. PREFERRED THE COLDER NUMBERS FROM THE MET FOR LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT. AS FOR POPS...GENERALLY WENT BELOW MAV MOS AND CLOSER TO THE MET VALUES TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN WENT 100 PERCENT WITH THE FRONT ON FRIDAY AND LINGERING CHANCES FRIDAY NIGHT...BOTH TIMES HIGHER THAN MOS. AS FOR THE NDFD/IFPS GRIDS...USED MY USUAL PROCEDURE TO POPULATE THE WIND AND DEWPOINT GRIDS FROM THE NAM12 THROUGH 84 HOURS. THE DEWPOINTS CAME IN TOO DRY FOR THE END OF THE PERIOD AND NEEDED TO BE ADJUSTED HIGHER...BUT THE WINDS LOOKED REASONABLE. ALSO USED A MIXTURE OF THE NAM AND GFS TEMP GRIDS LATE THURSDAY AND DURING THE DAY FRIDAY WITH THE COMPLICATED...NON-DIURNAL...TEMP PATTERN EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. THE REST OF THE FORECAST WAS IN GREAT SHAPE WITH JUST SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO SKY COVER AND POP FIELDS THROUGH FRIDAY TO BETTER REFLECT LATEST GUIDANCE AND NDFD CONSENSUS. 1030 AM EST WED NOV 29 2006 AREA IS FIRMLY IN WARM SECTOR OF DEVELOPING CYCLONE OVER THE PLAINS WITH TEMPS WARMING QUICKLY OUT OF THE GATE THIS MORNING. WHILE THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT RIDGE TO VALLEY DIFFERENCE...TEMPS IN MOST AREAS ARE NOW FIRMLY IN THE 60S. WITH SUCH A WARM START AND PLENTY OF BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WILL BOOST MAX TEMP FORECAST INTO THE 70 TO 75 DEGREE RANGE. SUCH READINGS WILL PUT OUR RECORD HIGHS FOR THE DATE IN SERIOUS JEOPARDY. NO REAL SUBSTANTIAL CHANGES OUTSIDE OF INCREASING TEMPS...ALTHOUGH DID DECREASED SKY COVER A LITTLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. RADAR SHOWS WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AFFECTING OUR BLUEGRASS COUNTIES AND VIRGINIA BORDER COUNTIES CURRENTLY AND MORE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS MODEST ISENTROPIC UP-GLIDE CONTINUES. COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED AT MOST HOWEVER. SLIGHTLY HIGHER POPS CONTINUES TO LOOK GOOD TONIGHT AS LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES. UPDATED PRODUCTS ARE ON THE WAY. HAVE A GOOD DAY... 410 AM EST WED NOV 29 2006 SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... SOME SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WITH ISENTROPIC LIFT...ALONG WITH MID AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. GENERALLY WENT WITH 40 POPS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY FOR SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WITH MORE OF THE SAME CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE WARM THOUGH...EVEN WITH ALL OF THE CLOUD COVER. MOISTURE AND LIFT SHOULD CONTINUE TO CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH THE GFS SHOWING A LITTLE MORE OMEGA MOVING THROUGH. INCREASED POPS TO 50 FOR MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS TONIGHT. MODELS ARE STILL IN DISAGREEMENT WITH THE SYSTEM MOVING IN THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE CWA LATE THURSDAY...BUT A SURFACE LOW WILL BE DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT OVER MISSISSIPPI. THE SURFACE LOW WILL THEN MOVE NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT...AND SHOULD BE OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY FRIDAY MORNING. THUNDER IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH SOME INSTABILITY THURSDAY AND EARLY FRIDAY. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD HAVE SOME GUSTY WINDS. CONSIDERING THE MODEL DATA...I PREFER THE SLOWER GFS SOLUTION...WHICH HAS MOVED CLOSE BACK TO IT/S 00Z RUN FROM MONDAY NIGHT. ECMWF IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE GFS. STILL THINK THE WRF IS TOO FAST WITH THE SYSTEM CONSIDERING THE UPPER AIR PATTERN. THE COLD AIR SHOULD POUR INTO THE AREA AFTER FROPA. MOST OF THE DEEPER MOISTURE SHOULD BE PULLING OUT OF THE AREA AS THE COLDER AIR FILTERS IN. GOOD LOW LEVEL JET AND TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO LEAD TO GUSTY WINDS FOR FRIDAY. WITH THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...COULD SEE ANY REMAINING RAIN SHOWERS MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. H8 TEMPS DROP TO -6 DEG C BY FRIDAY EVENING...WITH 1000 MB - 850 MB THICKNESSES FALLING BELOW 1300 M. AM A LITTLE CONCERNED WE COULD SEE SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE MIXED IN WITH ANY LIGHT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FRIDAY EVENING. THERE IS NOT A LOT OF DEEPER MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR ICE NUCLEATION. DID NOT INCLUDE THIS IN THE FORECAST ATTM...BUT WE WILL MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS IN LATER SHIFTS. GFS MOS TEMPS LOOKED REASONABLE...AND USED THESE AS A GUIDE FOR THE TEMP FORECAST. LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS EXCELLENT. ONLY CHANGE MADE WAS TO TWEAK SOME OF THE TEMPERATURES FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. NEW MEX MOS IS SHOWING MAX TEMPS ONLY IN THE 30S FOR MONDAY. BELIEVE THE GFS IS OVERDOING THE COLDER AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA. THINK THE 850 MB TEMPS FROM THE ECMWF ARE MORE REASONABLE. NUDGED THE PREVIOUS FORECAST VALUES DOWN A COUPLE OF DEGREES DUE TO THE COLDER AIR...BUT NOT AS COLD AS THE GFS NUMBERS. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && GEOGERIAN
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 29, 4:35 PM EST, 12 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 435 PM EST WED NOV 29 2006 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-301200- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- 435 PM EST WED NOV 29 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREAT. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS THE CORE OF THE WEATHER SYSTEM APPROACHES THURSDAY NIGHT. COLDER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND THE FRONT WILL CAUSE ANY LEFT OVER RAIN SHOWERS TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY ON FRIDAY. IN ADDITION...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH MAY GUST TO AROUND 40 MPH...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AHEAD OF THE FRONT FRIDAY MORNING. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO FRIDAY EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR THE VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA BORDERS. NO SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY FOR STORM REPORTS. GREIF
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Kentucky, 2006Every wind advisory in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.