Severe Thunderstorm Warning 178, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1117 AM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

...ERNESTO TRACKING NNE OF THE JAX WATERS...

.PUBLIC...HAVE REMOVED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FROM OUR
PRODUCTS. DECREASED POPS FOR THIS MORNING...BUT AS SKIES BECOME
PARTLY CLOUDY IN ERNESTOS WAKE...EXPECT SCATTERED AFTN/EVENING
STORMS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP. THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AHEAD OF APPROACHING FRONT NOW THROUGH THE
CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE. LOWERED WIND SPEEDS FOR BREEZY CONDITIONS
TODAY AROUND 15-20 MPH FOR OUR EASTERN ZONES.

&&

.MARINE...WILL REPLACE T.S. WARNING WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
ALL LEGS TODAY. NEARSHORE SCA WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTN...WITH
OFFSHORE SCA LIKELY ENDING AROUND 03Z.

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ALTAMAHA
     SOUND GA TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 60 NM.

&&

ENYEDI/CARROLL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1139 AM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-011000-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
1139 AM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY...

LINGERING SWELLS IN THE WAKE OF ERNESTO WILL BRING BREAKERS AROUND 2
TO 4 FEET TO THE COAST TODAY...AND A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AS A FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. STORMS WILL MOVE EAST
AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH...AND MAY PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

ENYEDI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
531 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

GAZ150>152-312200-
BRANTLEY-PIERCE-WARE-
531 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BRANTLEY...WARE
AND PIERCE COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 600
PM EDT...

AT 531 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 6 MILES WEST OF HOBOKEN...MOVING EAST AT
15 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
BLACKSHEAR...HOBOKEN...RAYBON...NAHUNTA...HICKOX AND ATKINSON THROUGH
600 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF
45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

PETERSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
548 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

FLZ024-GAZ165-166-312215-
COASTAL CAMDEN-INLAND CAMDEN-NASSAU-
548 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NASSAU AND CAMDEN
COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS VALID UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 548 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 5 MILES WEST OF ST. MARYS...MOVING EAST
AT 15 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
KINGSLAND...HARRIETTS BLUFF...ST. MARYS...KINGS BAY BASE...FERNANDINA
BEACH...DUNGENESS AND CUMBERLAND ISLAND THROUGH 615 PM EDT. FREQUENT
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

SHASHY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
550 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

GAZ164-312215-
CHARLTON-
550 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CHARLTON COUNTY
FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 550 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF HOMELAND...OR 11
MILES NORTHEAST OF STEVEN FOSTER STATE PARK...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND HOMELAND AND
FOLKSTON THROUGH 615 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR
DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

PETERSON

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
615 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

GAZ164>166-312300-
CHARLTON-COASTAL CAMDEN-INLAND CAMDEN-
615 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CHARLTON AND
CAMDEN COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL
700 PM EDT...

AT 616 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WINOKUR...OR 9 MILES
NORTH OF FOLKSTON...MOVING EAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THESE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND WINOKUR...HOMELAND...
FOLKSTON...KINGS FERRY...TARBORO...WOODBINE...
WAVERLY...KINGSLAND...HARRIETTS BLUFF AND DOVER BLUFF THROUGH 700 PM
EDT. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF
LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

SHASHY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
628 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

GAZ136-152-153-312315-
BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-WAYNE-
628 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BRANTLEY...WAYNE
AND GLYNN COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS VALID UNTIL 715
PM EDT...

AT 628 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER WAYNE COUNTY...OR 11 MILES SOUTH OF
GARDI...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO
AFFECT AREAS AROUND THROUGH 715 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. DOPPLER RADAR HAS
INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
AREAS. IF FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OCCURS A WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

SHASHY