Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2006

Red Flag Warning 79, NWS Jacksonville, FL

May 30, 2006Gilchrist County, Suwannee County, Florida

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this red flag warning at May 30, 2006, 9:55 AM EDT for Gilchrist County, Suwannee County, Florida. It took effect at May 30, 2006, 2:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 30, 2006, 9:55 AM EDT (13:55 UTC)
In effect from
May 30, 2006, 2:00 PM EDT
Expired
May 30, 2006, 7:00 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS Jacksonville, FL

Counties Gilchrist County, FL, Suwannee County, FL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 29, 2:50 PM EDT, 19 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 29, 2:50 PM EDT, 19 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
250 PM EDT MON MAY 29 2006

.CURRENTLY...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRIER AIR OVER THE REGION
THAN YESTERDAY WITH PWATS NEAR 1.25 INCHES AND SUBSIDENCE ABOVE
800 MB. MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED NEAR 31N73W MOVING SW AND AN
UPPER RIDGE NEAR CAROLINAS ARE HELPING TO PRODUCE NE FLOW THROUGH
500 MB. MORE COMFORTABLE TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON THAN YESTERDAY WITH MID
80S ON COOLER NELY FLOW...REACHING GUSTS OF AROUND 25 MPH ALONG
NE FL COASTAL ZONES.

.SHORT TERM...NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF RAIN CHANCES
THROUGH TUE WITH VERY DRY AIR IN MID LEVELS AND SUBSIDENCE. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN TO THE N OF THE AREA WHILE NE TO E FLOW WILL
CONTINUE. ISOLD SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE COASTAL WATERS ON 10-20 KT
ENE FLOW. TUE NIGHT INTO WED...MID/UPPER LOW OVER WRN ATLC WILL
CONT TO MOVE SW WITH WEAK INVERTED SFC TROUGH DEVELOPING NEAR THE
BAHAMAS THAT WILL EXTEND NWD TO NEAR 30N. THIS FEATURE IN
CONJUNCTION WITH BETTER MOISTURE AVAILABLE WILL SPREAD ISOLD
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE COASTAL WATERS EARLY
WED. WED...SFC FLOW BECOMES MORE ELY WITH SUBSIDENCE WANING. WILL
MAINTAIN 20% PRETTY MUCH EVERYWHERE ALTHOUGH INLAND ZONES OVER
SUWANNEE VALLEY AREA MAY SEE SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES WITH TEMPS
REACHING THE LOWER 90S. THU...SFC HIGH PRES WORKS OFFSHORE OF MID
ATLC AND MORE SLY COMPONENT TO LOW LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPS. WILL
CONTINUE WITH 20% MOST ZONES TO NEAR 30% SRN ZONES. PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE INLAND AREAS EACH NIGHT THROUGH WED WITH DRY MID LEVELS
AND LIGHT TO CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT.

.LONG TERM...FRI-MON. SFC HIGH PRES WILL WEAKEN OVER THE AREA AS
ERN U.S. TROUGH AMPLIFIES BY FRI. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES
INTO THE SE STATES WITH POPS INCREASING BY FRI AND SAT. FRONT
APPEARS TO DROP SWD INTO NRN FL ON SAT BUT LOOSING ITS PUSH AS MID
LEVEL SUPPORT IS LOST. THIS MAY RESULT IN SCT POPS EACH DAY DURING
THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS FRONT BECOMES STALLED OVER
THE REGION. TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S/NEAR 90 AND LOWS UPPER 60S/70.

&&

.MARINE...NE FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS AT AROUND 15 KT OR
LESS. SEAS HAVE BEEN BUILDING SLOWLY TODAY WITH 3-4 FT OFFSHORE AT
THIS TIME. HAVE ALREADY RAISED RIP CURRENT RISK TO MODERATE
CATEGORY AS NE FLOW AND WIND/SWELL SURF INCREASES. MAY ALSO BE
A SMALL 1-1.5 FT SWELL MIXED INTO SEAS AT 8-10 SECONDS. PERSISTENT NE
TO E FLOW THROUGH WED BECOMES MORE SLY BY THU AND FRI AS HIGH PRES
SHIFTS OFFSHORE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  66  91  67  89 /   5   0   5  20
SSI  70  83  72  83 /   5   5   5  10
JAX  66  86  67  86 /   0   5   5  20
SGJ  71  83  72  82 /   0  10  10  20
GNV  65  89  66  89 /   0   5   5  20
OCF  66  90  67  90 /   0   5  10  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

PUBLIC...SHASHY
MARINE/FIRE WX...ZAPPE

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2006Every red flag warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.