Severe Thunderstorm Warning 49, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1030 AM CST THU MAR 9 2006

.DISCUSSION...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A NEGATIVE TILTED
TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH A SERIES OF TORNADO
WATCH BOXES IN EFFECT AHEAD OF IT. AREA RADARS WERE PICKING UP
THE SQUALL LINE FROM ARKANSAS THROUGH LOUISIANA. SOME SUPERCELLS WERE
BEGINNING TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LINE AS WELL. IT WILL ENTER OUR
WESTERN CWA DURING THE NEXT HOUR. THE LINE SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE
REST OF THE REGION BY EARLY THIS EVENING. SO MADE NO CHANGES TO THE
SEVERE POTENTIAL FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       79  52  82  62 / 100  19   8  41
MERIDIAN      79  53  79  60 /  88  38   9  35
VICKSBURG     78  52  83  62 / 100   9   8  43
HATTIESBURG   80  57  80  65 /  90  37  17  23
NATCHEZ       79  52  80  66 / 100   8  12  35
GREENVILLE    76  50  76  57 / 100   8   8  51
GREENWOOD     76  50  76  62 / 100  13   7  53

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR
MSZ028-MSZ029-MSZ030-
MSZ031-MSZ032-MSZ033-MSZ037-MSZ038-MSZ039-MSZ043-MSZ044-
MSZ045-MSZ046-MSZ048-MSZ049-MSZ050-MSZ051-MSZ052-MSZ054-
MSZ055-MSZ056-MSZ057-MSZ058-MSZ062-MSZ063-MSZ064-MSZ065-
MSZ066-MSZ072-MSZ073-MSZ074.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     MSZ028-MSZ029-MSZ030-MSZ031-MSZ032-MSZ033-MSZ037-MSZ038-
     MSZ039-MSZ043-MSZ044-MSZ045-MSZ046-MSZ048-MSZ049-MSZ050-
     MSZ051-MSZ052-MSZ054-MSZ055-MSZ056-MSZ057-MSZ058-MSZ062-
     MSZ063-MSZ064-MSZ065-MSZ066-MSZ072-MSZ073-MSZ074.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR
MSZ018-MSZ019-
MSZ025-MSZ026-MSZ027-MSZ034-MSZ035-MSZ036-MSZ040-MSZ041-
MSZ042-MSZ047-MSZ053-MSZ059-MSZ060-MSZ061.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MSZ018-MSZ019-
     MSZ025-MSZ026-MSZ027-MSZ034-MSZ035-MSZ036-MSZ040-MSZ041-
     MSZ042-MSZ047-MSZ053-MSZ059-MSZ060-MSZ061.

LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR
LAZ007-LAZ008-     LAZ009-LAZ015-LAZ016-LAZ023-LAZ024-LAZ025-LAZ026.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ007-LAZ008-
     LAZ009-LAZ015-LAZ016-LAZ023-LAZ024-LAZ025-LAZ026.

AR...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR
ARZ074-ARZ075.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ARZ074-ARZ075.

&&

17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
0704 AM CST THU MAR 09 2006

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
101304-
ADAMS-ASHLEY-ATTALA-BOLIVAR-CARROLL-CATAHOULA-CHICOT-CHOCTAW-
CLAIBORNE-CLARKE-CLAY-CONCORDIA-COPIAH-COVINGTON-EAST CARROLL-
FORREST-FRANKLIN LA-FRANKLIN MS-GRENADA-HINDS-HOLMES-HUMPHREYS-
ISSAQUENA-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-JONES-KEMPER-LAMAR-
LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEAKE-LEFLORE-LINCOLN-LOWNDES-MADISON LA-
MADISON MS-MARION-MONTGOMERY-MOREHOUSE-NESHOBA-NEWTON-NOXUBEE-
OKTIBBEHA-RANKIN-RICHLAND-SCOTT-SHARKEY-SIMPSON-SMITH-SUNFLOWER-
TENSAS-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WEST CARROLL-WINSTON-YAZOO-
0704 AM CST THU MAR 09 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR  SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. A
DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH AND INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
PASS NORTHWEST OF THE AREA. VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP AT ALL
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE IN RESPONSE TO THIS SYSTEM...HELPING TO
INCREASE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE WILL BE
LIKELY. TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE
AREA.

A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO RACE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. AT
THIS TIME...AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER LOOK TO
BE AFFECTED AROUND 10 AM WITH THE I-55 CORRIDOR AFFECTED DURING
MID AFTERNOON AND EASTERN AREAS BY LATE AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY
RISK LOOKS TO BE EXTENSIVE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 OR 80
MPH AND LARGE HAIL. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

AS THE LINE OF STORMS APPROACH A FEW STORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF
THE LINE. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LONG
TRACK SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES.

EVERYONE IS URGED TO KEEP UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST FORECASTS AND
OUTLOOKS CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OUTBREAK.

...FLOODING...
BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA TODAY. THE STORM SYSTEM WAS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA VERY QUICKLY. HOWEVER...RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM A HALF INCH TO
AN INCH WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS.

...NON PRECIPITATION...
A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO STRONG WINDS TODAY.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 MPH TO DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHWEST
THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO SPREAD EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL BE LIKELY
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA BY THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE...HOWEVER CLOUDY SKIES SHOULD PREVENT THE HIGHER
GUSTS FROM REACHING THE GROUND. PLEASE REMEMBER THAT STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS.

PERSONS VENTURING OUT ON TO AREA LAKES SHOULD USE EXTREME
CAUTION. SMALL CRAFT ARE LIKELY TO CAPSIZE. PERSONS DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES TRAVELING ON EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS SHOULD ALSO
REMAIN ALERT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS. ANY LOOSE OBJECTS SHOULD BE
SECURED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

...DAYS TWO AND THREE...FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

...DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION TO
MAINTAIN THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEVERAL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE OVER THE
REGION FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA MONDAY WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY. OTHERWISE ACTIVATION IS
NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1103 AM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1054 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N BASTROP             32.80N 91.91W
03/09/2006                   MOREHOUSE          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN JUST NORTH OF THE TOWN OF BASTROP

&&

AG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1119 AM CST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG DOWNTOWN JACKSON        32.30N 90.19W
03/09/2006                   HINDS              MS   PUBLIC

            A TREE FELL ON SOME POWER LINES CAUSING POWER OUTAGES
            NEAR THE METRO CENTER.

&&

CLB

TTAA00 KJAN DDHHMM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1120 AM CST THU MAR 9 2006

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1112 AM     TSTM WND GUST    2 MILES WEST OF RAYVILLE, LA (GIRARD)32.47N 91.76W
03/09/2006  50 MPH           RICHLAND           LA   AMATEUR RADIO
 POWER OUTAGES, TORRENTIAL RAINFALL - RELAYED TO OUACHITA
            PARISH EOC BY TRAINED SKYWARN SPOTTER / AMATEUR RADIO
            OPERATOR.