Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 32, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Feb 3, 2006, 4:18 PM CST for Covington County, Jefferson Davis County, Smith County, Mississippi. It was in force for 57 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 3, 2006, 4:18 PM CST (22:18 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 3, 2006, 5:15 PM CST
- In force
- 57 min
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Covington County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Smith County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 12:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 77 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -130 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 779 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 51 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 20 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 119 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Feb 3, 3:34 PM CST, 44 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 3, 3:34 PM CST, 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
334 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2006
.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...STORMS CURRENTLY
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH AN EXITING 110KT JET AND
A VIGOROUS 500MB SHORT WAVE. AT THE SURFACE A LOW IS DEEPENING OVER
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI WITH FRONTOGENESIS OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST.
WITH THE STRONG SHORT WAVE...LAPSE RATES OF NEAR 7.5 C/KM...AND
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR THE STORMS HAVE BEEN SEVERE WITH HAIL TO THE
SIZE OF GULFBALLS ALREADY BEING REPORTED. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS THEN ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE AREA. OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THE GFS IS A LITTLE SLOWER AND
KEEPS THE PRECIPITATION OVER OUR NORTHEAST AREAS UNTIL ALMOST
MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST AND STRONG DRY
COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL PREVAIL OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. SKIES WILL
QUICKLY CLEAR OUT OVER THE CWA BY EARLY MORNING. STUCK PRETTY CLOSE
TO GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS.
SATURDAY WILL BE A COLD AND PARTLY CLOUDY DAY ACROSS THE AREA AS
850MB TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM -6 TO -1...THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO
SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S NORTHEAST TO UPPER 50S IN THE
EXTREME SOUTHWEST. HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE A LAKE WIND ADVISORY OVER
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA AS 850MB WINDS WILL BE CLOSE TO 40KTS
AND LOOKING AT FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON INDICATES
THAT WE SHOULD MIX OUT CLOSE TO 850MB.
THE MAIN CONCERN FOR SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE OVERNIGHT LOWS AS THE
GFS IS INDICATING -7 TO -3 850MB TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA. AS
DISCUSSED IN PREVIOUS AFDS THE BIG QUESTION WILL BE WHETHER THE
WINDS WILL DECOUPLE OVERNIGHT. THE GFS AND ETA INDICATE THAT THE
WINDS SHOULD BECOME ALMOST CALM BY EARLY MORNING WITH A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDING NORTH OVER THE AREA. MAV GUIDANCE IS CONSIDERABLY
COOLER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS AND THE NGM AND ETA GUIDANCE CONCUR. DO TO
THESE FACTORS EXPECT STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING DURING THE EARLY
MORNING TO DRIVE TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 20S NORTHEAST AND LOW
30S IN THE SOUTH...THUS HAVE CUT GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY
ACROSS THE AREA./15/
LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...INITIALLY DRY AIR MASS WITH
PWATS OF 0.3 INCHES AT MIDDAY SUNDAY WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY SUNDAY
NIGHT AS ANOTHER FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE LOWER
MS VALLEY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. A WEAK REINFORCING COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE CWFA WITH DRIER AIR RETURNING MONDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING. LOOK FOR LIGHTER QPF AMOUNTS GENERALLY LESS THAN
ONE HALF INCH AS PWATS REACH NEAR 0.8 INCHES. MLCAPES/SBCAPES REMAIN
LESS THAN 100J/KG WITH K INDEXES OF 25-30 SO WILL MENTION ONLY SHRA
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM.
THEN A BROAD...LARGE UPPER TROUGH AXIS OVER THE ERN THIRD OF THE
CONUS WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS A POLAR
VORTEX BECOMES ESTABLISHED JUST N OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
A SHARPER TROUGH AXIS SWINGS SEWD THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY
WITH THE NEXT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN DUE TO THE ABSENCE OF ANY
SIGNIFICANT RETURN FLOW. THIS TROUGH AXIS WILL START THE PROCESS
OF DELIVERING MUCH COLDER AIR FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH 850MB
TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO -10C OVER NRN HALF OF CWFA AND -5C TO THE
HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR. THESE TEMPERATURES SHOULD TRANSLATE TO SOME OF
OUR COLDEST WEATHER SINCE MID DECEMBER WITH WIDESPREAD 25-30F LOWS
FRIDAY MORNING. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 50F ACROSS
THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR WITH M50S SOUTH DEPENDING ON THE LINGERING
CLOUD COVER./40/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON 38 53 29 58 / 100 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 38 53 27 55 / 97 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 38 56 28 62 / 72 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 44 58 32 61 / 47 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 39 57 33 60 / 47 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 36 54 29 55 / 84 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 36 48 28 51 / 100 0 0 0
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 5 PM CST SATURDAY FOR MSZ018-
MSZ019-MSZ025-MSZ026-MSZ027-MSZ028-MSZ029-MSZ030-MSZ031-
MSZ032-MSZ033-MSZ034-MSZ035-MSZ036-MSZ037-MSZ038-MSZ039-
MSZ040-MSZ041-MSZ042-MSZ043-MSZ044-MSZ045-MSZ046-MSZ047-
MSZ048-MSZ049-MSZ050-MSZ051-MSZ052.
LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 5 PM CST SATURDAY FOR LAZ008-
LAZ009.
AR...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 5 PM CST SATURDAY FOR ARZ075.
&&
15/40Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 3, 3:08 PM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 308 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2006 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 042108- ADAMS-ASHLEY-ATTALA-BOLIVAR-CARROLL-CATAHOULA-CHICOT-CHOCTAW- CLAIBORNE-CLARKE-CLAY-CONCORDIA-COPIAH-COVINGTON-EAST CARROLL- FORREST-FRANKLIN LA-FRANKLIN MS-GRENADA-HINDS-HOLMES-HUMPHREYS- ISSAQUENA-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-JONES-KEMPER-LAMAR- LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEAKE-LEFLORE-LINCOLN-LOWNDES-MADISON LA- MADISON MS-MARION-MONTGOMERY-MOREHOUSE-NESHOBA-NEWTON-NOXUBEE- OKTIBBEHA-RANKIN-RICHLAND-SCOTT-SHARKEY-SIMPSON-SMITH-SUNFLOWER- TENSAS-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WEST CARROLL-WINSTON-YAZOO- 308 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... ...THUNDERSTORMS... A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE BRING ABOUT THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THIS STRONG DISTURBANCE IS ALREADY SPREADING COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT OVER THE REGION. AS THIS FEATURE CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...INTENSE LIFT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE EARLY EVENING. THIS LIFT WILL CLASH WITH INCREASING MOISTURE A FEW THOUSAND FEET OFF THE GROUND AND CAUSE THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN AN ATMOSPHERE THAT WILL SUPPORT LARGE HAIL WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. AT THIS TIME...AREAS EAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84 WILL HAVE THE GREATEST RISK. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GULF BALLS HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED WITH THESE STORMS AND THE RISK WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS FOR THE ABOVE DESCRIBED AREAS. ISOLATED TORNADOS CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH THESE STORMS. AREAS OUTSIDE THIS AREA WILL STILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SEE SEVERE WEATHER...JUST THE PROBABILITIES ARE LOWER. ALL ACTIVITY AND PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO EXIT THE REGION BETWEEN 8 PM AND MIDNIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 3, 3:50 PM CST, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
350 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0322 PM HAIL HAZLEHURST 31.86N 90.39W
02/03/2006 1.75 INCH COPIAH MS TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM SPOTTER IN HAZLEHURST REPORTED HAIL RANGING FROM
DIME TO GOLF BALL SIZE.
&&
WESTERLocal storm report, Feb 3, 3:51 PM CST, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
351 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0345 PM HAIL KOSCIUSKO 33.06N 89.59W
02/03/2006 0.88 INCH ATTALA MS LAW ENFORCEMENT
NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN KOSCIUSKO.
&&
WESTERLocal storm report, Feb 3, 3:53 PM CST, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
353 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0345 PM HAIL 5 SE KOSCIUSKO 33.01N 89.53W
02/03/2006 1.75 INCH ATTALA MS PUBLIC
GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
KOSCIUSKO.
&&
WESTERSpecial weather statement, Feb 3, 3:53 PM CST, 25 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 353 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2006 MSZ019-025>028-035-036-040>043-047>049-053-054-059>062-040000- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE- COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN-LINCOLN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD... GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA... BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...LEXINGTON...PICKENS... GOODMAN...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...YAZOO CITY... RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL... BRANDON...RICHLAND...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST... WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE... BROOKHAVEN 353 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2006 ...A COUPLE HOURS OF STRONG GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED BEHIND COLD FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON... GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH WESTERN MISSISSIPPI. THESE WINDS WILL BE IN THE WAKE OF THE MAIN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY CROSSING THE INTERSTATE 55 CORRIDOR. THE WINDS WILL DIE DOWN LATER THIS EVENING BEFORE PICKING UP AGAIN SATURDAY. CRAVEN
Local storm report, Feb 3, 4:07 PM CST, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
407 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0350 PM HAIL DLO 31.99N 89.90W
02/03/2006 1.00 INCH SIMPSON MS CO-OP OBSERVER
COOP OBSERVER REPORTED NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL
COVERING THE GROUND.
&&
WESTERLocal storm report, Feb 3, 4:10 PM CST, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
410 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0406 PM HAIL MENDENHALL 31.96N 89.87W
02/03/2006 0.50 INCH SIMPSON MS LAW ENFORCEMENT
MARBLE SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY THE SHERIFFS OFFICE.
&&
WESTERThe office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 12:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Warren | 66 min |
| Feb 3, 12:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Washington | 28 min |
| Feb 3, 1:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Warren | 65 min |
| Feb 3, 1:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Jefferson | 78 min |
| Feb 3, 1:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Adams | 44 min |
| Feb 3, 2:04 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison | 41 min |
| Feb 3, 2:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Holmes, Yazoo | 46 min |
| Feb 3, 2:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah | 65 min |
| Feb 3, 2:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison | 61 min |
| Feb 3, 3:00 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes | 60 min |
| Feb 3, 3:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leake, Rankin, Scott | 74 min |
| Feb 3, 3:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Simpson | 2 hr |
| Feb 3, 3:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Choctaw, Winston | 63 min |
| Feb 3, 4:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Neshoba | 48 min |
| Feb 3, 4:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Oktibbeha | 55 min |
| Feb 3, 4:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Simpson, Smith | 17 min |
| Feb 3, 4:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jasper, Newton, Scott, Smith | 47 min |
| Feb 3, 4:51 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Jasper, Jones | 54 min |
| Feb 3, 4:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clay, Lowndes, Noxubee | 61 min |
| Feb 3, 5:00 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper, Lauderdale | 60 min |
| Feb 3, 5:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clarke, Lauderdale | 59 min |
| Feb 3, 12:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Catahoula, Franklin | 34 min |
| Feb 3, 12:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Tensas | 28 min |
| Feb 3, 12:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison | 53 min |
| Feb 3, 1:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Catahoula, Franklin | 55 min |
| Feb 3, 1:15 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Madison | 39 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.