Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Northern Indiana

000 
WWUS43 KIWX 010326
WSWIWX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1026 PM EST THU NOV 30 2006

...STRONG WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE REGION...

.A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WILL LIFT NORTHEAST FROM EASTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT TO NORTHWEST
OHIO BY FRIDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE...COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
FILTER INTO NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...SETTING THE
STAGE FOR THE FIRST ACCUMULATING WINTRY PRECIPITATION EVENT OF
THE SEASON.

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT AS SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO COOL TO AT OR BELOW FREEZING WITH A MIX
OF SLEET TOWARD DAYBREAK. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO
ALL SNOW BY MID MORNING FRIDAY. A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW
REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME NORTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST
MICHIGAN ON FRIDAY BEFORE THE SNOW DIMINISHES IN THE EVENING. IN
ADDITION...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
IN THE WARNING AREA WITH LESSOR AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY
AREA WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING LATE
TONIGHT.

INZ003-004-012-MIZ077-078-011130-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0002.061201T0500Z-061201T2300Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-STARKE-BERRIEN-CASS MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...
ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS
926 PM CST THU NOV 30 2006 /1026 PM EST THU NOV 30 2006/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM
CST/ FRIDAY...

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...
SLEET IS ALSO EXPECTED TOWARD DAYBREAK FRIDAY. THE SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL CREATE AN ICY ACCUMULATION OF LESS THAN ONE-
QUARTER OF AN INCH. THE WINTRY MIX WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY LATE
FRIDAY MORNING. TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
EVENING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP
FRIDAY AND CREATE BLOWING SNOW. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY
HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

INZ005-006-013>016-020-MIZ079-080-011130-
/O.CON.KIWX.WW.Y.0002.061201T0900Z-061201T2300Z/
ELKHART-LAGRANGE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITE-
ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...
COLDWATER
926 PM CST THU NOV 30 2006 /1026 PM EST THU NOV 30 2006/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EST /3 AM
CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FRIDAY...

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AFTER 4 AM EST. IN ADDITION...
SLEET IS ALSO EXPECTED AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY. THE SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL CREATE AN ICY ACCUMULATION OF LESS THAN ONE-
QUARTER OF AN INCH. THE WINTRY MIX WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY LATE
FRIDAY MORNING. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
EVENING.


A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

000 
WWUS43 KIWX 010922
WSWIWX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
422 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION TODAY...

.A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY
THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE...COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO
NORTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...SETTING THE STAGE
FOR THE FIRST ACCUMULATING WINTRY PRECIPITATION EVENT OF THE
SEASON.

RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING
OVER SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHWEST INDIANA AS SURFACE
TEMPERATURES COOL TO AT OR BELOW FREEZING. SOME SLEET MAY ALSO MIX
IN AT TIMES THIS MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO
ALL SNOW BY MID TO LATE MORNING AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE
REGION. A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER
EXTREME NORTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE SNOW DIMINISHES IN THE EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL...SOME ICE ACCUMULATION IS ALSO
LIKELY THIS MORNING.

INZ003-004-012-MIZ077-078-011730-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-STARKE-BERRIEN-CASS MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...
ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS
322 AM CST FRI DEC 1 2006 /422 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MID MORNING. THE FREEZING RAIN MAY PRODUCE AN ICE ACCUMULATION OF
UP TO A QUARTER INCH. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO
ALL SNOW BY MID TO LATE MORNING AND MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES.
STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE...WITH
LOCAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 7 INCHES IN BERRIEN COUNTY MICHIGAN.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BECOME
DIFFICULT ACROSS THE WARNED AREA AS FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW
ALONG WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES COMBINE TO RESULT IN SLIPPERY
DRIVING CONDITIONS. REMEMBER BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES ARE THE FIRST
TO FREEZE. 

$$

INZ005-006-013>016-020-MIZ079-080-011730-
/O.CON.KIWX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
ELKHART-LAGRANGE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITE-
ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...
COLDWATER
322 AM CST FRI DEC 1 2006 /422 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

RAIN MAY CHANGE TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET THIS
MORNING BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW BY LATE MORNING OR MIDDAY.
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY THIS
EVENING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN...
SLEET...AND SNOW WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY DRIVING CONDITIONS. USE
CAUTION DRIVING TODAY...AND REMEMBER THAT BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES
ARE THE FIRST TO FREEZE.

$$

HITCHCOCK/LASHLEY

000 
WWUS43 KIWX 011131
WSWIWX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
631 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION TODAY...

.A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY
THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE...COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO
NORTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...SETTING THE STAGE
FOR THE FIRST ACCUMULATING WINTRY PRECIPITATION EVENT OF THE
SEASON.

RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING
OVER SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHWEST INDIANA AS SURFACE
TEMPERATURES COOL TO AT OR BELOW FREEZING. SOME SLEET MAY ALSO
MIX IN AT TIMES THIS MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER
TO ALL SNOW BY MID TO LATE MORNING AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE
REGION. A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER
EXTREME NORTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE SNOW DIMINISHES IN THE EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL...SOME ICE ACCUMULATION IS ALSO
LIKELY THIS MORNING.

MIZ079-080-011945-
/O.UPG.KIWX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KIWX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER
631 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

RAIN HAS CHANGED TO FREEZING RAIN AS TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN TO
NEAR AND JUST BELOW FREEZING. ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE QUARTER INCH
IS EXPECTED. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO MIX WITH SLEET...THEN
CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY LATE MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO
3 INCHES IS ALSO POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION TO THE FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW...STRONG WINDS OF 20 TO
30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL BRING
DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES THAT HAVE ACCUMULATED ICE. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES.

$$

MIZ081-011945-
/O.EXA.KIWX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
HILLSDALE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HILLSDALE
631 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

RAIN HAS CHANGED TO FREEZING RAIN AS TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN TO
NEAR AND JUST BELOW FREEZING. ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE QUARTER INCH
IS EXPECTED. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO MIX WITH SLEET...THEN
CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY LATE MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO
3 INCHES IS ALSO POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION TO THE FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW...STRONG WINDS OF 20 TO
30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL BRING
DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES THAT HAVE ACCUMULATED ICE. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES.

$$

INZ003-004-012-MIZ077-078-011945-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-STARKE-BERRIEN-CASS MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...
ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS
531 AM CST FRI DEC 1 2006 /631 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MID MORNING. THE FREEZING RAIN MAY PRODUCE AN ICE ACCUMULATION OF
UP TO A QUARTER INCH. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO
ALL SNOW BY MID TO LATE MORNING AND MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES.
STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE...WITH
LOCAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 7 INCHES IN BERRIEN COUNTY MICHIGAN.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BECOME
DIFFICULT ACROSS THE WARNED AREA AS FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW
ALONG WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES COMBINE TO RESULT IN SLIPPERY
DRIVING CONDITIONS. REMEMBER BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES ARE THE FIRST
TO FREEZE. 


$$

INZ005-006-013>016-020-011945-
/O.CON.KIWX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
ELKHART-LAGRANGE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON
531 AM CST FRI DEC 1 2006 /631 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

RAIN MAY CHANGE TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET THIS
MORNING BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW BY LATE MORNING OR MIDDAY.
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY THIS
EVENING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN...
SLEET...AND SNOW WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY DRIVING CONDITIONS. USE
CAUTION DRIVING TODAY...AND REMEMBER THAT BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES
ARE THE FIRST TO FREEZE.

$$

000 
WWUS43 KIWX 011511
WSWIWX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1011 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION TODAY...

.AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHERN
OHIO WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY
THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE...COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO
NORTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...SETTING THE STAGE
FOR THE FIRST ACCUMULATING WINTRY PRECIPITATION EVENT OF THE
SEASON.

RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO CHANGE TO SNOW THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON OVER
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHWEST INDIANA AS SURFACE
TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING. A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
SNOW REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME NORTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN BEFORE THE SNOW DIMINISHES IN THE EVENING. 

IF YOU ARE TRAVELING OR PLAN TO TRAVEL TODAY...PREPARE FOR
DETERIORATING ROAD CONDITIONS.

MIZ079>081-012015-
/O.CAN.KIWX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KIWX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...
HILLSDALE
1011 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

EXPECT RAIN TO CHANGE SNOW WITH A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. ROADS MAY
BECOME SLIPPERY THIS AFTERNOON.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WITH AREAS OF
BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

INZ003-004-012-MIZ077-078-012015-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-STARKE-BERRIEN-CASS MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...
ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS
911 AM CST FRI DEC 1 2006 /1011 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. 

EXPECT UP TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON. TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT ACROSS THE WARNED AREA AS
FALLING TEMPERATURES COMBINE TO RESULT IN SLIPPERY DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

$$

INZ005-006-013>016-020-012015-
/O.CON.KIWX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
ELKHART-LAGRANGE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON
911 AM CST FRI DEC 1 2006 /1011 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. 

EXPECT RAIN TO CHANGE SNOW WITH A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. ROADS MAY
BECOME SLIPPERY THIS AFTERNOON.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WITH AREAS OF
BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.


$$

000 
WWUS43 KIWX 011817
WSWIWX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
117 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE RAPIDLY AWAY FROM THE
AREA... 

.SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW CAN STILL
BE EXPECTED OVER NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN INDIANA AND FAR SOUTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN. OTHERWISE...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
LIMITED TO AROUND AN INCH OR LESS.

INZ003-004-012-MIZ077-078-011930-
/O.CAN.KIWX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-STARKE-BERRIEN-CASS MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...
ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS
1217 PM CST FRI DEC 1 2006 /117 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS CANCELLED
THE WINTER STORM WARNING. 

$$

INZ005-006-013>016-020-MIZ079>081-011930-
/O.CAN.KIWX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-061201T2300Z/
ELKHART-LAGRANGE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITE-
ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...
COLDWATER...HILLSDALE
1217 PM CST FRI DEC 1 2006 /117 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS CANCELLED
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

$$

SKIPPER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
633 AM EST THU NOV 30 2006

.AVIATION...

DIFFICULT AVIATION FORECAST THIS PACKAGE WITH DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE THAT WILL MOVE ALONG COLD FRONT SITUATED SOUTH OF TAF
SITES. DEPTH OF SHALLOW COLD AIR IN PLACE AND AMOUNT OF MID LEVEL
WARMING AHEAD OF LOW WILL DICTATE PCPN TYPE TONIGHT. SHOULD SEE RAIN
MOST OF THE DAY AT BOTH SITES WITH MVFR AND OCCASIONAL IFR
CONDITIONS. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS LOW
DEEPENS AND APPROACHES THE AREA. WARM AIR SPREADING OVER SHALLOW
COLD AIR MAY PRODUCE A MIX OF PCPN AT KSBN BEFORE FINALLY CHANGING
OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY MORNING. KFWA LIKELY TO STAY ALL LIQUID. FOR NOW
HAVE ADDED A RAIN AND SNOW MIX TO KSBN BUT COULD BE SOME SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN DEPENDING ON HOW COLD IT BECOMES TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY

AS WE DISCUSSED AS A CONCERN LAST NIGHT...MOST SHORT RANGE MODELS
HAVE TRENDED TOWARD A MORE NORTHWEST TRACK WITH DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE THAT WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG ARCTIC BOUNDARY. LATEST NAM
AND GFS ARE CONSIDERABLY FARTHER NORTHWEST AND GENERALLY SLOWER THAN
THIS TIME LAST NIGHT...TAKING SURFACE LOW INTO NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA
BY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS RESULTS IN A MUCH WARMER ELEVATED WARM LAYER
ADVECTING INTO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE DEEP
COLD AIR MOVES IN. ECMWF AND GEM STILL A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH AND
EAST BUT MORE NORTHWEST THAN YESTERDAYS CONSENSUS. HENCE EXPECT THIS
SYSTEM TO LIFT OUT OF SOUTHERN PLAINS AND TRACK MORE WEST OF
PREVIOUS EXPECTATIONS. WILL BE CAUTIOUS WITH DRASTIC CHANGES AT THIS
TIME GIVEN STRONG DYNAMIC LIFT THAT MAY HELP OFFSET WARM AIR LAYER
ALOFT IN THE FAR NORTHWEST.

UPPER LOW DEEPENING IN BASE OF TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS
MORNING AND CYCLOGENESIS UNDERWAY ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS. IMPRESSIVE
DEFORMATION ZONE SNOW ALREADY OCCURRING ACROSS WESTERN OK AND
NORTHERN TX. LEADING EDGE OF ARCTIC BOUNDARY HAS MADE ITS WAY INTO
NORTHWEST HALF OF OUR FORECAST AREA AND MAKING A SLOW PROGRESS EAST.
THIS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST GRADUALLY TODAY.

NAM-WRF 2M TEMPS HAVE INITIALIZED WELL AND GENERALLY USED THESE FOR
TEMPERATURE TRENDS TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS ITS LOW LEVEL RESOLUTION
SHOULD HANDLE THIS SHALLOW COLD AIR BETTER THAN OTHER MODELS. WE MAY
FINALLY BE SEEING THE BENEFITS OF THIS HIGHER RESOLUTION MODEL WITH
SHARPER TEMPERATURE GRADIENTS. NAM-WRF SOLUTION OF PAST SEVERAL RUNS
SEEMS TO BE RELATIVELY CONSISTENT AND VERIFYING WELL. THUS HAVE
FOLLOWED IT WITH A BLEND OF ECMWF...GEM AND NGM FOR CONTINUITY OF
GRIDS AND FORECAST.

POST FRONTAL RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH DEEP
SOUTHWEST MOIST FLOW AND ASCENT. ELEVATED INSTABILITY PRESENT BUT
NOT MUCH LIGHTNING OVERNIGHT ALONG THIS BOUNDARY THIS FAR NORTH.
HAVE KEPT MENTION OF THUNDER OUT FOR TODAY BUT WILL HAVE TO MONITOR
DEVELOPMENT. BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDER TONIGHT AS DEEPENING SURFACE
LOW APPROACHES WITH MID LEVEL INSTABILITY INCREASING ALONG WITH
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...MORE NORTHWEST TRACK OF LOW LEADING TO WARMER
AIR ALOFT SPREADING INTO THE AREA TONIGHT WHILE SHALLOW COLD AIR
NEAR THE SURFACE REMAINS NEAR OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING. HAVE TRENDED
SNOW AMOUNTS BACK AND SLOWED TIMING OF CHANGEOVER. FAR NORTHWEST
STILL HAS BEST CHANCE AT WARNING CRITERIA SNOW WHILE CENTRAL AREAS
WILL LIKELY SEE MORE RAIN WITH A MIXED BAG LATE AND CHANGEOVER TO
SNOW ON FRIDAY. AFTER MUCH COLLABORATION HAVE DECIDED TO LEAVE WATCH
OUTLINE AS IS WITH SOME RESPECT TO ECMWF AND NGM SOLUTIONS.
HOWEVER...FEEL EASTERN PORTIONS OF WATCH WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED
TODAY OR AT LEAST PUT INTO AN ADVISORY. WESTERN AREAS STILL HAVE
POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING. DAY SHIFT WILL MAKE THIS DECISION ONCE 12Z
DATA ARRIVES.

FRIDAY SNOW SHOULD GRADUALLY END FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST BUT
DEFORMATION ZONE STILL HAS POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF BURST OF HEAVY SNOW
AS SYSTEM IS STILL WRAPPING UP. COLD AIR ADVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON
WILL ALSO LEAD TO STRONG WINDS THAT MAY EXCEED ADVISORY CRITERIA.
HAVE OPTED NOT TO ISSUE HIGH WIND WATCH BUT INCREASED WINDS IN GRIDS
TO NEAR ADVISORY LEVELS.

&&

.LONG TERM...
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FIRST CONCERN IN THE LONG TERM IS ANY LEFTOVER SNOW CHANCES FRIDAY
EVENING FROM SYSTEM AFFECTING THE SHORT TERM. 00Z NAM/GFS CONTINUE
THEIR SLIGHT NW SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF THE MID LEVEL CLOSED LOW AND
ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW. COMMA HEAD WILL BE RAPIDLY PULLING AWAY BY
00Z SAT WITH TROWAL SIGNATURE IN MODEL DATA SHIFTING RAPIDLY INTO
ONTARIO PROVINCE...HOWEVER NAM 925MB PLUME ANALYSIS SUGGESTING
POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT/ENHANCED SNOW OVER THE
NW CWA FRI EVENING. MOIST AND STRONGLY CURVED CYCLONIC FLOW VERY
GOOD PATTERN RECOGNITION INDICATORS OF THIS POTENTIAL...AND RAPIDLY
COOLING H85 TEMPS SUPPORTING CONDITIONAL LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY.
ONLY A SHORT WINDOW OF DEEPER MOISTURE AVAILABLE BEFORE COMMA HEAD
DEPARTS BY LATE EVENING. HAVE GONE WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS FOR FRI
EVENING FOR NOW AND PLACED ABOUT AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL ACCUM IN THE
GRIDS OVER THE NW QUARTER OF THE CWA. LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO
INCREASE THESE POPS/SNOW AMOUNTS IF IT APPEARS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS
WILL LAST BEYOND 00Z SAT. LAKE EFFECT SHOULD RAPIDLY DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT WITH LOSS OF DEEPER MOISTURE AND BACKING FLOW WITHIN THE
CLOUD BEARING LAYER.

FOR SATURDAY INTO NEXT WEDNESDAY A WINTRY PATTERN WILL BECOME WELL
ESTABLISHED WITH 00Z GFS/GEM AND GFS ENSEMBLES SUPPORTING A
DEVELOPING +PNA REGIME WITH WEST COAST RIDGE AND EASTERN CONUS
TROUGH. SUCH A PATTERN IN THE COLD SEASON OFTEN SUPPORTS ALBERTA
CLIPPER DEVELOPMENT...AND 00Z GFS/GEM BOTH SHOW A MULTITUDE OF
RELATIVELY WEAK SHORTWAVES AND SURFACE REFLECTIONS DROPPING THROUGH
THE GREAT LAKES EMBEDDED IN THE MEAN NW FLOW. COLD AIRMASS WILL BE
REINFORCED BEHIND EACH CLIPPER...POTENTIALLY SETTING THE STAGE FOR
SEVERAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENTS. FIRST SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE GREAT
LAKES LATE SUN AND SUN NGT. LAST SEVERAL RUNS OF THE GFS SUGGEST AN
INCREASE IN MOISTURE DEPTH WITH AND BEHIND THIS WAVE...ALLOWING FOR
A MORE FAVORABLE LAKE EFFECT ENVIRONMENT TO EVOLVE. HAVE CONTINUED
WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS FOR SUN NGT GIVEN INHERENT UNCERTAINTY IN
FORECASTING A MESOSCALE EVENT AT THIS TIME RANGE.

BEYOND SUN NGT TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVES BECOMES DIFFICULT AT
BEST. LATEST 00Z/30 GFS/GEM SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A MORE SIGNIFICANT
WAVE MON NGT AND TUE WITH ASSOCIATED WAA REGIME POSSIBLY BRINGING A
GENERAL LIGHT SNOWFALL TO THE REGION...FOLLOWED BY ADDITIONAL LAKE
EFFECT CHANCES. NORMALLY DO NOT LIKE TO ADD POPS TO SO MANY PERIODS
THIS FAR OUT IN THE EXTENDED...BUT GIVEN WE ARE ENTERING THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL PEAK FOR LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY...AND GIVEN FAVORABLE
CLIPPER PATTERN...HAVE ADDED POPS TO MANY OF THE DAY 4-7 PERIODS
WITH GREATEST CHANCES E/SE OF LAKE MICHIGAN. TEMPS WILL BE BELOW
NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS POTENTIALLY BELOW
FREEZING FOR MUCH OF THE SUN-WED PERIOD. NIGHTS WILL BE CHILLY...
AND POTENTIALLY QUITE COLD IF A SNOWPACK CAN BECOME ESTABLISHED.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR INZ005>009-013>017-020-022>024.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR INZ003-004-012.

MI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR MIZ079>081.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR MIZ077-078.

OH...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY FOR LMZ043-046.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...LASHLEY
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
532 AM EST THU NOV 30 2006

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-011045-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
432 AM CST THU NOV 30 2006 /532 AM EST THU NOV 30 2006/

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
OHIO... SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...MAINLY EAST
OF A LINE FROM MONTICELLO INDIANA TO HILLSDALE MICHIGAN. THUNDERSTORMS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE BUT WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE.

COLDER AIR WILL SLOWLY FILTER INTO THE AREA TONIGHT ALLOWING RAIN
TO CHANGE TO A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND POSSIBILY FREEZING RAIN
OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER FAR NORTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SNOW WILL END ON FRIDAY FROM WEST TO EAST. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
SIGNIFICANT HEAVY SNOW WILL BE OVER FAR NORTHWEST INDIANA AND
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...WHERE 3 TO 7 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. LESS ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
CENTRAL AND EAST.

THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND POSSIBLE
ACCUMULATIONS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. SNOW OBSERVERS ARE ASKED TO
REPORT PRECIPITATION TYPE AND ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-061-011045-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST JOSEPH MI OUT TO MID LAKE-
532 AM EST THU NOV 30 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS AND WAVES INCREASING TO 6 TO 10 FEET
CAN BE EXPECTED...CREATING HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NORTH TO NORTHEAST GALES TO 35 KNOTS AND WAVES OF 15 TO 18 FEET
CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. WINDS AND WAVES WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE
AGAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT WAVE LEVELS
SUNDAY INTO MID WEEK.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAMAREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP