Wind Advisory 1, NWS Northern Indiana

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Branch County, MI, Cass County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH

000 
WWUS73 KIWX 241616
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1116 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2006

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
NORTHERN INDIANA...SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHWEST OHIO...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES REGION TODAY. AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES...COLDER AIR WILL
RUSH INTO THE AREA AND WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AT 25 TO
35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-250030-
/O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0001.060124T1800Z-060125T0600Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...
ROCHESTER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...
LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...
BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...
MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...
BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...
COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...
NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...
DELPHOS...LIMA
1016 AM CST TUE JAN 24 2006 /1116 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2006/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/
WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/
WEDNESDAY. 

WINDS WILL BECOME WEST TO NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASE TO
BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING SLIGHTLY.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

$$

000 
WWUS73 KIWX 242057
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
357 PM EST TUE JAN 24 2006

...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN
INDIANA...SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHWEST OHIO...

.AN AREA OF STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
REGION TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE AREA.
WEST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE
EAST TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THIS
OCCURS WINDS WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT. GUSTS TO
25 TO 30 MPH WILL STILL BE LIKELY WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE WINDS
BECOME MUCH LIGHTER BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-250600-
/O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060125T0600Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...
ROCHESTER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...
LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...
BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...
MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...
BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...
COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...
NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...
DELPHOS...LIMA
257 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2006 /357 PM EST TUE JAN 24 2006/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/
WEDNESDAY...

WEST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT
TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY
DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT...BUT GUSTS UP TO 25 TO 30 MPH ARE STILL
POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN...NORTHERN INDIANA...AND NORTHWEST OHIO TONIGHT. THE MORE
PERSISTENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR IN SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND
NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF U.S. ROUTE 6 WHERE
AROUND AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE. THE STRONG WINDS WILL
CREATE SOME LIMITED BLOWING SNOW OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE
MORE PERSISTENT SNOW SHOWERS OCCUR.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

$$

HITCHCOCK

000 
WWUS73 KIWX 250300
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1000 PM EST TUE JAN 24 2006

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-250400-
/O.CAN.KIWX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060125T0600Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...
ROCHESTER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...
LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...
BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...
MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...
BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...
COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...
NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...
DELPHOS...LIMA
900 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2006 /1000 PM EST TUE JAN 24 2006/

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS CANCELLED
THE WIND ADVISORY. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1235 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2006

.AVIATION...

NUMEROUS AVIATION CHALLENGES WITH THIS TAF ISSUANCE. STRATUS AND FOG
THAT DEVELOPED WITH EARLY RADIATIONAL COOLING IS BEGINNING TO MIX
AND DISSIPATE NEAR TAF SITES AS STRONG GRADIENT INCREASES AND LOWER
LEVEL WINDS INCREASE. HOWEVER...LARGE AREA OF STRATUS AND MVFR VIS
REMAIN UPSTREAM DESPITE STRONG WINDS. AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE
CHALLENGE IS WHETHER THE UPSTREAM STRATUS REMAINS IN PLACE OR GETS
ADVECTED INTO OUR AREA. WITH 850-925MB LAYER WINDS BECOMING MORE
WEST THEN NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT...FEEL THERE IS A CHANCE THE UPSTREAM
STRATUS WILL MOVE INTO AT LEAST KSBN LATE. HAVE ADDED THIS TO TAF BY
10Z. WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE AND HAVE ADDED GUSTS BACK TO FORECAST
BASED ON UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS. 925-850MB COLD FRONT WILL PASS
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF SURFACE FRONT. COLD AIR ADVECTION IN THESE
LAYERS WITH SOME SYNOPTIC MOISTURE SHOULD LEAD TO SCATTERED FLURRIES
THROUGH THE DAY. DEEPER MOISTURE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
WITH STRONGER COLD AIR ADVECTION AND SURFACE FRONT MAY LEAD TO SOME
RESTRICTED VISIBILITIES...MAINLY MVFR AT THIS POINT. WITH THIS WAVE
THE WINDS SHOULD ALSO INCREASE FURTHER WITH GUSTS OVER 35KTS
POSSIBLE. WILL HAVE TO EVALUATE NEW MODEL DATA MORE CLOSELY BUT LOW
LEVEL LAPSE RATES INCREASE TO SUPPORT TRANSPORT TO THE SURFACE AND
THERE LOOKS TO BE 40 TO 50 KNOTS OF WIND IN THE 925-850 MB LAYER.

&&

.UPDATE...
IFR STRATUS DECK WHICH HAD BEEN ERODING OVER NRN INDIANA THIS AFTN
HAS BEEN EXPANDING THIS EVE AS RADIATIONAL COOLING MOISTENING UP LOW
LEVELS AGAIN. ALSO LOW LEVEL WINDS BACKING TO SWLY AND INCREASING
THIS EVE IN RESPONSE TO LOW MOVG SE INTO SWRN ONTARIO ARE ADVECTING
THE STRATUS DECK NE TOWARD SBN AND FWA. THUS, APPEARS WITH THE
POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF FAR SE THAT STRATUS DECK WILL OVERSPREAD THE
CWA THIS EVE. TEMPS WHICH HAD FALLEN CLOSE TO THEIR FCST MINS
ALREADY EARLY THIS EVE WITH SOME RADIATIONAL COOLING SHOULD STEADY
OFF OR RISE SOME OVERNIGHT. UPDATED ZONES, GRIDS, TAFS, TO REFLECT
THESE CLOUD AND TEMP TRENDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...

SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

INIT OF GFS LOOKED BETTER OVER NAM/NGM WITH STRENGTH AND 8H COLD
POOL. GFS INIT AT 5H BEST BUT STILL ABOUT 30M TOO WEAK IN ALBERTA
AND SIDED LARGELY WITH GFS. ONLY SOME IFR CLOUDS REMAIN OVER FAR SW
ZONE BUT INCREASED MIXING ON EDGE CONTINUES AND SHOULD START MOSTLY
CLEAR FOR TONIGHT. INCREASED BL FLOW/TURBULENT MIXING OF MUCH DRIER
AIR ALOFT SHOULD PRECLUDE ST REFORMATION OVERNIGHT. NON DIURNAL
TEMPS WITH SOME TEMP RISE TOWARD DAYBREAK WITH INCREASED LOW LEVEL
WAA IN ADVANCE OF 989MB LOW INTO LAKE SUPERIOR BY 12Z TUE.
STEEPENING NEAR SURFACE LAPSE RATES WITH STRONG 8H CAA COULD WELL
SEE MIXING TO FIRST GATE OF AT LEAST 35 KNOTS...PERHAPS A BIT MORE
AND WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED BUT DEFER TO MIDNIGHT SHIFT FOR
FURTHER COLLABORATION/MODEL INTERPRETATION. SOME SYNOPTIC MOISTURE
WITH STRONG CLIPPER ESPECIALLY N-NE CWA AND WILL ADD SCT SW- BUT
DOWNPLAY ACCUM WITH LITTLE ADDED MOISTURE/LAKE ENHANCEMENT WITH SUCH
FAST INCLOUD FLOW LIMITING RESIDENCE TIME...OBLITERATING SMALL SCALE
PROCESSES AND LAKE INDUCED THERMAL INSTABILITY MARGINAL WITH DELTA T
TO LOWER TEENS BY TUESDAY EVENING.

LONG TERM...
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

NO MAJOR CHANGES TO ONGOING FORECAST. WEAK SYSTEMS ARE FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA IN THE MAINLY ZONAL FLOW. ALL MODELS SUGGESTING
THESE WEAK SYSTEMS WILL BE IN AREA...THOUGH SOLUTIONS DIVERGE IN
TIMING AND PLACEMENT SIGNIFICANTLY BETWEEN GFS...NAM... ETC. SINCE
THERE ARE STILL SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AND LIMITED
CONSISTENCY...WILL TEND TO ONGOING FORECAST.

IN GENERAL...MILD WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. MORE
SPECIFICALLY...CLIPPER WILL EXIT THE AREA ON TUESDAY NIGHT ALLOWING
WINDS TO DECREASE. NWLY FLO OVER LAKE MI WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED
FLURRIES OVER THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT MAINLY DRY WITH MILD TEMPS. SUNDAY A CHANCE OF RAIN
WITH SYSTEM THAT SHOULD MOVE OVER THE AREA...THEN DRYING ON MONDAY
AS SYSTEM MOVES EAST.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EST TUESDAY
     FOR LMZ043-046.
     GALE WARNING FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     LMZ043-046.

&&

SHORT TERM...MURPHY
LONG TERM...EDDY
AVIATION...JT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
730 PM EST MON JAN 23 2006

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-241015-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
730 PM CST MON JAN 23 2006 /514 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WEST WINDS WILL GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH ON TUESDAY. THIS MAY MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR PEOPLE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-061-241015-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST JOSEPH MI OUT TO MID LAKE-
730 PM EST MON JAN 23 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS LATE
TONIGHT WITH A GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE OPEN WATERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE OPEN WATERS UNTIL LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT. FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS... WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE
FORCE BY MIDDAY WITH GALES THEN CONTINUING UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY... HOWEVER WAVES WILL REMAIN GREATER
THAN 4 FEET IN THE NEARSHORE WATERS INTO THE EVENING.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAMAREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP