Severe Thunderstorm Warning 280, NWS Indianapolis, IN

000 
WWUS53 KIND 142053
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
453 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

INC071-079-142115-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0280.000000T0000Z-060714T2115Z/
JACKSON-JENNINGS-
453 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON AND SOUTHERN JENNINGS COUNTIES...

AT 451 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.
 THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTH OF SEYMOUR...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL SOUTHERN JENNINGS COUNTY AROUND 510 PM EDT

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY REMEMBER...IF
YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3894 8598 3877 8600 3874 8589 3883 8581
      3884 8565 3895 8547 3905 8545

$$

HAINES

000 
WWUS53 KIND 142104
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
504 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

INC071-142114-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0280.000000T0000Z-060714T2115Z/
JACKSON-
504 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR JACKSON COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 3898 8580 3883 8580 3883 8578 3883 8581
      3884 8565 3895 8547 3905 8545

$$

INC079-142115-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0280.000000T0000Z-060714T2115Z/
JENNINGS-
504 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN JENNINGS COUNTY...

AT 500 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.
 THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VERNON...OR ABOUT 9
MILES SOUTHEAST OF SEYMOUR...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  VERNON AROUND 515 PM EDT...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY REMEMBER...IF
YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3898 8580 3883 8580 3883 8578 3883 8581
      3884 8565 3895 8547 3905 8545

$$

HAINES

000 
WWUS53 KIND 142115
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
515 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

INC079-142125-
/O.EXP.KIND.SV.W.0280.000000T0000Z-060714T2115Z/
JENNINGS-
515 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN JENNINGS COUNTY
EXPIRED AT 515 PM EDT...

THE STORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE WEATHER LIMITS.

LAT...LON 3898 8580 3883 8580 3883 8578 3883 8581
      3884 8565 3895 8547 3905 8545

$$
HAINES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
252 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

.DISCUSSION FOR ZONES AND GRIDS...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THIS EVENING AND TEMPERATURES IN THE REST OF
THE FORECAST WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST FOCUS FOR TODAY.

THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WERE PRIMARILY ACROSS NORTHERN
INDIANA...NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NEAR THE OHIO RIVER.  EVEN THOUGH
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO OUR WEST HAS BEEN MINIMAL SO FAR THIS
AFTERNOON...DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN
AND EASTERN PARTS OF OUR FORECAST AREA.  WATER VAPOR IR SHOWS A WELL
DEFINED UPPER TROUGH FROM MICHIGAN UPPER PENINSULA TO NORTHWEST
ILLINOIS.  THERE WAS ALSO A MID LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI. THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION WILL TRACK INTO KENTUCKY THIS
EVENING...WHILE THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST ACROSS NORTHERN
INDIANA.  NAM SHOWS A SHARP INCREASE IN CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHERN
PARTS OF OUR FORECAST AREA AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD.  THUS
WILL CONTINUE LIKELY POPS THERE WHILE CHANCE POPS WILL BE THE RULE
ELSEWHERE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL END MOST AREAS NEAR OR SHORTLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS TROUGH CONTINUES EASTWARD.

WITH SOME PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING...WILL GO CLOSER TO COOLER MET
FWC MOS TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. STRONG UPPER RIDGE OVER OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BUILD EAST TOWARDS INDIANA NEXT FEW DAYS. BOTH
GFS AND NAM INCREASE 850 MB TEMPERATURES TO AROUND 20 DEGREES
CELSIUS SATURDAY...THE LOWER 20S SUNDAY AND SOME AREAS TO THE MID
20S ON MONDAY. SOME OF THE GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES SUGGEST HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 90S BY SUNDAY OR MONDAY. WILL NOT GO QUITE THAT WARM THAT
QUICKLY SINCE SOIL IS STILL HIGH. NEVERLESS TEMPERATURES IN THE MID
90S ARE POSSIBLE AND HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY REACH 105 IN OUR WEST AND
SOUTHWEST BY MONDAY.

GFS AND DGEX START TO WEAKEN UPPER RIDGE A LITTLE THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES.  THIS MAY RESULT
IN A SLIGHT MODERATION OF TEMPERATURES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TOWARDS THE END OF OUR 7 DAY FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 141800Z TAF ISSUANCE. OLD OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FM LAST NIGHT/S CONVECTION CURRENTLY EXTENDING FM FAR NW
IND SWWD INTO SRN IL. THIS SHOULD SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR TSTM DVLPMT
OVR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HRS AS CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE JUST ABOUT
REACHED. XPCTG A BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION TO MOV ACRS THE AREA LTR
THIS AFT IN ASSOCIATION WITH OUTFLOW. APPEARS BEST THREAT FOR
CONVECTION DIRECTLY AFFECTING THE TERMINALS WL BE THRU ABOUT
142200Z...ALTHOUGH A LINGERING THREAT MAY EXIST TIL ABOUT 150200Z
WHEN UPPR SYS PASSES THRU. HI P-WATER VALUES SUGGEST IFR CONDS IN
TSTMS.

CROSSOVER TEMPS SUGGEST FOG WL PROB FORM AGAIN TONIGHT...BUT WITH
SOME DRIER AIR FILTERING IN...FOG MAY NOT BE QUITE AS DENSE AS THE
PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS. CURRENT THINKING AREAS OF MVFR TYPE FOG
SHOULD DVLP TOWARDS 150600Z.

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...JEH
AVIATION...JAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
505 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-150915-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
405 AM CDT FRI JUL 14 2006 /505 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE HIGHEST
CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. AT THIS TIME...THE MAIN HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. FLOODING
OF ROADWAYS...SMALL CREEKS...AND STREAMS WILL ALSO BE A THREAT IN
AREAS WHERE HEAVY RAIN OCCURS. LIGHTNING IS A THREAT WITH ALL
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REACH THE LOWER 90S SATURDAY THROUGH
NEXT WEEK. THESE TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY WILL
CAUSE HEAT INDICES TO POTENTIALLY EXCEED 100 DEGREES IN MANY
AREAS...ESPECIALLY LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. HEAT
INDICES AT THESE LEVELS ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS TO VULNERABLE
MEMBERS OF THE POPULATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

NIELD