Severe Thunderstorm Warning 202, NWS Indianapolis, IN

000 
WWUS53 KIND 110214
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1014 PM EDT SAT JUN 10 2006

INC093-110230-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0202.000000T0000Z-060611T0230Z/
LAWRENCE-
1014 PM EDT SAT JUN 10 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM EDT
FOR LAWRENCE COUNTY...

AT 1009 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
MITCHELL...OR ABOUT NEAR BEDFORD...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY REMEMBER...IF
YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM HAS DECREASED SOME IN STRENGTH BUT MAY STILL BE PRODUCING 
DANGEROUS WEATHER.

LAT...LON 3891 8671 3873 8670 3869 8632 3892 8632

$$

HAINES

000 
WWUS53 KIND 110225
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1025 PM EDT SAT JUN 10 2006

INC093-110235-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0202.000000T0000Z-060611T0230Z/
LAWRENCE-
1025 PM EDT SAT JUN 10 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LAWRENCE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS DECREASED BELOW SEVERE WEATHER LIMITS. 

LAT...LON 3891 8671 3873 8670 3869 8632 3892 8632

$$

HAINES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
740 PM EDT SAT JUN 10 2006

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR THE 00Z TAFS

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH SOUTHERN
INDIANA AND INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE LITTLE
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. VERY MOIST AIR OVER RUNNING THE FRONT
WILL CAUSE VFR CONDITIONS IN SOUTHERN INDIANA TO MVFR CEILINGS IN
THE CENTRAL AND NORTH. A WEATHER DISTURBANCE TRACKING ALONG THE
FRONT WILL BRING AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS INTO SOUTHERN INDIANA
LATER TONIGHT. CONDITIONS MAY DECREASE TO MVFR WITH ISOLATED IFR
CONDITIONS IN THE STRONGER STORMS. SOME SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. CONDITIONS MAY BEGIN TO IMPROVE LATER IN THE
MORNING ON SUNDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...FCST FOCUS WILL BE ON HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
TONIGHT AND RAIN CHANCES THROUGH SUNDAY.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDED FROM EXTREME SOUTHERN INDIANA JUST NORTH
OF EVANSVILLE TO LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHEAST KANSAS. TEMPERATURES
SOUTH OF THE FRONT HAD WARMED TO 90S WHILE 60S AND 70S WERE THE RULE
TO THE NORTH. RADAR MOSAICS SHOWED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WERE BEGINNING TO INCREASE ACROSS MISSOURI. LOOKS LIKE NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NORTHERN 2/3
OF OUR FORECAST AREA THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

MODELS INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF S/W OVER ERN
KANSAS WHICH WAS ALSO INDICATED ON WATER VAPOR.  MODELS INDICATE
GOOD MOISTURE CONVERGENCE NEAR SURFACE AND 850 MB. 850 MB JET IS
ONLY 20-30 KNOTS TO OUR SOUTHWEST AND DEWPOINTS ONLY IN LOWER 60S TO
OUR SOUTHWEST. SO EVEN THOUGH HEAVY RAINS STILL APPEAR A GOOD BET
WILL NOT ISSUE FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME.  SPC ALSO KEEPS OUR S/W
HALF OF OUR FORECAST AREA IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO GREAT LAKES WILL FORCE FRONT SLOWLY
SOUTHWARD DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. HOWEVER MODELS ARE A LITTLE SLOWER
IN DRYING THINGS OUT ON SUNDAY.

WILL GO DRY MOST OF EXTENDED UNTIL DAY 7 AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER GREAT
LAKES DOMINATES OUR WEATHER. HPC AND GFS INDICATES COLD FRONT
APPROACHING OUR AREA BY DAY 7. WILL MENTION SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS BY THEN.  IT IS POSSIBLE THIS SYSTEM MAY NOT REACH US
UNTIL AFTER DAY 7.

I HAVE USED A BLEND OF MET/MAV TEMPERATURES IN THE SHORT TERM.
CLOUDS SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR THE HIGHER END OF GUIDANCE
NUMBERS TONIGHT.

&&

IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

PUBLIC...JEH
AVIATION...HAINES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
438 AM EDT SAT JUN 10 2006

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-110845-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
338 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006 /438 AM EDT SAT JUN 10 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CENTRAL INDIANA BOTH
TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
TONIGHT SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. MANY AREAS COULD RECEIVE BETWEEN
ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS
MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT FOR THOSE AREAS SOUTH OF A TERRE HAUTE TO SEYMOUR
LINE. A WARM FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTH INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL
INDIANA TODAY. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ALONG OR SOUTH OF THIS
FRONT COULD BECOME SEVERE. BY LATER THIS EVENING...A LARGE COMPLEX OF
STORMS COULD ORGANIZE ACROSS ILLINOIS. THIS AREA OF STORMS WOULD
RACE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY STORMS NEAR
THE FRONT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. THERE IS A SMALL
CHANCE FOR A TORNADO...IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE WARM FRONT ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A TERRE HAUTE TO SEYMOUR LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA BY SUNDAY
EVENING. THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS NEXT FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED SOUTH OF A TERRE HAUTE TO SEYMOUR
LINE AFTER 5 PM TODAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)