Severe Thunderstorm Warning 140, NWS Indianapolis, IN

000 
WWUS53 KIND 190639
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
238 AM EDT WED APR 19 2006

INC083-190648-
/O.EXP.KIND.SV.W.0140.000000T0000Z-060419T0645Z/
KNOX-
138 AM CDT WED APR 19 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN KNOX COUNTY WILL BE 
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 145 AM CDT...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KNOX COUNTY UNTIL 300 AM 
CDT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHERN INDIANA.

LAT...LON 3859 8761 3859 8742 3860 8729 3871 8729
      3890 8716 3889 8751 3872 8752

$$

CO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
140 AM EDT TUE APR 19 2006

.AVIATION...
AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS HAS
PUSHED INTO WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA. THESE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL IMPACT KHUF AND KBMG TAF SITES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THE
MAIN AREA WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND WEAKEN.
THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE AS FAR NORTH AS KIND BEFORE WEAKENING. ALL
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH BY SUNRISE AS 850 MB JET
ACROSS MISSOURI WEAKENS BY SUNRISE. ONLY BROKEN CLOUDS AT AROUND 5
THOUSAND FEET AFTER 12Z.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS IS ON CHANCES FOR RAIN THROUGH MUCH OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.

ALTHOUGH MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT...DO NOT HAVE A LOT OF
CONFIDENCE AS THEIR SOLUTIONS HAVE NOT BEEN THAT CONSISTENT IN
TERMS OF PRECIPITATION. WILL USE A BLEND FOR BIG PICTURE...BUT NOT
FOLLOW ANY SPECIFIC MODEL FOR DETAILS.

TONIGHT STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL OCCUR JUST SOUTHWEST OF
FORECAST AREA /FA/. THIS WILL CREATE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HOWEVER THE ACTIVITY WILL HAVE TO OVERCOME A VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE.
THE ISENTROPIC LIFT SHIFTS QUICKLY SOUTHEAST OF THE FA BY
12Z...AND WITH THE DRY ATMOSPHERE RAIN WILL HAVE A HARD TIME
MAKING IT EAST. THUS WILL KEEP POPS IN CHANCE CATEGORY ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN FA AND TAPER QUICKLY OFF TO NO POPS ACROSS NORTHEAST
FA. GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES LOOK OK WITH WARMEST READINGS UNDER
CLOUDS ACROSS SOUTHWEST FA.

SURFACE LOW SHIFTS SOUTH OF FA ON WEDNESDAY BUT WEAK OCCLUDED
FRONT REMAINS IN THE VICINITY. FRONT WILL NOT PROVIDE MUCH LIFT AS
UPPER SUPPORT IS LACKING WITH UPPER LOW STILL WELL OFF TO THE
NORTHWEST. NAM SHOWING SOME CAPE...SO ALONG WITH WEAK FRONT STILL
SEE A NEED FOR SLIGHT CHANCE POPS. EXPECTING CLOUDS TO DIMINISH
SOME AS SURFACE LOW EXITS...SO MAV/MET TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
70S LOOK GOOD.

NOT MUCH CHANGES INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...SO KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS.
A STRONGER WAVE MOVES INTO KENTUCKY ON FRIDAY AND THUS BRINGS A
LITTLE BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE FA THEN.

WEEKEND CHANCES FOR RAIN REMAIN UNCERTAIN AS POSITION OF SURFACE
LOW BY SATURDAY MORNING IS A TOUGH CALL. WILL KEEP DRY FORECAST TO
AVOID FLIP FLOP BUT SATURDAY WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED FOR ADDITION
OF RAIN.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

JEH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1145 PM EDT TUE APR 18 2006

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-191000-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
1045 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2006 /1145 PM EDT TUE APR 18 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT
SOUTH OF A LAFAYETTE TO INDIANAPOLIS TO GREENSBURG LINE. SOME OF
THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL.

LOWLAND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ALONG SOME AREA RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL LOWERCASE)

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
108 AM EDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     HAIL             VINCENNES               38.68N 87.51W
04/19/2006  E1.00 INCH       KNOX               IN   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

JEH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
110 AM EDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0101 AM     HAIL             1 W VINCENNES           38.68N 87.53W
04/19/2006  E0.50 INCH       KNOX               IN   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

JEH