Wind Advisory 1, NWS Wilmington, OH

Fayette County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Union County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Auglaize County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Darke County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Warren County, OH

000 
WWUS71 KILN 250222
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
922 PM EST TUE JAN 24 2006

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-
250330-
/O.CAN.KILN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060125T1100Z/
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-
MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-
PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...
BROOKVILLE...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...
BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...PIQUA...URBANA...
SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...EATON...DAYTON...
XENIA...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...CIRCLEVILLE...LANCASTER...
HAMILTON...LEBANON...WILMINGTON...CHILLICOTHE...LOGAN
922 PM EST TUE JAN 24 2006

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS CANCELED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

A LOW PRESSURE CENTER NORTH OF LAKE HURON WILL SLOWLY PULL AWAY
FROM THE REGION OVERNIGHT. AS IT DOES...WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
ISOLATED GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL AFFECT THE AREA. WHILE WINDS OF THIS
STRENGTH MAY BLOW LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS AROUND...THEY ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED TO CAUSE DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS OR TO KNOCK LIMBS OFF
TREES. THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED.

$$
SITES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1245 PM EST TUE JAN 24 2006

.AVIATION (18Z-18Z)
MAIN CONCERN IS WIND. MID CLOUDS ACROSS NORTH CWA WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH EAST. LOWER CLOUDS WITH CAA WILL MOVE IN THIS EVENING. MODELS
SUGGESTING -SHSN ACROSS THE NORTH TONIGHT. WINDS SHOULD HELP KEEP
VSBYS UP BUT BRIEF LOWER VSBYS COULD OCCUR IN DAY AND CMH AREAS IN
HEAVIER SN SHOWERS. WILL DELAY CLEARING A BIT WED PER GUID. WINDS
SHIFTING FROM SW TO NW THIS AFTN AND EVENING. HIGHEST GUSTS SHOULD
OCCUR FROM 20Z TO 01Z. SHOULD REMAIN STRONG THRU FCST PERIOD.

MBP

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

THE FOLLOWING WAS ORIGINALLY ISSUED AT 1130 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2006

SHORT TERM (TODAY)...
AREA OF SHOWERS PUSHING ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA INTO NORTHERN OHIO
LATE THIS MORNING. EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST SOUTHEAST
AND AFFECT THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF FA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
CURRENT FORECAST HAS A GOOD HANDLE ON THIS WITH 20-30 POPS. GIVEN
WAA TODAY AND TAKING A LOOK AT THE 12Z NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS...
THINK PCPN THIS AFTERNOON WILL MAINLY BE LIQUID SO HAVE ADJUSTED
PCPN TYPE IN THAT DIRECTION. 40 TO 50 KNOT WINDS ARE PROGGED THROUGH
EARLY EVENING IN THE 925 TO 850 MB LAYER. IN WAA PATTERN THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON...THINK 20 TO 30  WITH A FEW STRONGER GUSTS WILL HOLD.
HOWEVER...AS COLD FRONT MOVES IN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CAA SETS
IN...COULD SEE SOME OF THESE STRONGER WINDS REACH THE SURFACE...BUT
THINK WE WILL REMAIN JUST BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA.

(ISSUED 304 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2006)

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
SKIES WERE CLEAR ACROSS THE FCST AREA THIS MORNING. A ST DECK
THAT EARLIER STRETCHED FROM KIND TO KMIE HAS ERODED IN THE SW FLOW.
TEMPS WERE MAINLY IN THE UPPER 20S.

AS TODAY PROGRESSES...CLOUDINESS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE IN ADVANCE
OF A COLD FRONT AND S/W.  MAV POPS REMAIN HIGHER THAN MET
POPS WITH THIS DECIDEDLY LIGHT QPF EVENT...WITH LIKELY POPS IN THE
NORTH AND CHANCE POPS AT KCVG. MET POPS HAVE INCREASED TO CHANCE
POPS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OHIO. STILL...EVEN WITH THE
GFS...LOOKING AT ISENTROPIC SFC(S) AND TIME HEIGHT PROFILES...THIS
SYSTEM DOES DOES LOOK VERY IMPRESSIVE. AT THIS POINT...WILL TREND
TOWARD MET POPS WITH RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE NORTH AND FLURRIES IN THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH DRY WEATHER
AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.

(ISSUED 303 PM EST MON JAN 23 2006)

LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
UPPER RIDGE AND ASSOC SFC HIGH PRESS OVER THE OHVLY THURS WILL BREAK
DOWN TO A MORE ZONAL AND FLATTENED H5 FLOW AND A RETURN FLOW AT THE
SFC. THIS WILL ALLOW IMPULSES TO QUICKLY MOVE THRU THE CONTINENTAL
U.S. WITH ONE NOTED TO GO THROUGH THE GTLKS FRI/SAT...AND AN OPEN H5
TROF ON SUN MOVING THROUGH OHVLY. SFC PATTERN SAT NITE/SUN IS A BIT
TOO FAR S ON THE 0/6Z GFS AND UKMET...WITH ECMWF AND HPC PROGS NOTED
A BIT FURTHER N. FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH ERN U.S. SUN BUT UNCERTAINTY
IN A NRN OR SRN TRACK OF THE LOW WILL LOWER CONFIDENCE IN THE TEMP
FCST STARTING SUN. WILL TAKE HPC NRN TRACK WHICH IS A DECENT MATCH
WITH LATEST 12Z GFS...AND EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

TIMING ISSUES WITH EXTENDED PERIOD ABOUND...AND THE GFS IS REALLY
DOING SOME SERIOUS FLIP FLOPS IN THE MASS FIELDS FOR SUN...ALTHOUGH
LATEST RUN IS COMING IN LINE WITH HPC AND ECMWF PROGS.

FRANKS

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
500 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2006

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-251000-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-
MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-
PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
500 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.