Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Wilmington, OH

000 
WGUS71 KILN 130036
FFSILN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
834 PM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

OHC065-130245-
HARDIN OH-
834 PM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR HARDIN COUNTY UNTIL 1045 PM
EDT...

AT 829 PM EDT...STORM SPOTTERS CONTINUED TO REPORT THAT EXCESSIVE 
RAINFALL WAS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING IN KENTON.  ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
WATER WAS REPORTED TO BE COVERING OHIO ROUTE 67 NEAR THE 
WAL-MART/KROGER. 

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA WITH ANOTHER INCH POSSIBLE THROUGH 1045 PM EDT. RUNOFF FROM 
THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO CONTINUE TO 
OCCUR.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...KENTON...
ALGER...GRANT...HEPBURN...HUNTERSVILLE...JUMBO...MCGUFFEY AND
MENTZER.

HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS RAPIDLY. DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER OF AN UNKNOWN DEPTH ON THE THE ROAD. IT ONLY
TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY MOST SPORT UTILITY
VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROAD TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...MOST FLOOD
RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING. IT IS VERY DIFFICULT AT NIGHT TO TELL HOW
MUCH WATER IS ON THE ROADS...ESPECIALLY IF VISIBILITY IS RESTRICTED 
DUE TO HEAVY RAIN. MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF 
UNKNOWN DEPTH. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR 
WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
WILMINGTON.

LAT...LON 4073 8387 4053 8387 4051 8342 4068 8341
      4070 8349 4073 8349

$$

000 
WGUS71 KILN 130247
FFSILN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1042 PM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

OHC065-130252-
HARDIN OH-
1042 PM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR HARDIN COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 1045 PM
EDT...

STORMS RESPONSIBLE FOR PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING IN KENTON HAVE MOVED 
SOUTH OF THE AREA. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR HARDIN COUNTY 
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

STREAMS AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BEGIN TO RECEDE...THUS 
SLOWLY DIMINISHING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN 
OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 4073 8387 4053 8387 4051 8342 4068 8341
      4070 8349 4073 8349

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
436 PM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
COUPLE OF AREAS OF PCPN AFFECTING THE FA ATTM. THE FIRST IS
ASSOCIATED WITH CDFNT STRETCHING ACRS NW OH. OTHER IS IN SRN
OH/NRN KY. THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH 850 CONVERGENCE AND
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING.

FNT GRADUALLY DROPS S OVERNIGHT. NAM PUSHES FNT A LITTLE FARTHER S
THAN THE GFS. WITH THE NAM...THE FNT MAKES IT TO THE OH
RIVER...WITH THE GFS STILL HAVING THE FNT ACRS CNTRL OH...NR I-70.
PREFER THE NAM...WHICH ALLOWS THE NORTH TO DRY OUT LATE TONIGHT.

FNT LINGERS ACRS THE SOUTH ON THU. THIS GIVES THE SOUTH A BETTER
CHANCE OF CONVECTION ON THU. FNT WASHES OUT THU NGT...BUT WITH
SOUTHERLY FLOW...MOISTURE WORKS BACK IN FOR FRIDAY...KEEPING A
CHANCE OF CONVECTION INTO FRI.

WENT WITH THE COOLER MET NUMBERS SINCE THE SRN POSITION OF THE
FNT IS FAVORED FOR TNGT. WENT CLOSE TO THE MAV TEMPS AFT THIS.

SITES
&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SOUTHERLY FLOW POINTS TO A WARM AND HUMID PATTERN TYPICAL OF THE
SEASON. WENT WITH DAYTIME THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH
UPPER TROUGH AND RELATIVELY COOL AIR ALOFT CONTRIBUTING TO
INSTABILITY. UPPER RIDGE WILL BRING MORE STABLE CONDITIONS MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE. WENT A BIT
BELOW MEX GUIDANCE AND ABOVE HPC.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z-18Z/...
FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE LESS THAN IDEAL TODAY UNDER A SODDEN
AIRMASS...DEW POINTS 71 AND PRECIPITABLE WATER 2...ON THE SOUTH
SIDE OF A FRONT DRAPED FROM LAKE ERIE TO MISSOURI. KEPT MVFR TO IFR
VISIBILITIES ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND CUMULONIMBUS EARLY IN THE
FORECAST FOR ONGOING CONVECTION. SHOWERS WILL REDEVELOP TONIGHT AS
THE FRONT DROPS SOUTHEAST. IFR TO MVFR MIST WILL FORM AS WELL WITH
GROUND DAMP IN MOST LOCATIONS. CVG AND LUK WILL EXPERIENCE
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION THURSDAY MORNING WITH THE FRONT STALLED SOUTH
OF THE RIVER.

CONIGLIO

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
500 AM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-130900-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-
MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-
PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
500 AM EDT WED JUL 12 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED ACROSS
NORTHERN OHIO TODAY. THIS WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE REGION. WITH A WARM AND HUMID ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE
LIMITS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.