Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Huntsville, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
916 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

.DISCUSSION...
AREA OF RAIN HAS PUSHED EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHWEST AL THIS
EVENING...EXTENDING TO NEAR THE I 65 CORRIDOR. BANDS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL HAVE CONTINUED TO TRAIN ACROSS EXTREME NW AL...WHERE
SOME STREET FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED. COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS
BEEN MORE WIDESPREAD THAN EARLIER ANTICIPATED...ESPECIALLY IN NOSE
OF SFC TROF EXTENDING FROM LOW IN CENTRAL MS INTO NORTHERN MIDDLE
TN. QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM SW LA...ACROSS
CENTRAL MS...ACROSS ALABAMA NORTH OF BHM...AND DOWN THROUGH CENTRAL
GA TO THE BEND OF THE SE COAST.

AREA OF RAIN AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH
EASTWARD...SPREADING ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA OVERNIGHT. SFC LOW IS
PROGGED TO SLOWLY LIFT NEWRD...WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING INTO
WESTERN AL BY DAYBREAK. CONTINUE TO EXPECT WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2
INCHES ACROSS THE AREA...WITH AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE IN
AREAS EXPERIENCING TRAINING AND CONVECTION. FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT TILL MONDAY MORNING FOR NW AL AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN.
CURRENT PLAN IS TO ONLY MAKE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO ONGOING
FORECAST. WILL BUMP MENTION OF THUNDER UP SLIGHTLY TO
SCATTERED...AND MAKE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS TO LOWS AND WINDS FOR
FRONTAL TIMING.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COLBERT...
     FRANKLIN AL...LAUDERDALE...AND LAWRENCE.

TN...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: FRANKLIN
     TN...LINCOLN...AND MOORE.

&&

24

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
950 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-231200-
COLBERT-CULLMAN-DE KALB-FRANKLIN AL-FRANKLIN TN-JACKSON-LAUDERDALE-
LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-LINCOLN-MADISON-MARSHALL-MOORE-MORGAN-
950 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PARTS OF
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS WILL ALLOW
HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD
EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE REGION BY
MONDAY MORNING. A FEW LOCATIONS WILL SEE AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND NORTHWEST ALABAMA. AS
OF THIS EVENING...SOME AREAS OF FAR NORTHWEST ALABAMA HAVE RECEIVED
NEARLY 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH FLOODING ALREADY BEING REPORTED.

WITH SOIL STILL NEARLY SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINFALL...RUNOFF COULD
POSE A FLOOD THREAT FOR CREEKS AND STREAMS AS WELL AS TRIBUTARIES
OF THE TENNESSEE RIVER. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

RAIN WILL SLOWLY TAPER OFF DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT. ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

10/15

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
732 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

ALZ003-230215-
FRANKLIN-
732 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM CST...

AT 732 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR RED BAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND
HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  RED BAY.
  HALLTOWN.
  PLEASANT SITE.
  DEMPSEY.

REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE
STORM TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

CBD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
759 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

ALZ002-230245-
COLBERT-
759 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR COLBERT COUNTY UNTIL 845 PM CST...

AT 755 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES SOUTH OF CHEROKEE...OR 15 MILES NORTHEAST
OF RED BAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND
HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. RAINFALL RATES OF UP
TO ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  ROCK CREEK.
  RED ROCK.
  RIVERTON.
  TUSCUMBIA.

REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE
STORM TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

CBD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
821 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

ALZ001-230300-
LAUDERDALE-
821 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR LAUDERDALE COUNTY UNTIL 900 PM
CST...

AT 820 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FLORENCE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  FLORENCE.
  ST. FLORIAN.
  ZIP CITY.
  GREEN HILL.
  LEXINGTON.

REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE
STORM TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

CBD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
855 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

ALZ005-230330-
LIMESTONE-
855 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR LIMESTONE COUNTY UNTIL 930 PM CST...

AT 850 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ROGERSVILLE...OR 14 MILES WEST OF ATHENS...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...AND FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  CAIRO.
  MT ROZELL.
  LEGGTOWN.
  ELKMONT.
  HOLLAND GIN.
  ARDMORE.

REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE
STORM TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

CBD

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
943 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

TNZ096-230415-
LINCOLN-
943 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR LINCOLN COUNTY UNTIL 1015 PM CST...

AT 943 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PETERSBURG...OR 12 MILES
WEST OF FAYETTEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  BOONSHILL.
  PETERSBURG.
  CHESTNUT RIDGE.

REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE
STORM TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

CBD