Tornado Warning 26, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

000 
WWUS54 KHGX 261333
SVSHGX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
831 AM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

TXC201-261345-
/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0026.000000T0000Z-060726T1345Z/
HARRIS TX-
831 AM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING CONTINUES FOR HARRIS COUNTY UNTIL 845 AM CDT...

AT 830 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A POSSIBLE TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ELDRIDGE 
PARKWAY AND WESTHEIMER MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. IT SHOULD PASS 
NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF THE SAM HOUSTON TOLLWAY AND INTERSTATE 10.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BUNKER HILL VILLAGE...
  HEDWIG VILLAGE...
  PINEY POINT VILLAGE...
  HUNTERS CREEK VILLAGE...
  SPRING VALLEY...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN THE INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
A ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A STURDY BUILDING. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF YOU ARE INSIDE A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...EVACUATE THEM
IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING. AS A LAST
RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR
HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.


PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 2973 9568 2967 9559 2989 9518 3006 9538

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
416 AM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

...INCREASING FLOOD THREAT FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS/FLOODING WITH CONTINUE TODAY AND ON IN-
TO THE EARLY PART OF THIS EVENING. HAVE EXPANDED AND EXTENDED THE
FFA TO INCLUDE MOST OF THE CWA AND KEEP IT IN EFFECT THROUGH 7PM.

PCPN CONTINUING TO DEVELOP/MOVE INLAND OVER THE ENERN SIDE OF THE
DISTURBANCE LOCATED OVER THE LOWER/MID TX COAST. HAVE GONE CATEG-
ORICAL WITH POPS TODAY AS THE MAIN PROBLEMS WITH THE FCST ARE NOW
HOW MUCH AND WHEN IT WILL BE ENDING. OF SOME CONCERN THIS MORNING
IS HOW LITTLE THE DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED OVERNIGHT. PROGS ARE ALSO
HINTING AT THIS SLOWER MOVEMENT (EXCEPT FOR THE GFS) ALONG WITH A
RATHER OMINOUS TRACK OF THIS FEATURE ONCE IT MOVES INLAND. MODELS
ARE PUSHING THIS LOW FROM AOA BAFFIN BAY NEWD TO TXK BY 12Z THUR.
THIS TRACK PRODUCES THE BEST INFLUX OF MOISTURE/LIFT ACROSS THE
SERN 2/3RDS OF THE CWA TODAY/THIS EVENING (ROUGHLY ALONG AN EDNA-
LIVINGSTON LINE). AS SUCH...HAVE GONE WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED RE-
DRAWING OF THE FFA. AS FOR HOW MUCH? THE GOING PROGS OF 2.3-2.7
PWS HAVE GIVEN PAUSE AND WILL BE RAISING QPF AMOUNTS AREAWIDE FOR
THE FFA RE-ISSUANCE/HWO. NEW NUMBERS GOING WITH 2-4 AVERAGES AND
ISOLATED 6-9 TOTALS.

THE POST EVENT FCST CHARACTERIZED BY THE RATHER LACK OF CHARACTER
THAT MID/LONG RANGE MODELS ARE PUTTING FORTH. A SLOW DRYING TREND
ON TAP STARTING THURS AS A WEAK RIDGE TRIES TO SETTLE OVER ACROSS
THE AREA. HOWEVER..DRY WILL BE REFERRING TO THE DECREASING POPS
AND NOT THE MUGGY CONDITIONS THAT WILL LIKELY PREVAIL OVER SE TX.
THE WET GROUNDS AND RETURN OF SUN/HEATING WILL BE CONTRIBUTING TO
OUR SUMMER ICK/SWEAT FACTOR ENORMOUSLY. 41

&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECT PRECIP COVERAGE TO BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS SE TX BY SUNRISE.
EXTREMELY DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE WILL LEAD TO VERY HEAVY TRAINING
RAINFALL AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN NOW AND EARLY AFTERNOON. IFR
CONDITIONS A GOOD BET WHEN THIS OCCURS. MAY SEE BIT OF A BREAK LATE
THIS AFTN AND EVNG BUT A FEW MODELS SHOWING REDEVELOPMENT FROM THE
METRO AREA BACK UP TO NEAR LFK AGAIN TOWARD MIDNIGHT. NOT GOING TO
GET TOO CUTE WITH THE TAFS THIS MORNING. WILL GENERALLY MENTION
VCSH/VCTS BEYOND 19Z ALTHOUGH THERE COULD STILL BE A DECENT AMOUNT
OF CONVERGE AROUND. 47

&&

.MARINE...
OBS STILL SUPPORT SCA CONDITIONS TODAY AND QUITE POSSIBLY TONIGHT AS
THE GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT. WIDESPREAD SHRA/TSTMS WILL LEAD TO
HIGHER WINDS/SEAS AT TIMES THRU THE DAY (IN ADDITION TO BLINDING
EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES). GRADUAL IMPROVING CONDITIONS THRU
THE REST OF THE WEEK BUT WILL LIKELY NEED CAUTION FLAGS THRU AT
LEAST MIDDAY THURS.  47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      86  74  93  76  94 / 100  70  30  20  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              86  74  93  77  94 / 100  70  30  20  30
GALVESTON (GLS)            85  78  89  80  90 / 100  70  30  20  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...COLORADO...FORT BEND...
     GALVESTON...HARRIS...JACKSON...LIBERTY...MATAGORDA...
     MONTGOMERY...WALLER...AND WHARTON.

     FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: HOUSTON...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...
     AND WALKER.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT
     TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM
     HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
623 AM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-271130-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
623 AM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A DISTURBANCE NEAR THE
MIDDLE TEXAS COAST WILL CONTINUE DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.
AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE STATE TODAY... VERY DEEP
MOISTURE COMBINED WITH STRONG DYNAMICS WILL HELP PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS FOR MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
AVERAGE RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THIS EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO
AVERAGE 2 TO 4 INCHES. ISOLATED TOTALS OF 6 TO 9 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WHERE TRAINING DEVELOPS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS ALONG THE SEABREEZE. NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.