Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Honolulu, HI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST THU MAR 16 2006

.SYNOPSIS...THE BASIC WET PATTERN AND FLOOD THREAT REMAIN FOR THE
 ENTIRE STATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ALTHO OVERNIGHT RAINFALL HAS NOT BEEN PARTICULARLY
 HEAVY OR FREQUENT THE AIR MASS OVER THE STATE REMAINS UNSTABLE AND
 MOIST DUE TO THE NEARBY LOW PRESSURE TO OUR WEST. KAUAI AND THE
 SOUTHEAST AND WINDWARD SIDES OF THE BIG ISLAND HAD THE MOST
 NOTABLE AFTER DARK RAINFALL AMOUNTS BUT EVEN THOSE WERE LESS THAN
 AN INCH...MOST OF OAHU AND MAUI COUNTY HAVE BEEN VIRTUALLY DRY.
 FOR THE SHORT TERM KAUAI AND THE BIG ISLAND SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE
 THE FOCUS OF THE HEAVY SHOWERS. DESPITE THE LIGHTER RAIN WE
 CONTINUE TO BE RETICENT TO DIMINISH THE STATEWIDE FLOOD THREAT DUE
 TO THE PERSISTENT LOW PRESSURE. MODELS DO KEEP THIS BASIC
 TROUGHING THEME UNCHANGED THRU NEXT WEEK BUT WITH PERIODS OF
 TEMPORARY EASING...THE GFS MODEL WHICH HAD PREVIOUSLY SIGNALED
 SOME HOPE OF CLEARING HAS AGAIN RETURNED TO A WETTER PATTERN.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
 FLASH FLOOD WATCH...ALL ISLANDS THRU FRIDAY.
 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...BIG ISLAND SUMMITS THRU FRIDAY.

&&

MATSUDA

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