Flash Flood Warning 105, NWS Honolulu, HI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST MON MAR 27 2006

.SYNOPSIS...
THE WET WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FINAL WEEK OF MARCH AS
TROUGHINESS IN THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO
LINGER AROUND THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CONSENSUS OF THE COMPUTER SOLUTIONS POINTS TO A SLOWER IMPROVING
TREND THIS WEEK...THUS KEEPING ALL BUT TUESDAY AS WET. BUT A MORE
TYPICAL TRADE PATTERN IS IN THE OFFERING...MORE TOWARD A
SATURDAY/MONDAY TIME FRAME. SO LETS KEEP OUR FINGERS CROSS FOR THE
LATTER TO HAPPEN.

OTHERWISE NOTHING NEW TO ADD FROM THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION. THE
PHILOSOPHY BEHIND THE FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED. ONE SLUG OF
MOISTURE MOVED THROUGH MAUI COUNTY IN THE PAST FEW HOURS WITHOUT
MUCH FANFARE...WHILE KAUAI AND OAHU WERE RATHER QUIET...FOR A
CHANGE. BUT THIS IS SHORT LIVED AS A SHORT WAVE OR DISTURBANCE ALOFT
PUSHES ANOTHER LARGE BATCH OF MOISTURE TOWARDS THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS. AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS WILL BE SOGGY. THE NEXT BATCH OF
MOISTURE IS SLATED FOR WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS YET ANOTHER STRONG
TROUGH SWOOPS DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST AND SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ALL ISLANDS WILL GET THEIR SHARE OF WEATHER.
WINDWISE...FOR THE EXCEPT FOR THE BIG ISLAND...THE EASTERLY WINDS
ARE QUICKLY VEERING TO THE SOUTH THIS MORNING. BY TOMORROW OR
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...ALL ISLANDS SHOULD BE SOUTHERLY...AHEAD OF A
WEAKENING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT IS SLATED TO BECOME AN INVERTED
TROUGH BY THURSDAY OVER THE CENTRAL ISLANDS...FOLLOW BY DISSIPATION
FRIDAY. ITS DEMISE MEANS THE RETURN OF THE TRADES OVER THE WEEKEND.

THE WINDS PICKED UP OVER THE HALEAKALA SUMMIT DURING THE EVENING
THUS PROMPTING A WIND ADVISORY GOOD UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MAUNA KEA AN MAUNA LOA.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR ALL ISLANDS.
WIND ADVISORY HALEAKALA SUMMIT TODAY.

LAU