Wind Advisory 6, NWS Gray, ME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
335 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VERY ACTIVE WEATHER CONTINUES IN THE SHORT TERM. SFC COLD FRONT
CONTINUES TO PUSH SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD THIS AFTERNOON INTO
SOUTHERN NH WITH TEMPS CONTINUING TO FALL ACROSS MOST OF FORECAST
AREA. HAVE GOTTEN SOME REPORTS OF MIXED PRECIP IN MTNS THIS
AFTERNOON. TO THE WEST...LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST WITH
VERY ACTIVE WEATHER.

AS LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVE RAPIDLY EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS
AREA. THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS MOST OF AREA
AS COLD AIR SEEMS TO BE FAIRLY WELL ENTRENCHED. THE EXCEPTION IS
ACROSS SOUTHERN NH AND EXTREME SW MAINE WHERE TODAYS FRONT MAY
MOVE BACK NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT AS LOW MOVES EAST.

THE LOW INTENSIFIES TONIGHT AND STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW
FRONTAL PASSAGE. STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL MIX DOWNWARD FOLLOWING
PASSAGE OF LOW AND EXPECT GUSTY WIND WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE
DAY SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
STRONG GRADIENT AND COLD AIR ADVECTION WITH ALIGNED LOW LEVEL WIND
REGIEME WILL EASE DURING THE MID/LATE EVENING HOURS SAT. NEXT
WEATHER PROBLEM IS THE STRENGTH AND PROXIMITY OF SFC LOW THAT
FORMS OFF THE NORTHERN FLORIDA COASTLINE LATE SAT NIGHT BEFORE
MOVING TO THE NE. MODELS A TAD MORE AMPLIFIED WITH THE 12Z
SUITE...BRINGING -SN TO ALL PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY.
INVERTED TROUGH AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FIELD ALONG WITH STEEPENING
LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY ENHANCE PRECIPITATION NEAR THE COAST -
BUT THIS IS WAY TOO EARLY TO CONFIRM.

SURFACE LOW GRADUALLY PULLS E WELL OFF THE COASTLINE MON NIGHT.
THEREAFTER...A SIGNIFICANT MID LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS IN THE E
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WORKWEEK. SO...IF ANY OF THE SHORT WAVES
DIGGING INTO THE TROUGH PHASES...MORE SN POSSIBLE FOR THE FORECAST
AREA.

WARM AIR MAY TAKE A SHOT BACK AT THE NE BY NEXT WEEKEND AS RIDGE
BUILDS ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
&&

.AVIATION...IFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT WITH LOW CLOUDS AND
FOG...FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR BY MORNING EXCEPT
IN THE MOUNTAINS CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST. &&

.MARINE...GALES EXPECTED THROUGH SAT EVENING.
&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WIND ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR MEZ007>009-
     012>014-018>028.

NH...WIND ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR NHZ001>010-
     013-014.

MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ150.
&&

JC/JJ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
258 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

ANZ150-MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-022000-
STONINGTON ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-NORTHERN OXFORD-
NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-
COASTAL WALDO-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-
NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-
MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-
COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
258 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
AND THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER
MA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
SOUTHWEST MAINE LATE THIS EVENING. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN MAINE.
A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH LATE THIS
EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMSPHIRE AND PERHAPS EXTREME
SOUTHWEST MAINE.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF
NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN MAINE THROUGHT LATE THIS
EVENING. THERE MAY BE SHARP RISES ON SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS.

MIXED PRECIPITATION MAY FALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS AND CENTRAL INTERIOR TONIGHT. TRAVEL MAY
BECOME DIFFICULT.

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED.

JC

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
321 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-020430-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-
SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-
COASTAL WALDO-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-
NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-
MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-
COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDOVER...BYRON...MIDDLE DAM...
ROXBURY...SOUTH ARM...UPTON...WILSONS MILLS...AVON...
CARRABASSETT VALLEY...COBURN GORE...DALLAS...DAVIS...EUSTIS...
KINGFIELD...BINGHAM...RUMFORD...NORWAY...SOUTH PARIS...MEXICO...
FRYEBURG...OXFORD...FARMINGTON...WILTON...SKOWHEGAN...
PITTSFIELD...MADISON...FAIRFIELD...NORTH WINDHAM...GORHAM...
BRIDGTON...LEWISTON...AUBURN...AUGUSTA...WATERVILLE...WINSLOW...
GARDINER...UNITY...BIDDEFORD...SACO...OLD ORCHARD BEACH...
PORTLAND...SOUTH PORTLAND...WESTBROOK...BATH...TOPSHAM...
WALDOBORO...BOOTHBAY HARBOR...WISCASSET...ROCKLAND...CAMDEN...
THOMASTON...BELFAST...LITTLETON...NORTH CONWAY...CONWAY...
LEBANON...HANOVER...PLYMOUTH...WOLFEBORO...CLAREMONT...NEWPORT...
CONCORD...LACONIA...TILTON-NORTHFIELD...MEREDITH...ROCHESTER...
DOVER...DURHAM...DERRY...LONDONDERRY...EXETER...PORTSMOUTH...
HAMPTON
321 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN
NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST MAINE THROUGH LATE THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS
DETERMINED THAT THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN MAINE THROUGH LATE
THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREAT WITHIN ISOLATED
STORMS.

A STATIONARY FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THIS EVENING
AND WILL BE LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST
MAINE THIS EVENING. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL FOLLOW ALONG
THIS FRONT...CROSSING THE REGION THIS EVENING. AREAS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE FRONT WILL HAVE THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS. THIS
AREA IS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN MAINE.

JC