Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Gray, ME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
306 PM EDT THU JUN 1 2006

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS
OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST MAINE SO WILL
WORD ZONES ACCORDINGLY. FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AND SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN NH AND WESTERN MAINE
TO MAKE IT SOUTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN AREAS BY LATER TONIGHT. SOME
PARTIAL CLEARING MAY TAKE PLACE FOR A WHILE OVER NORTHERN AREAS OF
THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY WHILE SOUTHERN AREAS WILL SEE SHOWERS
CONTINUING AS LOW PRESURE DEVELOPS TO THE SOUTH. TEMPS TO BE COOL
ON FRIDAY DUE TO NORTHEAST FLOW AND CLOUDS AND LIGHT SHOWERS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE STARTS NEAR NEW JERSEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHEAST AND WEAKENS IN THE GULF OF MAINE ON SUNDAY. STILL ABOUT
1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THE SYSTEM ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND ALONG THE MAINE COAST...WITH AS MUCH AS
2.5 INCHES IN SOUTHEAST NEW HAMPSHIRE. RIVERS SHOULD BE ABLE TO
HANDLE THIS MUCH RAIN BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE SITUATION
CLOSELY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN KEEP THINGS DRY INTO WEDNESDAY
WHEN ANOTHER LOW MOVES NORTH UP THE COAST AROUND A CLOSED LOW OVER
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS INTO THIS EVENING EXCEPT LOWERING TO IFR CONDITIONS
IN AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BY LATE TONIGHT MVFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME WIDESPREAD IN SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT RANGE...
LIGHT WINDS WILL SHIFT INTO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST TONIGHT AND
REMAIN LIGHT AND NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OFF
THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.

LONG RANGE...COULD NEED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRI NIGHT INTO SAT AS
A LOW MOVES UP THE COAST.
&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
454 AM EDT THU JUN 1 2006

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-020900-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-
SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-
COASTAL WALDO-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-
NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-
MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-
COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
454 AM EDT THU JUN 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN MAINE...
CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHEASTERN
NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. THE ADVANCING
FRONT...AND WARM MUGGY AIR OVER OUR REGION...WILL TRIGGER WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY AFTERNOON. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL TO OUR SOUTH ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE
WILL THEN DEVELOP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE FRIDAY THEN
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE STALLED FRONT. THIS WILL PRODUCE A SWATH
OF HEAVY RAINFALL FROM SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE EASTWARD ALONG THE
COASTAL PLAIN OF MAINE. THREE DAY RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE PERIOD
ENDING SUNDAY MORNING...WILL APPROACH TWO INCHES IN THIS AREA.
TOTALS OVER SEACOAST NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL BE A BIT HIGHER AND COULD
APPROACH TWO AND ONE-HALF INCHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT DAMAGE AND LARGE HAIL. THE PUBLIC CAN EMAIL
REPORTS OF DAMAGE AND LARGE HAIL TO GYX.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV.

ES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1258 PM EDT THU JUN 1 2006

NHZ005-007-011830-
SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SULLIVAN-
1258 PM EDT THU JUN 1 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SULLIVAN COUNTY AND SOUTHERN
GRAFTON COUNTY AFTER 130 PM THROUGH 230 PM EDT...

AT 1258 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 44 MILES WEST OF
CLAREMONT...OR ABOUT 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RUTLAND...MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO AREAS IN
AND AROUND LEBANON...GRANTHAM...CROYDON...CORNISH AND CLAREMONT
AFTER 130 PM THROUGH 230 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

RAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
118 PM EDT THU JUN 1 2006

MEZ012-019-011815-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
118 PM EDT THU JUN 1 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN OXFORD COUNTY AND MUCH
OF THE WESTERN HALF AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF CUMBERLAND COUNTY
THROUGH 215 PM EDT...

AT 118 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 4 MILES EAST OF HIRAM...OR ABOUT 9 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM
WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND WEST BALDWIN...HIRAM...RAYMOND...
NORTH WINDHAM...SOUTH WINDHAM AND GRAY THROUGH 215 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

RAM

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
226 PM EDT THU JUN 01 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     HAIL             2 SSW NORTH WINDHAM     43.80N 70.44W
06/01/2006  E0.75 INCH       CUMBERLAND         ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

POHL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
238 PM EDT THU JUN 01 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0222 PM     HAIL             2 SW NORTH WINDHAM      43.80N 70.46W
06/01/2006  E0.75 INCH       CUMBERLAND         ME   PUBLIC

&&

POHL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
249 PM EDT THU JUN 1 2006

MEZ020>022-025>028-011945-
ANDROSCOGGIN-COASTAL WALDO-INTERIOR
WALDO-KENNEBEC-KNOX-LINCOLN-SAGADAHOC-
249 PM EDT THU JUN 1 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT ANDROSCOGGIN COUNTY...KNOX
COUNTY...SAGADAHOC COUNTY...LINCOLN COUNTY...KENNEBEC COUNTY AND
WALDO COUNTY THROUGH 345 PM EDT...

AT 249 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
CHINA TO 5 MILES WEST OF GREENE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8
MILES SOUTHEAST OF WATERVILLE TO 4 MILES SOUTH OF TURNER...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
AREAS IN AND AROUND WINTHROP...VASSALBORO...SIDNEY...MANCHESTER...
LEEDS...CHINA...ALBION...MONMOUTH...GREENE AND AUBURN THROUGH 345 PM
EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

RAM