Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2006
Wind Advisory 9, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Mar 9, 2006, 4:57 AM EST for Habersham County, Rabun County, Georgia; 12 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Mar 9, 2006, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 9, 2006, 4:57 AM EST (09:57 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 9, 2006, 6:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Mar 10, 2006, 3:40 AM EST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Habersham County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 274 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2446 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 53 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 142 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS72 KGSP 090957 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 457 AM EST THU MAR 9 2006 ...BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN WINDY TONIGHT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS... .A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA FROM THE WEST LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE FRONT. GAZ010-017-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-SCZ001>003-091800- /O.NEW.KGSP.LW.Y.0021.060309T1700Z-060309T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.060309T2300Z-060310T1100Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD- BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON- TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...NEWLAND... SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA... FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE 457 AM EST THU MAR 9 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WIND WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED MAINLY DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. WINDS SHOULD INCREASE THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. GUSTS OF 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOUNTAIN PASSES AND RIDGETOPS. AS THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE LATE EVENING...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THIS COULD BRING WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH EVEN DOWN INTO THE VALLEYS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT COULD BE BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ034>037-054>057-066>072-082-SCZ004>014-019- 091800- /O.NEW.KGSP.LW.Y.0021.060309T1700Z-060309T2300Z/ STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-CALDWELL-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE- MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-POLK-RUTHERFORD-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN- GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...ELBERTON... STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...MARION...MORGANTON...HICKORY... SALISBURY...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON... GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE... SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE... LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD 457 AM EST THU MAR 9 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR MOST OF THE FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...THE UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BUILD FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED OVER OPEN AREAS SUCH AS LAKES...MAINLY DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ MOORE
3 follow-up statements
000 WWUS72 KGSP 091712 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1212 PM EST THU MAR 9 2006 ...BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN WINDY TONIGHT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS... .A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA FROM THE WEST LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE FRONT. GAZ010-017-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-SCZ001>003-092300- /O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-060309T2300Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.060309T2300Z-060310T1100Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD- BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON- TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...NEWLAND... SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA... FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE 1212 PM EST THU MAR 9 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL 6 PM. A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MOUNTAINS. THIS WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WIND WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED MAINLY DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. WINDS SHOULD INCREASE THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. GUSTS OF 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOUNTAIN PASSES AND RIDGETOPS. AS THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE LATE EVENING...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THIS COULD BRING WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH EVEN DOWN INTO THE VALLEYS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT COULD BE BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ034>037-054>057-066>072-082-SCZ004>014-019- 092300- /O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-060309T2300Z/ STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-CALDWELL-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE- MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-POLK-RUTHERFORD-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN- GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...ELBERTON... STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...MARION...MORGANTON...HICKORY... SALISBURY...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON... GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE... SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE... LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD 1212 PM EST THU MAR 9 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR MOST OF THE FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...THE UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL 6 PM. WINDS WILL BUILD FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED OVER OPEN AREAS SUCH AS LAKES...MAINLY DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ DEO
000 WWUS72 KGSP 092007 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 307 PM EST THU MAR 9 2006 ...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA... .A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND MOVE EAST OF THE REGION ON FRIDAY. STIFF SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE REGION ON FRIDAY. GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ034>037-054>057-066>072-082-SCZ004>014-019- 100415- /O.EXT.KGSP.LW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-060310T1100Z/ STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-CALDWELL-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE- MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-POLK-RUTHERFORD-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN- GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...ELBERTON... STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...MARION...MORGANTON...HICKORY... SALISBURY...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON... GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE... SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE... LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD 307 PM EST THU MAR 9 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CONTINUED THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR MOST OF THE FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...THE UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING. WINDY CONDITI0NS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE. A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL HOURS...MAINLY DURING THE 10 PM TO 4 AM TIME PERIOD. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ GAZ010-017-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-SCZ001>003-092300- /O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-060309T2300Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.060309T2300Z-060310T1100Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD- BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON- TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...NEWLAND... SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA... FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE 307 PM EST THU MAR 9 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT IN THE MOUNTAINS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS EVENING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND MAYBE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AS IT REACHES THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TOWARD MIDNIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOUNTAIN PASSES AND RIDGE TOPS. SOME OF THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MIX DOWN TO LOWER ELEVATIONS WHICH COULD BRING WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH EVEN DOWN INTO THE VALLEYS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT COULD BE BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ GABRIC
000 WWUS72 KGSP 100840 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 340 AM EST FRI MAR 10 2006 GAZ010-017-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-SCZ001>003-100945- /O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-060310T1100Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD- BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON- TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...NEWLAND... SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA... FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE 340 AM EST FRI MAR 10 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. $$ GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ034>037-054>057-066>072-082-SCZ004>014-019- 100945- /O.CAN.KGSP.LW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-060310T1100Z/ STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-CALDWELL-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE- MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-POLK-RUTHERFORD-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN- GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...ELBERTON... STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...MARION...MORGANTON...HICKORY... SALISBURY...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON... GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE... SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE... LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD 340 AM EST FRI MAR 10 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. $$ MCAVOY
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 9, 3:12 AM EST, 1 hour 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 3:12 AM EST, 1 hour 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 312 AM EST THU MAR 9 2006 .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... THE AXIS OF THE UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OFF THE EAST COAST TODAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALREADY OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST ALLOWING MOISTURE TO RETURN FROM THE GULF. SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY WITH THE AMOUNT OF HIGH CLOUDINESS...BUT WITH TEMPS A BIT WARMER. TEMPS HAVE BEEN NUDGED TOWARD A GUIDANCE BLEND. THE STRENGTHENING S TO SW FLOW AT LOW LEVELS SHOULD LEAD TO A BREEZY AFTERNOON WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS CLOSE TO LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL MORE THAN LIKELY ISSUE AN ADVISORY FOR THE MOUNTAIN ZONES BUT AM STILL EVALUATING THE REST OF THE FCST AREA. THE DISCUSSION WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 4 AM WHEN THE DETERMINATION IS MADE. ATTENTION QUICKLY TURNS TO EVENTS THAT SHOULD UNFOLD TO OUR WEST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. ALL SIGNS STILL POINT TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE CONVECTION ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND TN VALLEY REGIONS TODAY. THE QUESTION OF COURSE IS WILL IT SURVIVE FAR ENOUGH EAST BEFORE IT OUTRUNS THE BEST DYNAMICS AND RUNS OUT OF INSTABILITY. EXPECT THIS TO BE NO DIFFERENT THAN MOST CASES OF CONVECTION APPROACHING FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE DAY...SO THE ANSWER IS YES. THINK A DYING CONVECTIVE LINE OR COLLECTION OF CELLS WILL REACH THE WRN MTNS DURING THE EVENING HOURS SO PRECIP CHANCE HAS BEEN BUMPED TO CATEGORICAL OVER THE MTNS. THIS SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT PUSHES EAST OVERNIGHT...BUT THINK ENUF WILL HOLD TOGETHER TO FOLLOW MODEL CONSENSUS OF LIKELY POP ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND INTO THE WRN PIEDMONT. AT ANY RATE...THE PROGRESSION OF THE 60KT LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY YIELD WIND GUSTS EASILY IN ADVISORY RANGE. THAT COMBINED WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF GUSTY WINDS FROM CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS SUGGEST THAT ADVISORY LEVEL GUSTS ARE A GOOD BET...SO A SECOND PERIOD ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE MOUNTAINS FOR THE TONIGHT PERIOD. AS FOR TEMPS...FAVOR THE WARMER MET NUMBERS WITH THE LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND CLOUDS. THE MODELS AGREE THAT WHAT IS LEFT OF THE FORCING SHOULD PUSH RAPIDLY EAST EARLY IN THE MORNING. THINK THE MTNS SHOULD DRY OUT VERY EARLY IN THE DAY AS THE FLOW VEERS TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION. WITH THAT IN MIND...WILL HOLD ONTO A POP ONLY OVER THE VERY EASTERN FRINGE. LIKE THE WARMER MET AGAIN AS WE HAVE PARTIAL CLEARING BY MIDDAY. BEYOND FRIDAY...THE SITUATION GETS A BIT MUDDLED WITH NO SIGNIFICANT FORCING NOTED IN THE GUIDANCE UNTIL THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPSLOPE COMPONENT DEVELOPS AT LOW LEVELS ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE MTNS FRIDAY NIGHT WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW CLOUD CEILING LATE AT NIGHT...BUT HAVE DOUBTS ABOUT THE LIGHT PRECIP SHOWN BY THE GFS TO THE WEST...WHICH IS DISREGARDED. HAVE HELD ONTO THE LOW POP OVER THE WEST SATURDAY AS THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME DEEP CONVECTION FROM AFTERNOON INSTABILITY. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... THE LATEST GFS BASICALLY SUPPORTS WHAT WE HAVE IN THE FORECAST FOR THE PERIOD...SO NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE AT THIS TIME. THE MODEL CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THE NEXT MAIN PRECIP EVENT SHOULD BE MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY. && .AVIATION... PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY STEEPEN OVER THE NEXT 18-24 HRS ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS. LIGHT S TO SW WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE...BECOMING GUSTY BY MID MORNING. DIRECTIONS SHOULD RANGE FROM 190-220. VIS AND CIGS SHOULD REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. FRONTAL SHOWERS MAY REACH KAVL BY THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD...HOWEVER...CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MINIMALLY CHANGED. && .GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...NONE. NC...NONE. SC...NONE. && SHORT TERM...MOORE LONG TERM...PM AVIATION...NED/SAB
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 8, 6:11 AM EST, 22 hours 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 611 AM EST WED MAR 8 2006 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082- SCZ001>014-019-091115- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD- BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON- MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD- CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER- GREENWOOD- 611 AM EST WED MAR 8 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT...MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...WHERE WINDS COULD BE STRONG AT RIDGETOP LEVEL. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. MOORE
The office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 4:57 AM EST | Lake Wind Advisory | GSP | Elbert, Franklin, Habersham, Hart, Rabun, Stephens | 23 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2006Wind Advisories in Georgia, 2006Wind Advisories in South Carolina, 2006Every wind advisory in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.