Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2006
Wind Advisory 8, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Mar 2, 2006, 3:36 PM EST for Avery County, Mitchell County, Yancey County, North Carolina. It was in force for 12 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 2, 2006, 3:36 PM EST (20:36 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 3, 2006, 3:28 AM EST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Avery County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Yancey County, NC
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1463 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 51 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 112 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 173 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS72 KGSP 022036 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 336 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...COLD FRONT TO BRING WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHERN GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS THE FRONT REACHES THE ATLANTIC TONIGHT...GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS. NCZ033-049-050-030445- /O.CAN.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-060302T2300Z/ /O.UPG.KGSP.HW.A.0004.060302T2300Z-060303T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.060302T2036Z-060303T1100Z/ AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE 336 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND BEGIN A STEADY INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS BETWEEN 10 PM AND 3 AM TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE GUSTS MAY DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND POSSIBLY SOME TREES AND POWER LINES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ048-053-030445- /O.CAN.KGSP.HW.A.0004.060302T2300Z-060303T1100Z/ /O.EXT.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-060303T1100Z/ MADISON-BUNCOMBE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ASHEVILLE 336 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED... ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WATCH. THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...WILL PERSIST ACROSS BUNCOMBE AND MADISON COUNTIES TONIGHT. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ GAZ010-017-NCZ034-051-052-054-055-058-059-062>067-SCZ001>003- 030445- /O.EXT.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-060303T1100Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-CALDWELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-MCDOWELL-BURKE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- POLK-RUTHERFORD-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...CHEROKEE... WAYNESVILLE...MARION...MORGANTON...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON 336 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA...ALONG WITH THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ004>014-019- 022300- /O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-060302T2300Z/ STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER- GREENWOOD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...ELBERTON... STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SHELBY... LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE... GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON... ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD 336 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH...WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CAROLINA AND GEORGIA SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS EVENING...WINDS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND REMAIN BETWEEN 10 TO 20 MPH. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$
3 follow-up statements
000 WWUS72 KGSP 022305 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 605 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...COLD FRONT TO BRING WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHERN GEORGIA THIS EVENING. AS THE FRONT REACHES THE ATLANTIC TONIGHT...GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS. GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ004>014-019- 030015- /O.EXP.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-060302T2300Z/ STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER- GREENWOOD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...ELBERTON... STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SHELBY... LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE... GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON... ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD 605 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. WIND HAVE DIMINISHED TO LESS THAN LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. $$ NCZ033-049-050-030715- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-060303T1100Z/ AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE 605 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE...REACHING 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH...AND CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS BETWEEN 10 PM AND 3 AM TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE GUSTS MAY DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND POSSIBLY SOME TREES AND POWER LINES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ GAZ010-017-NCZ034-048-051>055-058-059-062>067-SCZ001>003-030715- /O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-060303T1100Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-CALDWELL-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL- BURKE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...CHEROKEE... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...MARION...MORGANTON...SYLVA...FRANKLIN... BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON 605 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA...ALONG WITH THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ 07
000 WWUS72 KGSP 022311 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...RESENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 610 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...COLD FRONT TO BRING WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHERN GEORGIA THIS EVENING. AS THE FRONT REACHES THE ATLANTIC TONIGHT...GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS. GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ004>014-019- 030015- /O.EXP.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-060302T2300Z/ STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER- GREENWOOD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...ELBERTON... STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SHELBY... LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE... GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON... ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD 610 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. WIND HAVE DIMINISHED TO LESS THAN LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. $$ NCZ033-049-050-030730- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-060303T1100Z/ AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE 610 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE...REACHING 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH...AND CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS BETWEEN 10 PM AND 3 AM TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE GUSTS MAY DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND POSSIBLY SOME TREES AND POWER LINES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ GAZ010-017-NCZ034-048-051>055-058-059-062>067-SCZ001>003-030730- /O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-060303T1100Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-CALDWELL-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL- BURKE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...CHEROKEE... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...MARION...MORGANTON...SYLVA...FRANKLIN... BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON 610 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA...ALONG WITH THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ 07
000 WWUS72 KGSP 030828 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 328 AM EST FRI MAR 3 2006 ...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS TODAY BUT WITH LESS MAGNITUDE... .WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 40 TO 45 MPH AT ELEVATIONS OVER 4000 FEET...CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. WINDS COULD ALSO BE BREEZY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND THE ADJACENT MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH THROUGH MIDDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. NCZ033-049-050-031630- /O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-060303T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.LW.Y.0019.060303T0900Z-060303T2300Z/ AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE 328 AM EST FRI MAR 3 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA TODAY...AND ESPECIALLY THROUGH NOON TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH IN MAGNITUDE THIS AFTERNOON. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ GAZ010-017-NCZ034-048-051>055-058-059-062>067-SCZ001>003-030930- /O.CAN.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-060303T1100Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-CALDWELL-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL- BURKE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...CHEROKEE... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...MARION...MORGANTON...SYLVA...FRANKLIN... BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON 328 AM EST FRI MAR 3 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING...WITH OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH. BUT FORECAST WIND SPEEDS ARE BELOW LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 2, 2:57 PM EST, 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 2, 2:57 PM EST, 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
257 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
A POTENT WAVE SWINGING FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD
THIS EVENING WILL BRING A STRONG MID LEVEL ISOTACH MAXIMUM THROUGH
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. MODEL CONSENSUS SUGGESTS
ABOUT 40 KT AT 850 MB...65 KT AT 700 MB...AND 90 KT AT 500 MB. THE
VERY BEST CORE OF WINDS...HOWEVER...WILL BE DISPLACED TO THE NORTH
OVER VA. CROSS SECTIONS SHOW NEARLY VERTICAL POTENTIAL TEMPERATURE
SURFACES EXTENDING UP TO NEAR THE BASE OF THE 40 KT WINDS...BUT
SPEEDS STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING GUSTS MAY BE
HARD TO ATTAIN. WILL THUS LIKELY POST A HIGH END WIND ADVISORY FOR
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...WITH SOLID LAKE WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THE NC FOOTHILLS AND THE REST OF THE HIGH
TERRAIN.
850 MB TEMPS SHOULD FALL BELOW FREEZING FROM 03Z TO 06Z...WITH
ENOUGH NW FLOW UPSLOPE MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
BEFORE DAYBREAK NEAR THE TN BORDER AND AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
H85 CAA CONTINUES THROUGH THE DAYTIME THURS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
MORNING. SHORT RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO HOLD ONTO A SHORT PERIOD OF
QPF AROUND 15Z OVER THE NRN MTNS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE IS VERY SHALLOW AND LIFT IS
WEAK...I WILL ONLY CARRY A MENTION OF FLURRIES IN THE MORNING. THE
REST OF THE SHORT RANGE WILL REMAIN CLEAR AND QUIET UNDER CANADIAN
AIR MASS. EXPECT LOWS A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL WITH SEASONABLE HIGHS.
&&
.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
THE 6Z AND 12Z GFS WAS USED FOR THE DETAILS THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. OVERALL...TEMPS WILL REMAIN NEAR CLIMATOLOGY...USED HPC/MEX
GUIDANCE. PATTERN WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE FROM A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE
EAST COAST TO A FAIRLY FLAT RIDGE OVER SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AFTER
TUES NIGHT. THE GFS BRINGS THE FIRST OF TWO WEAK FRONTS INTO THE
REGION SUN NIGHT. MODEL DYNAMICS ARE WEAK AND BROAD WITH THE PASSAGE
OF THE FRONT...GFS LOOKS TOO MOIST OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS. CHC
POPS APPEAR BETTER PLACED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND NC. PTYPE CHCS
WILL PRIMARILY DEPEND ON DIURNAL TIMING AND WILL ADVERTISE MAINLY
MTN SN MON AM. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE CWA BEHIND THE FRONT
MON NIGHT AND REMAINS UNTIL WED. THE FA APPEARS TO REMAIN IN THE
WARM SECTOR DURING THE LATE EXTENDED PERIOD. CHC TO SCHC SHRA MAY
LINGER OVER THE SE U.S. WED NIGHT AND THU. HOWEVER...WED NIGHT A
WARM FRONT APPROACHES AND SHOULD PROVIDE THE GREATEST SUPPORT FOR
PRECIPITATION. THICKNESSES AND TEMPS SUPPORT RA AS THE PTYPE WITH
AREAS OF SN IN THE HIGHER ELEVATION THU AM...ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD
REMAIN LIGHT.
&&
.AVIATION...
LOW CLOUDS EAST OF THE MTNS SHOULD ERODE AS DOWNSLOPING FLOW
IMPROVES...AND MOISTURE CENTERED AROUND 850 MB DRIES UP. HAVE
FEATURED NARROW WINDOW OF TEMPO MVFR CIG FOR KAND...BUT THIS SHOULD
NOT EXTEND BEYOND 20Z. WINDS WILL INCREASE TOWARD A MAXIMUM BEFORE
00Z AS IMPROVING MIXING TAPS INTO INCREASING WIND FLOW ALOFT OVER
THE FRONTAL ZONE. NW FLOW COLD ADVECTION WILL KEEP MIXING GOING ALL
NIGHT AT TAF LOCATIONS AND SECONDARY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SURGE WILL
LIKELY BRING A LOWERING VFR CIG FROM KAVL TO KHKY BY DAYBREAK. THIS
CIG COULD FLIRT WITH KCLT BEFORE THE SOUTHWARD PROGRESS HALTS AND
THE MOISTURE DRIES UP IN THE PERSISTENT DOWNSLOPING FLOW.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR GAZ010-017 UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY.
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR GAZ018-026-028-029 UNTIL 6 PM THURSDAY.
NC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ033-049-050 UNTIL 3 PM THURSDAY.
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082 UNTIL 6 PM
THURSDAY.
...WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ033-049-050 UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY.
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ034-048-051>055-058-059-062>067
UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY.
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082 UNTIL 6
PM THURSDAY.
SC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR SCZ001>003 UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY.
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR SCZ004>014-019 UNTIL 6 PM THURSDAY.
&&
SHORT TERM...HG/NED
LONG TERM...NED
AVIATION...HGHazardous weather outlook, Mar 2, 5:59 AM EST, 9 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 559 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082- SCZ001>014-019-031100- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD- BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON- MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD- CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER- GREENWOOD- 559 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF AND BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. SEE THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY AND THE HIGH WIND WATCH...CAENPWGSP... FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO PRODUCE A HIGH FIRE DANGER...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. SEE THE RED FLAG WARNING...CAERFWGSP FOR DETAILS. SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT...BUT NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. LANE
The office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 3:56 AM EST | High Wind Watch | GSP | Avery, Buncombe, Madison, Mitchell, Yancey | 12 hr |
| Mar 2, 3:56 AM EST | Lake Wind Advisory | GSP | Alexander, Avery, Buncombe, Cabarrus, Catawba, Cleveland and 17 more | 24 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2006Every wind advisory in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.